Football Stats Hub

New Zealand crestNew Zealand
v
Belgium crestBelgium

World Cup | Sat 27 Jun, 04:00

New Zealand v Belgium Stats

Data last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026, 18:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

New Zealand face Belgium in World Cup on Sat 27 Jun, 04:00. Group G pressure turns Vancouver into a nerve test. Belgium are unbeaten in their last 11 matches, but four of their last six have ended in draws.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 29/20, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 41%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
  • The Both Teams to Score market requires each side to find the net at least once during standard time.
  • New Zealand show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • New Zealand average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 41% implied by the current price. New Zealand show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams to Score market requires each side to find the net at least once during standard time.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 41% implied
Strong positive
New Zealand show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show.Visible data support
Positive
New Zealand average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 0.5.Visible data support
Positive
The Both Teams to Score market requires each side.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams to Score market requires each side to find the net at least once during standard time. New Zealand show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Belgium show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. They have not lost, but they have not won either.

Main risk

They have not lost, but they have not won either.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

The Both Teams to Score market requires each side to find the net at least once during standard.

New Zealand show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

New Zealand average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 0.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

New Zealand1.5
Avg goals scored
Belgium0.5
New Zealand2.5
Avg goals conceded
Belgium0.5
New Zealand100%
BTTS rate
Belgium50%
New Zealand100%
Over 2.5 goals
Belgium0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
New Zealand Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
New Zealand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

New Zealand2.5
Avg corners for
Belgium3
New Zealand6
Avg total corners
Belgium7.5
New Zealand1
Avg yellow cards
Belgium1.5
New Zealand12.5
Avg shots
Belgium19
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.9 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 30%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

New Zealand

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
22 Jun 2026H Egypt1-3
16 Jun 2026A Iran2-2

Belgium

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
21 Jun 2026H Iran0-0
15 Jun 2026H Egypt1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
New Zealand Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
New Zealand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Belgium to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0New Zealand wins
0Draws
0Belgium wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
New Zealand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Belgium to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

New Zealand3
Played
Belgium6
New Zealand1.3
Avg goals for
Belgium2.3
New Zealand3.3
Avg goals against
Belgium1.2
New Zealand0
Clean sheets
Belgium1
Best odds for this sectionNew Zealand Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
New Zealand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
13
Check odds @ 13
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Belgium to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Season data supports New Zealand Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Belgium531204
4New Zealand13012-6
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%New Zealand Over 2.5
0%Belgium Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: New Zealand sit at 100% and Belgium sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.