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New Zealand crestNew Zealand
v
Belgium crestBelgium

World Cup | Sat 27 Jun, 04:00

New Zealand v Belgium Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Group G clash in the World Cup pits New Zealand against Belgium in a high-stakes encounter where both teams face pressure to secure crucial points. New Zealand, bottom of the group with just one point, must attack aggressively to keep their hopes alive, while Belgium, unbeaten but yet to win, seek to convert their territorial control into goals. New Zealand's recent scoring consistency contrasts with Belgium's controlled but sometimes blunt attacking displays, setting up a tactical battle between New Zealand's urgency and Belgium's possession-based approach. The match promises an open, intense contest with both sides motivated to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • New Zealand have scored in 11 consecutive matches, showing strong attacking consistency.
  • Belgium average 19 shots per game, indicating high attacking volume.
  • New Zealand have conceded 5 goals in 2 World Cup matches, exposing defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Belgium maintain 69% possession and 88% passing accuracy, controlling territory effectively.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 75% chance, reflecting New Zealand's persistent scoring streak and Belgium's potent attacking volume. New Zealand's need to attack aggressively increases their defensive exposure, creating opportunities for Belgium to score. Belgium's high shot averages and dangerous attacks complement this, making a clean sheet unlikely for either side. The price offers strong value given the implied chance is only 40.8%, while the football context supports an open game with goals at both ends. No data limitations affect this assessment.

New Zealand scoring streak11 consecutive matches with goals
Strong positive
Belgium attacking volume19 shots per game
Strong positive
New Zealand defensive weakness5 goals conceded in 2 matches
Positive
Belgium possession control69% average possession
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a fitting pick given New Zealand's urgent need to attack and Belgium's ability to exploit defensive gaps. New Zealand's consistent scoring record combined with Belgium's high shot volume suggests both sides will find the net in this open, high-pressure World Cup fixture.

Main risk

The main risk is Belgium imposing strict possession control and limiting New Zealand's transitions, which could reduce scoring chances and lead to a low-scoring match.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“New Zealand's attacking urgency paired with Belgium's territorial control sets the stage for a match where both teams are likely to score, reflecting contrasting styles and tournament stakes.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

New Zealand have scored in 11 consecutive matches, showing strong attacking consistency.

Belgium average 19 shots per game, indicating high attacking volume.

New Zealand have conceded 5 goals in 2 World Cup matches, exposing defensive vulnerabilities.

Belgium maintain 69% possession and 88% passing accuracy, controlling territory effectively.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six matches, New Zealand have consistently participated in games with over 2.5 goals, while Belgium's recent matches have been lower scoring.
  • The average goals per game and BTTS rates suggest a match tempo favoring goal opportunities, especially given New Zealand's attacking style and Belgium's ability to create dangerous attacks, making Over 2.5 goals a plausible trend to watch.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

New Zealand1.5
Avg goals scored
Belgium0.5
New Zealand2.5
Avg goals conceded
Belgium0.5
New Zealand100%
BTTS rate
Belgium50%
New Zealand100%
Over 2.5 goals
Belgium0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 49% · edge +26.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
New Zealand's 100% BTTS rate and 100% Over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches contrast with Belgium's more conservative 50% BTTS and 0% Over 2.5 goals rates, suggesting New Zealand's open style will push the game towards goals at both ends. The defensive vulnerabilities and attacking volume support an open contest with multiple goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 49% · edge +26.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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New Zealand Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
7
Check odds @ 7
New Zealand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
15
Check odds @ 15
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 2.45, offering significant value compared to the model's 75% chance. This reflects the football context where New Zealand's attacking necessity and Belgium's shot volume increase the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price is positive value with no warning flags, making it a compelling market to consider.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

World Cup hubfull betting preview for New Zealand v Belgiumfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

New Zealand2.5
Avg corners for
Belgium3
New Zealand6
Avg total corners
Belgium7.5
New Zealand1
Avg yellow cards
Belgium1.5
New Zealand12.5
Avg shots
Belgium19
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.9 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 30%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Belgium's higher average corners (3 vs 2.5) and fouls per game reflect their territorial pressure and aggressive defensive style, which can lead to set-piece opportunities and match intensity. Both teams average similar yellow cards, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment. Shot averages favor Belgium, supporting their attacking threat.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

New Zealand

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
22 Jun 2026H Egypt1-3
16 Jun 2026A Iran2-2

Belgium

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
21 Jun 2026H Iran0-0
15 Jun 2026H Egypt1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 18% · edge +46 pts
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
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New Zealand Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
7
Check odds @ 7
New Zealand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
15
Check odds @ 15
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Belgium to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Recent form data shows New Zealand with 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game, maintaining a 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting open, high-scoring matches. Belgium's form is more restrained with 0.5 goals scored and conceded and a 50% BTTS rate, indicating tighter games. This contrast supports the expectation of an open game with goals from both sides, driven by New Zealand's attacking urgency and Belgium's shot volume.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0New Zealand wins
0Draws
0Belgium wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 49% · edge +26.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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New Zealand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
15
Check odds @ 15
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Belgium to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
No previous meetings exist between New Zealand and Belgium, so head-to-head data cannot inform the pick. The focus remains on current form, tactical context, and team profiles to assess the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

World Cup

New Zealand2
Played
Belgium2
New Zealand1.5
Avg goals for
Belgium0.5
New Zealand2.5
Avg goals against
Belgium0.5
New Zealand0
Clean sheets
Belgium1
Best odds for this sectionNew Zealand Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 14% · edge +31.8 pts
7
Check odds @ 7
Load more odds for this section
New Zealand to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
15
Check odds @ 15
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Belgium to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Season stats reinforce the BTTS pick: New Zealand's offensive output is high with consistent scoring, while their defensive record is leaky. Belgium's strong possession and passing stats underpin their ability to create chances, though their goal conversion has been limited. The combination suggests both teams will find scoring opportunities, supporting the Both Teams to Score market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Belgium220200
4New Zealand12011-2
11Belgium220200
The group standings add pressure on New Zealand to attack for a win, while Belgium's position allows some tactical flexibility but demands avoiding defeat. This dynamic encourages New Zealand's forward play and Belgium's controlled possession, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends as New Zealand push forward and Belgium exploit spaces.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%New Zealand Over 2.5
0%Belgium Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches, New Zealand have consistently participated in games with over 2.5 goals, while Belgium's recent matches have been lower scoring. The average goals per game and BTTS rates suggest a match tempo favoring goal opportunities, especially given New Zealand's attacking style and Belgium's ability to create dangerous attacks, making Over 2.5 goals a plausible trend to watch.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

New Zealand v Belgium prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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