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Osasuna crestOsasuna
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Espanyol crestEspanyol

La Liga | Sat 12 Sep, 15:15

Osasuna v Espanyol Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 07:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Osasuna face Espanyol in La Liga on Sat 12 Sep, 15:15. Ante Budimir has scored four of Osasuna’s five league goals this season, accounting for 80% of their attacking return. Osasuna look stronger on recent form, while Espanyol remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y best bet

Osasuna to win and both teams to score

  • At 7/2, Osasuna to win and both teams to score implies roughly 22%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
  • Osasuna vs Espanyol: El Sadar test exposes a battle between home resilience and away weakness.
  • Osasuna need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Osasuna on 7 and Espanyol on 4.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 50% for Osasuna and 75% for Espanyol.
  • Osasuna to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.25 for Osasuna and 1.5 for Espanyol are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 30% for Osasuna to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 22% implied by the current price. Osasuna need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Osasuna on 7 and Espanyol on 4. Osasuna vs Espanyol: El Sadar test exposes a battle between home resilience and away weakness.

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 22% implied
Positive
Osasuna need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Osasuna vs Espanyol: El Sadar test exposes a battle.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Osasuna Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because osasuna vs Espanyol: El Sadar test exposes a battle between home resilience and away weakness. Osasuna need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Osasuna on 7 and Espanyol on 4. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Osasuna to win and both teams to score evidence

Osasuna vs Espanyol: El Sadar test exposes a battle between home resilience and away weakness.

Osasuna need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Osasuna on 7 and Espanyol on 4.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 50% for Osasuna and 75% for Espanyol.

Osasuna Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.25 for Osasuna and 1.5 for Espanyol are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Osasuna to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Osasuna1.25
Avg goals scored
Espanyol1.5
Osasuna1.5
Avg goals conceded
Espanyol1.25
Osasuna50%
BTTS rate
Espanyol75%
Osasuna50%
Over 2.5 goals
Espanyol75%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8

Continue the research

Useful next reads

La Liga hubOsasuna v Espanyol predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOsasuna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +13.8 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Osasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 36%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Osasuna Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Osasuna

LWWD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Alaves2-5
31 Aug 2026H Getafe1-0
27 Aug 2026A Celta Vigo2-1
24 Aug 2026H Levante0-0

Espanyol

DLLW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Sevilla1-1
29 Aug 2026A Real Sociedad1-2
22 Aug 2026H Real Madrid1-2
16 Aug 2026H Levante3-0
Market aligned with main pickOsasuna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +13.8 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Osasuna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Osasuna Over 2.5
75%Espanyol Over 2.5
1.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Osasuna sit at 50% and Espanyol sit at 75% with the H2H average at 1.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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