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Nottingham Forest crestNottingham Forest
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Stade Brestois 29 crestStade Brestois 29

Friendlies Clubs | Sun 16 Aug, 14:00

Nottingham Forest v Stade Brestois 29 Stats

Data last updated: Mon 17 Aug 2026, 15:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly clash between Nottingham Forest and Stade Brestois 29 offers an intriguing attacking contest as both sides look to sharpen their offensive play ahead of the competitive season. Nottingham Forest have shown a moderate scoring output but tend to participate in higher-scoring games, while Stade Brestois 29 have been involved in matches with frequent goals, reflecting an open style. With both teams eager to test attacking options and defensive solidity still in development, this fixture is poised for multiple goal-scoring opportunities and an entertaining encounter at an early stage of preparations.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Nottingham Forest have a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Stade Brestois 29 show an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Both teams average over 1 goal per game, suggesting attacking intent.
  • Recent form data shows both sides have conceded and scored regularly, supporting a goal-rich match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 49.5% chance for over 3.5 goals, notably higher than the 41.7% implied by current , indicating positive value. Both teams have strong recent over 2.5 goals rates (60% and 80%), and their defensive records suggest vulnerabilities that could lead to multiple goals. The friendly context encourages offensive experimentation, increasing scoring chances. Data quality is solid with balanced samples, reinforcing in this projection.

Model Chance49.5%
Strong positive
Implied Chance41.7%
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rates60% Nottingham Forest, 80% Stade Brestois 29
Strong positive
Goals For/AgainstNottingham Forest 1.0/1.6, Stade Brestois 29 1.8/2.0 per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Nottingham Forest and Stade Brestois 29 pushing forward to test attacking combinations. The teams' recent scoring patterns and defensive openness suggest a lively match with multiple goals, making over 3.5 goals a compelling angle to consider for bettors seeking excitement and value.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“This fixture’s attacking tendencies and defensive frailties create a fertile environment for goals, especially given the friendly context where teams prioritize offensive drills over defensive rigidity.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Nottingham Forest have a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.

Stade Brestois 29 show an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Both teams average over 1 goal per game, suggesting attacking intent.

Recent form data shows both sides have conceded and scored regularly, supporting a goal-rich match.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten matches, both teams have consistently featured games with over 2.5 goals, especially Stade Brestois 29 with an 80% rate.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness that can easily extend to over 3.5 goals in this friendly encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nottingham Forest1
Avg goals scored
Stade Brestois 291.8
Nottingham Forest1.6
Avg goals conceded
Stade Brestois 292
Nottingham Forest60%
BTTS rate
Stade Brestois 2980%
Nottingham Forest60%
Over 2.5 goals
Stade Brestois 2980%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +7.5 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have shown a propensity for matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring. Nottingham Forest’s 60% over 2.5 rate and Stade Brestois 29’s 80% rate reflect open games with defensive vulnerabilities, supporting a scenario where goals flow from both sides in this friendly encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
The current for over 3.5 goals imply a 41.7% chance, which is below the model's 49.5% probability, indicating a positive of 7.8%. This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making the bet attractive at the offered price.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nottingham Forest

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
12 Aug 2026H Bayer Leverkusen2-1
08 Aug 2026A Barcelona0-1
08 Aug 2026A Udinese0-1
31 Jul 2026A Sporting CP1-4
31 Jul 2026A Portimonense2-1

Stade Brestois 29

DWDLD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 1L
08 Aug 2026H Venezia2-2
05 Aug 2026A Stade Briochin2-1
01 Aug 2026H Guingamp3-3
22 Jul 2026H Al Wakrah0-2
18 Jul 2026H Concarneau2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Nottingham Forest to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Recent form data shows Nottingham Forest and Stade Brestois 29 have been involved in matches with frequent goals, reflected in their over 2.5 goals rates of 60% and 80% respectively. This trend underlines their current attacking momentum and defensive openness, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Nottingham Forest wins
0Draws
0Stade Brestois 29 wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Nottingham Forest to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
No previous meetings exist between Nottingham Forest and Stade Brestois 29, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. The analysis must therefore rely on current form and season statistics to gauge the likely match dynamics.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Nottingham Forest9
Played
Stade Brestois 296
Nottingham Forest1.4
Avg goals for
Stade Brestois 291.5
Nottingham Forest1
Avg goals against
Stade Brestois 292
Nottingham Forest3
Clean sheets
Stade Brestois 290
Best odds for this sectionStade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 41% · edge +13.8 pts
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Load more odds for this section
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Nottingham Forest Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Nottingham Forest to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Season-long statistics reveal Nottingham Forest average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Stade Brestois 29 average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. These figures highlight defensive vulnerabilities and offensive capability, aligning with the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Nottingham Forest Over 2.5
80%Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, both teams have consistently featured games with over 2.5 goals, especially Stade Brestois 29 with an 80% rate. This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness that can easily extend to over 3.5 goals in this friendly encounter.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.