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Olympiakos Piraeus crestOlympiakos Piraeus
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Jagiellonia crestJagiellonia

UEFA Europa League | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Olympiakos Piraeus v Jagiellonia Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus face Jagiellonia in a UEFA Europa League clash where goal-scoring potential is high. Jagiellonia's recent matches show a strong tendency for games exceeding 2.5 goals, with an over 2.5 rate of 75%. Olympiakos Piraeus, despite limited recent data, are expected to push forward aggressively at home, aiming to capitalize on their attacking talents. This fixture promises an open contest with both teams likely to seek offensive opportunities, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter under European night conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Jagiellonia has a 75% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently.
  • Olympiakos Piraeus possess multiple attacking players with strong shot volumes and goal threat.
  • Recent form data shows Jagiellonia averaging 2.25 goals scored per game.
  • Player stats highlight Olympiakos attackers like A. González with over 4 shots per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 75% chance for over 2.5 goals, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 59.9%, indicating strong value. Jagiellonia's recent matches consistently produce multiple goals, and Olympiakos Piraeus' attacking players generate high shot volumes, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities. While home team data is limited, the attacking profiles and recent trends support a high-scoring match. The current at 1.67 provide a positive expected value for this goal market.

Model Chance75%
Strong positive
Jagiellonia Over 2.5 Rate75%
Strong positive
Olympiakos Attacking ShotsHigh (e.g., A. González 4.03 shots/90)
Positive
Market Implied Chance59.9%
Positive
Home Team Data DepthLimited but not insufficient
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively Europa League encounter with both sides showing attacking intent. Jagiellonia's recent goal-scoring form combined with Olympiakos Piraeus' offensive players suggests multiple goals are likely. The match should feature open play and chances at both ends, making over 2.5 goals a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture's attacking profiles and recent scoring trends strongly indicate a game with multiple goals, making the over 2.5 market a compelling option for bettors.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Jagiellonia has a 75% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently.

Olympiakos Piraeus possess multiple attacking players with strong shot volumes and goal threat.

Recent form data shows Jagiellonia averaging 2.25 goals scored per game.

Player stats highlight Olympiakos attackers like A. González with over 4 shots per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent trends over the last several matches show Jagiellonia with a 75% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a pattern of open, high-tempo games.
  • Olympiakos Piraeus' attacking player stats suggest a similar approach.
  • These trends suggest a match with multiple goals, driven by offensive tempo and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Olympiakos Piraeus

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Olympiakos Piraeus yet.

Jagiellonia

WWDW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
27 Aug 2026A FC Iberia 19992-1
20 Aug 2026H FC Iberia 19994-0
13 Aug 2026A Rangers1-1
06 Aug 2026H Rangers2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Jagiellonia to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Olympiakos Piraeus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Olympiakos Piraeus to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Jagiellonia's recent form strongly supports over 2.5 goals, with a 75% rate in their last matches and an average of 2.25 goals scored per game. Olympiakos Piraeus' recent form data is limited, but their attacking player stats imply offensive intent. The combination of Jagiellonia's scoring consistency and Olympiakos' attacking potential points to a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
15Jagiellonia000000
26Olympiakos Piraeus000000
Both teams start this Europa League campaign with zero points, placing Olympiakos Piraeus at rank 26 and Jagiellonia at 15 in the competition standings. While early in the tournament, both sides will be motivated to secure points, likely encouraging offensive play and increasing the chance of goals in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Olympiakos Piraeus-
Avg goals scored
Jagiellonia2.25
Olympiakos Piraeus-
Avg goals conceded
Jagiellonia0.75
Olympiakos Piraeus-
BTTS rate
Jagiellonia75%
Olympiakos Piraeus-
Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia75%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Jagiellonia's recent matches have a 75% over 2.5 goals rate, averaging 2.25 goals scored and conceding 0.75. Olympiakos Piraeus' attacking players contribute significant shot volumes, indicating offensive intent. These factors combined suggest a high likelihood of multiple goals and potentially both teams scoring, though the latter is less certain due to limited defensive data for Olympiakos.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Jagiellonia to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Olympiakos Piraeus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
The over 2.5 goals market is priced attractively at 1.67, reflecting an implied chance of 59.9%, which is notably lower than the model's 75% probability. This discrepancy suggests good value in backing over 2.5 goals, supported by Jagiellonia's consistent high-scoring matches and Olympiakos' attacking shot volumes. The price is stable and offers a positive expected return without requiring movement.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Olympiakos Piraeus wins
0Draws
0Jagiellonia wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Jagiellonia to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Olympiakos Piraeus to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Olympiakos Piraeus and Jagiellonia, so historical data offers no direct insight. This absence increases the importance of current form and player attacking profiles in assessing the match's goal potential.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Olympiakos Piraeus0
Played
Jagiellonia4
Olympiakos Piraeus-
Avg goals for
Jagiellonia2.3
Olympiakos Piraeus-
Avg goals against
Jagiellonia0.8
Olympiakos Piraeus-
Clean sheets
Jagiellonia1
Best odds for this sectionJagiellonia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Load more odds for this section
Jagiellonia to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Olympiakos Piraeus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Olympiakos Piraeus to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Season-long data for Jagiellonia shows a tendency toward higher-scoring games, with a 75% over 2.5 goals rate and a positive goal difference. Olympiakos Piraeus' season stats are less complete but their player shot profiles indicate an attacking style. These season trends align with the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture, reinforcing the over 2.5 goals selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Olympiakos Piraeus Over 2.5
75%Jagiellonia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends over the last several matches show Jagiellonia with a 75% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a pattern of open, high-tempo games. Olympiakos Piraeus' attacking player stats suggest a similar approach. These trends suggest a match with multiple goals, driven by offensive tempo and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.