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Oldham crestOldham
v
Port Vale crestPort Vale

League Two | Sat 15 Aug, 12:30

Oldham v Port Vale Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Oldham face Port Vale in League Two on Sat 15 Aug, 12:30. Oldham's consistent scoring in 16 of their last 18 league matches and strong home record, combined with Port Vale's failure to keep clean sheets in their last four League One games, supports a home win with both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Oldham to win and both teams to score

  • At 4/1, Oldham to win and both teams to score implies roughly 20%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 22%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 22% for Oldham to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 20% implied by the current price. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price22% model chance against roughly 20% implied
Neutral
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +1.9 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Oldham Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Oldham to win and both teams to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

What To Watch In The Data

Oldham to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Oldham wins
5Draws
3Port Vale wins
09 Apr 2022Port Vale v Oldham3-2
20 Nov 2021Oldham v Port Vale3-2
09 Mar 2021Port Vale v Oldham0-0
24 Oct 2020Oldham v Port Vale1-2
26 Oct 2019Port Vale v Oldham0-0
29 Dec 2018Port Vale v Oldham1-4
Market aligned with main pickOldham to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 39% · edge +3.8 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The head-to-head sample gives context for Oldham to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Oldham

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Oldham yet.

Port Vale

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Port Vale yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Oldham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Oldham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Oldham-
Avg goals scored
Port Vale-
Oldham-
Avg goals conceded
Port Vale-
Oldham-
BTTS rate
Port Vale-
Oldham-
Over 2.5 goals
Port Vale-
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 48% · edge +2.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOldham to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 39% · edge +3.8 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Oldham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Oldham to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Two

Oldham0
Played
Port Vale0
Oldham0
Avg goals for
Port Vale0
Oldham0
Avg goals against
Port Vale0
Oldham0
Clean sheets
Port Vale0
Market aligned with main pickOldham to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 39% · edge +3.8 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Oldham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Oldham to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Oldham000000
9Port Vale000000
Oldham sit in position 8, while Port Vale sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the Oldham to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Oldham Over 2.5
-Port Vale Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.