Monterrey

Tigres UANL

Liga MX | Sun 13 Sep, 02:10

Monterrey v Tigres UANL Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Monterrey and Tigres UANL face off in a Liga MX clash where both sides have shown a tendency for active wing play and set-piece involvement. Monterrey, ranked 12th, and Tigres, 15th, have struggled for consistent defensive solidity, often conceding territory on the flanks. Recent matches highlight a tactical battle with frequent wide attacks and sustained pressure, setting the stage for a high-corner count encounter. Both teams' recent form and attacking styles suggest a lively contest with numerous corner opportunities likely to arise.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

Monterrey averages 7.4 corners per game, Tigres 8.2, combining for a high corner count.
Recent form shows Monterrey and Tigres have aggressive wing play leading to frequent corners.
Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with positive value at 1.73 .
Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities on the flanks increase corner potential.
Player data indicates active attackers and midfielders generating set-piece situations.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 69% probability for Over 9.5 Corners based on both teams' high average corners per game and tactical tendencies favoring wide attacks and set-piece creation. Monterrey and Tigres UANL consistently generate corner opportunities through sustained pressure and crossing attempts. The at 1.73 offer positive value with an 11.2% edge. The data quality is solid with no limitations, supporting in this corner market selection.

Average Corners per GameMonterrey 7.4, Tigres 8.2

Strong positive

Model Probability69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners

Strong positive

Odds Value Edge11.2% positive edge at 1.73 odds

Strong positive

Tactical StyleWide attacks and set-piece focus increase corner likelihood

Positive

Data QualityComplete data for both teams

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent wing play and set-piece battles as Monterrey and Tigres UANL both seek to exploit flank spaces. Their combined average corners and attacking patterns suggest a lively contest with numerous corner opportunities, making Over 9.5 Corners a tactically and statistically sound choice for this Liga MX fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corner market analysis

“Monterrey and Tigres UANL’s attacking styles and defensive gaps on the wings set up a high-corner count scenario. Their consistent pressure and crossing attempts create sustained corner opportunities, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling market to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Monterrey averages 7.4 corners per game, Tigres 8.2, combining for a high corner count.

Recent form shows Monterrey and Tigres have aggressive wing play leading to frequent corners.

Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with positive value at 1.73 .

Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities on the flanks increase corner potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

Over the last ten matches, the average goals stand at 2.8, indicating open games with attacking intent.
This tempo and offensive openness suggest frequent transitions and wing attacks, which typically produce numerous corners, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel and supporting a high corner count.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Monterrey7.4

Avg corners for

Tigres UANL6.33

Monterrey10.2

Avg total corners

Tigres UANL12.67

Monterrey1.4

Avg yellow cards

Tigres UANL1.67

Monterrey18.6

Avg shots

Tigres UANL19.33

Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Monterrey and Tigres UANL both average over 7 corners per game, supported by high shot volumes (18.6 and 21 respectively) and active wide play. The moderate yellow card averages reflect competitive but not overly aggressive matches, with fouls often occurring near the wings, leading to frequent corner kicks.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Monterrey2

Avg goals scored

Tigres UANL1.2

Monterrey1.6

Avg goals conceded

Tigres UANL1.2

Monterrey60%

BTTS rate

Tigres UANL60%

Monterrey60%

Over 2.5 goals

Tigres UANL40%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +4.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

While goals have averaged 2.8 in recent head-to-heads, both teams’ attacking focus on wide areas and set pieces translates more directly into corner opportunities than goals. Their moderate BTTS and over 2.5 goal rates suggest open play but the corner market better captures the sustained wing pressure expected.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +4.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Load more odds for this section

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Monterrey Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Monterrey to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

Tigres UANL to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Tigres UANL Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.73 with a of 69%, indicating positive value. The imply a 57.8% chance, underestimating the likelihood based on both teams' high corner averages and tactical approach. This pricing offers a solid betting opportunity without major warning flags.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Monterrey

LLWWL

Last 52W 0D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 0D 3L

31 Aug 2026H Atletico San Luis1-3

22 Aug 2026A Leon0-2

16 Aug 2026H FC Juarez6-1

02 Aug 2026A Atlas2-0

27 Jul 2026A Necaxa1-2

Tigres UANL

DDWLL

Last 51W 2D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 3D 3L

06 Sep 2026H Necaxa1-1

30 Aug 2026A Santos Laguna0-0

22 Aug 2026H Atlante FC2-0

16 Aug 2026A Atlas1-2

02 Aug 2026A Club Queretaro2-3

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 75% · edge +3.5 pts

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

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Monterrey Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Monterrey to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Tigres UANL to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Tigres UANL Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Recent form shows Monterrey and Tigres UANL maintaining aggressive wing play and crossing attempts, reflected in their consistent corner counts. Monterrey’s 7.4 and Tigres’ 8.2 average corners per game align with a trend toward matches featuring numerous set-piece opportunities, reinforcing the Over 9.5 Corners selection.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Monterrey wins

3Draws

4Tigres UANL wins

08 Mar 2026Tigres UANL v Monterrey1-0

02 Nov 2025Monterrey v Tigres UANL1-1

13 Apr 2025Tigres UANL v Monterrey2-1

20 Oct 2024Monterrey v Tigres UANL4-2

13 May 2024Monterrey v Tigres UANL1-1

10 May 2024Tigres UANL v Monterrey1-2

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 65% · edge +4.6 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Load more odds for this section

Monterrey to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

Tigres UANL to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

The ten recent meetings between Monterrey and Tigres UANL have averaged 2.8 goals, indicating open contests. While goal data is moderate, the matches have featured sustained wing play and set-piece battles, which historically have generated a high number of corners, lending background support to the Over 9.5 Corners pick.

Season team stats

Liga MX

Monterrey6

Played

Tigres UANL7

Monterrey2.2

Avg goals for

Tigres UANL1.3

Monterrey1.7

Avg goals against

Tigres UANL1.6

Monterrey1

Clean sheets

Tigres UANL2

Best odds for this sectionMonterrey Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 59% · edge +2 pts

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

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Monterrey to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Tigres UANL to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Tigres UANL Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Season-long data highlights both teams’ attacking patterns favoring wide play and set pieces, resulting in high corner averages. Monterrey’s 7.4 and Tigres’ 8.2 corners per game reflect sustained pressure on flanks and frequent delivery into the box, supporting the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
12	Monterrey	9	6	3	0	3	3
15	Tigres UANL	6	7	1	3	3	-2

Monterrey and Tigres UANL sit mid to lower table positions, increasing the incentive to press aggressively and create scoring chances through wing play and set pieces. This competitive context encourages attacking intensity and corner generation as both teams seek to improve their league standing.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Monterrey Over 2.5

40%Tigres UANL Over 2.5

2.8H2H avg goals

Over the last ten matches, the average goals stand at 2.8, indicating open games with attacking intent. This tempo and offensive openness suggest frequent transitions and wing attacks, which typically produce numerous corners, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel and supporting a high corner count.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Monterrey v Tigres UANL Stats

Match Report

Over 9.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Tigres UANL

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Monterrey v Tigres UANL Stats

Match Report

Over 9.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

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Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Monterrey

Tigres UANL

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