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Espanyol crestEspanyol

La Liga | Sat 12 Sep, 15:15

Osasuna v Espanyol Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Osasuna hosts Espanyol in a La Liga clash where home resilience meets away inconsistency. Osasuna have shown strong attacking intent at El Sadar, averaging 12.8 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per game, but their defensive solidity was recently tested in a heavy 5-2 loss to Alaves. Espanyol, despite a poor away record with seven defeats in their last ten road games, maintain a threat going forward, averaging 1.2 goals per game led by Roberto Fernández. The fixture promises a tactical battle with Osasuna aiming to restore defensive control while leveraging Ante Budimir's scoring prowess against an Espanyol side capable of scoring despite defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Osasuna to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Osasuna have scored in all of their last three matches, showing consistent attacking form.
  • Espanyol’s away struggles include seven defeats in their last ten league games, indicating vulnerability.
  • Ante Budimir accounts for 80% of Osasuna’s league goals, highlighting his key role in attack.
  • Both teams have averaged over one goal per game recently, supporting a BTTS outcome.
  • Osasuna’s defensive lapse last match contrasts with their earlier solidity, adding intrigue to the match outcome.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Osasuna to win with both teams scoring due to Osasuna’s strong home attacking volume and Espanyol’s ability to score despite defensive frailties. Osasuna’s average of 12.8 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per game provides ample opportunities to breach Espanyol’s defense, which concedes many shots but limits goals. Espanyol’s forward Roberto Fernández’s form adds credible scoring threat. The 4.5 offer good value given the model’s 35.3% chance, reflecting a solid football read without price caution.

Osasuna attacking volume12.8 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per game
Strong positive
Espanyol away defensive record7 defeats in last 10 away matches
Positive
Ante Budimir’s scoring contribution4 of 5 Osasuna goals this season
Strong positive
Espanyol scoring consistency1.2 goals per game over last 10 matches
Positive
Model vs Implied oddsModel chance 35.3% vs implied 22.2%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Osasuna’s home attacking intensity combined with Espanyol’s defensive vulnerabilities sets the stage for a competitive match where both sides find the net. Ante Budimir’s goal-scoring form and Osasuna’s need to bounce back from a recent defensive lapse make a home win with both teams scoring a compelling outcome. Espanyol’s away struggles add weight to Osasuna’s advantage, but the visitors’ scoring ability ensures the match remains open and competitive.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match tactical and player impact analysis

“Ante Budimir’s pivotal role in Osasuna’s attack and Espanyol’s tendency to concede shots but limit goals create a nuanced tactical battle. This match hinges on Osasuna restoring defensive balance while exploiting Espanyol’s defensive gaps, making a home win with both teams scoring a logical prediction.”

Key Data Signals

Osasuna to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Osasuna have scored in all of their last three matches, showing consistent attacking form.

Espanyol’s away struggles include seven defeats in their last ten league games, indicating vulnerability.

Ante Budimir accounts for 80% of Osasuna’s league goals, highlighting his key role in attack.

Both teams have averaged over one goal per game recently, supporting a BTTS outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

Osasuna to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between Osasuna and Espanyol is 1.4, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters.
  • However, recent form shows Osasuna with a 50% rate of Over 2.5 goals and Espanyol at 75%, suggesting an increased likelihood of a higher-scoring game.
  • This trend supports the potential for goals from both teams and a lively tempo in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Osasuna3.5
Avg corners for
Espanyol0.75
Osasuna7.5
Avg total corners
Espanyol5.75
Osasuna2.5
Avg yellow cards
Espanyol3.5
Osasuna10.5
Avg shots
Espanyol11.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 30%
2
Check odds @ 2
Osasuna average 3.5 corners per game while Espanyol average none, indicating Osasuna’s territorial control and attacking pressure. Espanyol’s higher average of 3.33 yellow cards per match compared to Osasuna’s 2.5 suggests a more aggressive defensive approach that could lead to set-piece opportunities and influence match tempo. Shot volumes are balanced, with Osasuna averaging 10.5 and Espanyol 12 shots per game, reflecting open play.

