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Walsall crestWalsall
v
Port Vale crestPort Vale

League Two | Sat 19 Sep, 12:30

Walsall v Port Vale Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Walsall face Port Vale in League Two on Sat 19 Sep, 12:30. Walsall come in with 7 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Port Vale have 5 points and 0.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Walsall to Win

  • At 2.5, Walsall to Win implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • Walsall have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Port Vale.
  • Walsall have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Walsall to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Walsall sit 5 in the table, while Port Vale sit 22, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for Walsall to Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Walsall have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Port Vale.

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Strong positive
Walsall have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Walsall have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Walsall Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Walsall have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Port Vale. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Walsall to Win evidence

Walsall have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Port Vale.

Walsall have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Walsall Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Walsall sit 5 in the table, while Port Vale sit 22, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Walsall to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Walsall1
    Avg goals scored
    Port Vale0.6
    Walsall0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Port Vale1
    Walsall40%
    BTTS rate
    Port Vale40%
    Walsall40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Port Vale20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 23%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Walsall

    DDDWD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 0L
    12 Sep 2026H Rochdale0-0
    05 Sep 2026A Exeter City0-0
    01 Sep 2026A Crewe2-2
    29 Aug 2026H Accrington ST3-2
    22 Aug 2026H Grimsby0-0

    Port Vale

    WLLDD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 3L
    12 Sep 2026H Exeter City1-0
    05 Sep 2026A Salford City0-1
    01 Sep 2026A Swindon Town1-3
    29 Aug 2026H Crewe0-0
    22 Aug 2026H Tranmere1-1
    Market aligned with main pickWalsall to WinBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Walsall Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    League Two hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Walsall1062404
    22Port Vale56123-4
    Walsall sit in position 5, while Port Vale sit in position 22, so table pressure belongs in the Walsall to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWalsall to WinBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Walsall Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Walsall to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Walsall6.2
    Avg corners for
    Port Vale4.75
    Walsall11.8
    Avg total corners
    Port Vale10
    Walsall1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Port Vale1.5
    Walsall15.6
    Avg shots
    Port Vale11.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Walsall wins
    1Draws
    3Port Vale wins
    05 Apr 2025Walsall v Port Vale2-3
    07 Dec 2024Port Vale v Walsall0-1
    23 Apr 2022Walsall v Port Vale2-0
    23 Nov 2021Port Vale v Walsall0-1
    23 Jan 2021Port Vale v Walsall1-3
    19 Dec 2020Walsall v Port Vale4-3
    Market aligned with main pickWalsall to WinBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Walsall to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    League Two

    Walsall6
    Played
    Port Vale6
    Walsall1.3
    Avg goals for
    Port Vale0.5
    Walsall0.7
    Avg goals against
    Port Vale1.2
    Walsall4
    Clean sheets
    Port Vale2
    Market aligned with main pickWalsall to WinBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Walsall Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Season data supports Walsall to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Walsall Over 2.5
    20%Port Vale Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Walsall sit at 40% and Port Vale sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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