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Palmeiras crestPalmeiras
v
Chapecoense-sc crestChapecoense-sc

Serie A | Sun 31 May, 20:00

Palmeiras v Chapecoense-sc Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 06:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Palmeiras face Chapecoense-sc in Serie A on Sun 31 May, 20:00. Palmeiras have been highly dominant with eleven wins from seventeen league outings, demonstrating true championship credentials.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 21/10, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Match Result & Both Teams to Score
  • Palmeiras show a 60% BTTS rate and Chapecoense-sc show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Palmeiras average 1.4 goals scored and Chapecoense-sc average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Palmeiras show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Chapecoense-sc show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Match Result & Both Teams to Score

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Palmeiras show a 60% BTTS rate and Chapecoense-sc show a.Visible data support
Positive
Palmeiras average 1.4 goals scored and Chapecoense-sc average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Match Result & Both Teams to ScoreArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because match Result & Both Teams to Score Palmeiras show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Chapecoense-sc show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Those numbers are hardly spectacular, but they are not catastrophic either.

Main risk

Those numbers are hardly spectacular, but they are not catastrophic either.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Match Result & Both Teams to Score

Palmeiras show a 60% BTTS rate and Chapecoense-sc show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Palmeiras average 1.4 goals scored and Chapecoense-sc average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Palmeiras1.4
Avg goals scored
Chapecoense-sc1.2
Palmeiras0.6
Avg goals conceded
Chapecoense-sc2
Palmeiras60%
BTTS rate
Chapecoense-sc100%
Palmeiras20%
Over 2.5 goals
Chapecoense-sc80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Serie A analysisPalmeiras v Chapecoense-sc predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 75%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Chapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Palmeiras to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Palmeiras Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Palmeiras8
Avg corners for
Chapecoense-sc2.6
Palmeiras14.2
Avg total corners
Chapecoense-sc9.6
Palmeiras2.6
Avg yellow cards
Chapecoense-sc3.2
Palmeiras14.8
Avg shots
Chapecoense-sc12.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 44% · edge +30.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Palmeiras

WDDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 4D 0L
24 May 2026A Flamengo3-0
17 May 2026H Cruzeiro1-1
10 May 2026A Remo1-1
02 May 2026H Santos1-1
26 Apr 2026A RB Bragantino1-0

Chapecoense-sc

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 8L
24 May 2026A Cruzeiro1-2
17 May 2026H Remo2-3
10 May 2026A Mirassol1-1
03 May 2026H RB Bragantino1-2
27 Apr 2026A Fluminense1-2
Best odds for this sectionChapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.32
Check odds @ 3.32
Palmeiras to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Palmeiras Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Palmeiras wins
2Draws
2Chapecoense-sc wins
18 Sep 2021Chapecoense-sc v Palmeiras0-2
06 Jun 2021Palmeiras v Chapecoense-sc3-1
17 Oct 2019Palmeiras v Chapecoense-SC1-0
02 Jun 2019Chapecoense-SC v Palmeiras1-2
02 Sep 2018Chapecoense-sc v Palmeiras1-2
29 Apr 2018Palmeiras v Chapecoense-sc0-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Palmeiras to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Palmeiras18
Played
Chapecoense-sc17
Palmeiras1.7
Avg goals for
Chapecoense-sc1
Palmeiras0.7
Avg goals against
Chapecoense-sc1.9
Palmeiras7
Clean sheets
Chapecoense-sc1
Best odds for this sectionChapecoense-sc Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Palmeiras to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Palmeiras Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Chapecoense-sc to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
Season data supports Chapecoense-sc Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Palmeiras4118125117
20Chapecoense-sc9171610-16
Palmeiras sit in position 1, while Chapecoense-sc sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Palmeiras Over 2.5
80%Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Palmeiras sit at 20% and Chapecoense-sc sit at 80% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Palmeiras v Chapecoense-sc prediction

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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