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Useful next reads

La Liga hubOsasuna v Espanyol predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Osasuna1.25
Avg goals scored
Espanyol1.5
Osasuna1.5
Avg goals conceded
Espanyol1.25
Osasuna50%
BTTS rate
Espanyol75%
Osasuna50%
Over 2.5 goals
Espanyol75%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have averaged over one goal per game recently, with Osasuna scoring 1.25 and Espanyol 1.5 goals per match. Osasuna’s attacking volume and Espanyol’s ability to score despite conceding many shots support a BTTS scenario. The match’s recent history and player form suggest a competitive game with goals at both ends, fitting the combined win and BTTS outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOsasuna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +13.8 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Osasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 4.5 for Osasuna to win with both teams scoring reflect a positive value opportunity. The model’s 35.3% chance significantly exceeds the implied 22.2%, indicating the market underestimates the likelihood of this outcome. This pricing aligns with Osasuna’s strong home attacking metrics and Espanyol’s defensive vulnerabilities, making the bet attractive without requiring caution for price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Osasuna

LWWD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Alaves2-5
31 Aug 2026H Getafe1-0
27 Aug 2026A Celta Vigo2-1
24 Aug 2026H Levante0-0

Espanyol

DLLW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Sevilla1-1
29 Aug 2026A Real Sociedad1-2
22 Aug 2026H Real Madrid1-2
16 Aug 2026H Levante3-0
Market aligned with main pickOsasuna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +13.8 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Osasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Osasuna have collected 7 points from their last four matches, showing resilience despite a heavy recent defeat. Espanyol have 4 points in the same period but suffer from poor away form with multiple defeats. Both teams have similar goal-scoring rates, but Osasuna’s home form and recent defensive issues create a nuanced form picture supporting a home win with goals at both ends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Osasuna wins
4Draws
2Espanyol wins
17 May 2026Osasuna v Espanyol1-2
31 Aug 2025Espanyol v Osasuna1-0
18 May 2025Osasuna v Espanyol2-0
14 Dec 2024Espanyol v Osasuna0-0
04 Feb 2023Espanyol v Osasuna1-1
20 Oct 2022Osasuna v Espanyol1-0
Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 44% · edge +8.1 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The last ten meetings between Osasuna and Espanyol have averaged 1.4 goals per game, a relatively low scoring rate. Espanyol have won the last two encounters, including a 2-1 victory at El Sadar, indicating competitive balance. While historical results slightly favor Espanyol, recent form and home advantage suggest Osasuna can reverse this trend, making the head-to-head record a background factor rather than a decisive guide.
Season team stats

La Liga

Osasuna4
Played
Espanyol5
Osasuna1.3
Avg goals for
Espanyol1.6
Osasuna1.5
Avg goals against
Espanyol1
Osasuna2
Clean sheets
Espanyol2
Market aligned with main pickOsasuna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +13.8 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
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Osasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Osasuna’s season stats show a balance of 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, reflecting attacking strength tempered by defensive vulnerability. Espanyol’s 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match indicate a slightly more offensive profile but with defensive lapses. These season-long trends support a competitive match with goals from both sides and a slight edge to Osasuna’s home advantage.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Osasuna74211-1
13Espanyol441121
Osasuna sit 8th with 7 points, reflecting a solid start and home advantage, while Espanyol are 12th with 4 points, highlighting struggles especially away from home. The standings underline Osasuna’s better form and motivation to capitalize at home, while Espanyol’s position suggests pressure to improve results, adding competitive tension to the fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Osasuna Over 2.5
75%Espanyol Over 2.5
1.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between Osasuna and Espanyol is 1.4, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters. However, recent form shows Osasuna with a 50% rate of Over 2.5 goals and Espanyol at 75%, suggesting an increased likelihood of a higher-scoring game. This trend supports the potential for goals from both teams and a lively tempo in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Osasuna v Espanyol prediction

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