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Espanyol crestEspanyol
v
Levante crestLevante

La Liga | Mon 27 Apr, 20:00

Espanyol v Levante Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 12:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Espanyol face Levante in La Liga on Mon 27 Apr, 20:00. Espanyol are in a state of paralysis, failing to win a single league match in 2026. Given Espanyol's home winless run and Levante's defensive resilience, the visitors are well-placed to avoid defeat.

BT4Y best bet

Victories over Getafe and Sevilla without conceding

  • At 8/11, Levante Win implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • At home, things aren’t much better.
  • Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Espanyol.
  • Levante have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Levante Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Espanyol sit 11 in the table, while Levante sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Levante Win sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Espanyol. At home, things aren’t much better.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Positive
Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Levante have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
At home, things aren’t much better.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Levante Win is the preferred angle because at home, things aren’t much better. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Espanyol. The 36-year-old leads the scoring charts for the hosts but often carries the burden of the attack alone.

Main risk

The 36-year-old leads the scoring charts for the hosts but often carries the burden of the attack alone.

Key Data Signals

Levante Win evidence

At home, things aren’t much better.

Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Espanyol.

Levante have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Levante Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Espanyol sit 11 in the table, while Levante sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Levante Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Espanyol6.2
    Avg corners for
    Levante5
    Espanyol12.4
    Avg total corners
    Levante10
    Espanyol3.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Levante3
    Espanyol11.6
    Avg shots
    Levante15.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 44% · edge +30.6 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
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    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Espanyol0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Levante1.6
    Espanyol1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Levante1
    Espanyol60%
    BTTS rate
    Levante40%
    Espanyol60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Levante20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 29% · edge +34.7 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43 pts
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
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    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 75%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Levante Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Levante to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Espanyol

    LLDLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 4D 6L
    23 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano0-1
    11 Apr 2026A Barcelona1-4
    04 Apr 2026A Real Betis0-0
    21 Mar 2026H Getafe1-2
    15 Mar 2026A Mallorca1-2

    Levante

    WWLWD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    23 Apr 2026H Sevilla2-0
    13 Apr 2026H Getafe1-0
    04 Apr 2026A Real Sociedad0-2
    21 Mar 2026H Oviedo4-2
    16 Mar 2026A Rayo Vallecano1-1
    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43 pts
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
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    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Levante Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Espanyol wins
    4Draws
    1Levante wins
    11 Jan 2026Levante v Espanyol1-1
    04 Feb 2024Espanyol v Levante2-1
    08 Sep 2023Levante v Espanyol1-4
    12 Mar 2022Levante v Espanyol1-1
    11 Dec 2021Espanyol v Levante4-3
    20 Jun 2020Espanyol v Levante1-3
    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43 pts
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Levante to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Espanyol38
    Played
    Levante38
    Espanyol1.1
    Avg goals for
    Levante1.2
    Espanyol1.4
    Avg goals against
    Levante1.6
    Espanyol10
    Clean sheets
    Levante9
    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43 pts
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Levante Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Levante to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    11Espanyol4638121016-12
    16Levante423811918-14
    Espanyol sit in position 11, while Levante sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the Levante Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Espanyol Over 2.5
    20%Levante Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Espanyol sit at 60% and Levante sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.