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Osasuna crestOsasuna
v
Espanyol crestEspanyol

La Liga | Sun 17 May, 18:00

Osasuna v Espanyol Stats

Data last updated: Fri 12 Jun 2026, 05:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Osasuna face Espanyol in La Liga on Sun 17 May, 18:00. They host an Espanyol team completely devoid of traveling rhythm, remaining winless in ten successive away fixtures and losing their last three road trips consecutively. Osasuna rely heavily on home advantage, claiming nine of their victories at El Sadar this season.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Requires selecting a home win, away win, or draw at the completion of normal regulation time

  • At 1/1, Osasuna Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 39%.
  • Given that previous encounters frequently feature at least one side failing to hit the net, a single-goal home triumph is highly plausible, especially.
  • Espanyol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Osasuna.
  • Espanyol have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Osasuna Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Osasuna sit 17 in the table, while Espanyol sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Requires selecting a home win, away win, or draw at the completion of normal regulation time is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 50% while the model sits nearer 39% (-10.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 9.5 Corners shows a +21.4 pts edge at 2.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 39% for Osasuna Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Espanyol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Osasuna. Given that previous encounters frequently feature at least one side failing to hit the net, a single-goal home triumph is highly plausible, especially.

Model chance vs price39% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Negative
Espanyol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Espanyol have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Given that previous encounters frequently feature at least one.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Osasuna Win is the preferred angle because given that previous encounters frequently feature at least one side failing to hit the net, a single-goal home triumph is highly plausible, especially with structural trends reflecting Espanyol's defensive vulnerability. Espanyol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Osasuna. Relegation-threatened fixtures feature immense anxiety and caution.

Main risk

Relegation-threatened fixtures feature immense anxiety and caution.

Key Data Signals

Osasuna Win evidence

Given that previous encounters frequently feature at least one side failing to hit the net, a single-goal home.

Espanyol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Osasuna.

Espanyol have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Osasuna Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Osasuna sit 17 in the table, while Espanyol sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Osasuna Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Osasuna1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Espanyol0.6
    Osasuna1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Espanyol1
    Osasuna80%
    BTTS rate
    Espanyol20%
    Osasuna80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Espanyol20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 48% · edge -8.3 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Osasuna to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Osasuna4
    Avg corners for
    Espanyol5.6
    Osasuna11
    Avg total corners
    Espanyol11.4
    Osasuna2.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Espanyol3
    Osasuna12
    Avg shots
    Espanyol12.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 48% · edge +21.4 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Osasuna

    LLLWL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    12 May 2026H Atletico Madrid1-2
    08 May 2026A Levante2-3
    02 May 2026H Barcelona1-2
    26 Apr 2026H Sevilla2-1
    21 Apr 2026A Athletic Club0-1

    Espanyol

    WLLDL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 3D 6L
    13 May 2026H Athletic Club2-0
    09 May 2026A Sevilla1-2
    03 May 2026H Real Madrid0-2
    27 Apr 2026H Levante0-0
    23 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano0-1
    Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 48% · edge -8.3 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Osasuna wins
    4Draws
    1Espanyol wins
    31 Aug 2025Espanyol v Osasuna1-0
    18 May 2025Osasuna v Espanyol2-0
    14 Dec 2024Espanyol v Osasuna0-0
    04 Feb 2023Espanyol v Osasuna1-1
    20 Oct 2022Osasuna v Espanyol1-0
    08 May 2022Espanyol v Osasuna1-1
    Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 48% · edge -8.3 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Osasuna to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Osasuna38
    Played
    Espanyol38
    Osasuna1.2
    Avg goals for
    Espanyol1.1
    Osasuna1.3
    Avg goals against
    Espanyol1.4
    Osasuna7
    Clean sheets
    Espanyol10
    Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 48% · edge -8.3 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Season data supports Osasuna to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    11Espanyol4638121016-12
    17Osasuna423811918-6
    Osasuna sit in position 17, while Espanyol sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Osasuna Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Osasuna Over 2.5
    20%Espanyol Over 2.5
    1.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Osasuna sit at 80% and Espanyol sit at 20% with the H2H average at 1.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.