Football Stats Hub

New York City FC crestNew York City FC
v
Chicago Fire crestChicago Fire

Major League Soccer | Sun 26 Jul, 00:30

New York City FC v Chicago Fire Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

New York City FC face Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer on Sun 26 Jul, 00:30. A 3-1 win for New York City FC matches last season’s league doubles and recent head-to-head trends. Chicago Fire have scored in 12 consecutive MLS matches and generate more shots and dangerous attacks than New York City.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 65%, above the 48% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 17/32, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • NYCFC’s attacking momentum and Nicolas Fernandez’s goal contributions support this, while Chicago’s defensive susceptibility and fewer clean sheets suggest they will concede multiple goals.
  • New York City FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Chicago Fire.
  • New York City FC sit 7 in the table, while Chicago Fire sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 65% while the model sits nearer 48% (-17.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 9.5 Corners shows a +11.2 pts edge at 1.73.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 48% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. New York City FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Chicago Fire. NYCFC’s attacking momentum and Nicolas Fernandez’s goal contributions support this, while Chicago’s defensive susceptibility and fewer clean sheets suggest they will concede multiple goals.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Negative
New York City FC have the stronger recent points return.Visible data support
Positive
New York City FC sit 7 in the table.Visible data support
Positive
NYCFC’s attacking momentum and Nicolas Fernandez’s goal contributions support.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: New York City FC Win is the preferred angle because nYCFC’s attacking momentum and Nicolas Fernandez’s goal contributions support this, while Chicago’s defensive susceptibility and fewer clean sheets suggest they will concede multiple goals but still score once. New York City FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Chicago Fire. The four-point gap is significant, but hardly decisive.

Main risk

The four-point gap is significant, but hardly decisive.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

NYCFC’s attacking momentum and Nicolas Fernandez’s goal contributions support this, while Chicago’s defensive susceptibility and fewer clean sheets.

New York City FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Chicago Fire.

New York City FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the New York City FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

New York City FC sit 7 in the table, while Chicago Fire sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    New York City FC2
    Avg corners for
    Chicago Fire4.8
    New York City FC8.8
    Avg total corners
    Chicago Fire12.4
    New York City FC2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Chicago Fire2.8
    New York City FC8.4
    Avg shots
    Chicago Fire14.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Major League Soccer fixtures and predictionsNew York City FC v Chicago Fire predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    New York City FC1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Chicago Fire2
    New York City FC0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Chicago Fire1.6
    New York City FC60%
    BTTS rate
    Chicago Fire80%
    New York City FC60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Chicago Fire80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNew York City FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 41% · edge +7.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    New York City FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    New York City FC to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    New York City FC

    WLDWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    23 Jul 2026A Columbus Crew2-1
    24 May 2026A Nashville SC1-2
    17 May 2026A New York Red Bulls1-1
    14 May 2026A Charlotte1-0
    10 May 2026H Columbus Crew3-0

    Chicago Fire

    LWWWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 3L
    23 Jul 2026A Inter Miami2-3
    24 May 2026H Toronto FC2-1
    16 May 2026A CF Montreal2-0
    14 May 2026A DC United3-1
    09 May 2026H New York Red Bulls1-3
    Market aligned with main pickNew York City FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 41% · edge +7.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    New York City FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6New York City FC wins
    3Draws
    1Chicago Fire wins
    14 Sep 2025Chicago Fire v New York City FC1-3
    25 May 2025New York City FC v Chicago Fire3-1
    25 Aug 2024New York City FC v Chicago Fire2-2
    14 Jul 2024Chicago Fire v New York City FC0-0
    22 Oct 2023New York City FC v Chicago Fire1-0
    05 Mar 2023Chicago Fire v New York City FC1-1
    Market aligned with main pickNew York City FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 41% · edge +7.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    The head-to-head sample gives context for New York City FC to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    New York City FC19
    Played
    Chicago Fire18
    New York City FC1.7
    Avg goals for
    Chicago Fire1.9
    New York City FC1.4
    Avg goals against
    Chicago Fire1.3
    New York City FC3
    Clean sheets
    Chicago Fire6
    Market aligned with main pickNew York City FC to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 41% · edge +7.4 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    New York City FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Season data supports New York City FC to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Chicago Fire3218102610
    7New York City FC26197576
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%New York City FC Over 2.5
    80%Chicago Fire Over 2.5
    2.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: New York City FC sit at 60% and Chicago Fire sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    New York City FC v Chicago Fire prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Chicago Fire v Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · Wed 07 Oct 01:30

    Competition and hubs

    Major League Soccer hubMajor League Soccer fixtures and predictionsNew York City FC v Chicago Fire predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre