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Notts County crestNotts County
v
Burton Albion crestBurton Albion

League One | Sat 29 Aug, 15:00

Notts County v Burton Albion Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Notts County face Burton Albion in League One on Sat 29 Aug, 15:00. Notts County and Burton Albion arrive at Meadow Lane unbeaten in League One, but their early returns tell slightly different stories. Notts County vs Burton Albion: Unbeaten Starts Put Efficiency Under the Microscope.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 3/4, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 72%.
  • Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, supporting the Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Notts County show a 100% BTTS rate and Burton Albion show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Notts County average 1.5 goals scored and Burton Albion average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 72% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Notts County show a 100% BTTS rate and Burton Albion show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, supporting the Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price72% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Strong positive
Notts County show a 100% BTTS rate and Burton Albion.Visible data support
Positive
Notts County average 1.5 goals scored and Burton Albion average.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, supporting the Both Teams To Score YES selection. Notts County show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Burton Albion show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Main risk

That difference is small after only two matches, yet it sharpens the central issue here: both sides have been competitive, but Burton have so far made slightly better use of it.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, supporting.

Notts County show a 100% BTTS rate and Burton Albion show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Notts County average 1.5 goals scored and Burton Albion average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Notts County1.5
Avg goals scored
Burton Albion1.5
Notts County1.5
Avg goals conceded
Burton Albion1
Notts County100%
BTTS rate
Burton Albion100%
Notts County50%
Over 2.5 goals
Burton Albion50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Notts County

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Luton2-2
15 Aug 2026H Leicester1-1

Burton Albion

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Leicester2-1
15 Aug 2026H Stevenage1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 62% · edge +1.2 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3
Check odds @ 3
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Notts County to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Notts County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Burton Albion972320
20Notts County77142-2
Notts County sit in position 20, while Burton Albion sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3
Check odds @ 3
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Notts County to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Notts County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Notts County3
Avg corners for
Burton Albion2.5
Notts County9.5
Avg total corners
Burton Albion5
Notts County2.5
Avg yellow cards
Burton Albion1.5
Notts County11
Avg shots
Burton Albion11.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 38%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Notts County wins
0Draws
0Burton Albion wins
24 Sep 2024Burton Albion v Notts County1-2
03 Sep 2013Notts County v Burton Albion1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Burton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Notts County to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

League One

Notts County7
Played
Burton Albion7
Notts County1
Avg goals for
Burton Albion1.7
Notts County1.3
Avg goals against
Burton Albion1.7
Notts County0
Clean sheets
Burton Albion0
Best odds for this sectionBurton Albion to WinBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 33% · edge +3.3 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Burton Albion Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Notts County to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Notts County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season data supports Burton Albion to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Notts County Over 2.5
50%Burton Albion Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Notts County sit at 50% and Burton Albion sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Notts County v Burton Albion prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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