Mjallby AIF

Gais

Allsvenskan | Sun 20 Sep, 15:30

Mjallby AIF v Gais Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Allsvenskan clash features Mjallby AIF hosting Gais in a contest where both teams have struggled to find consistent attacking form. Mjallby AIF have scored just 0.6 goals per game recently and conceded 2.4, while Gais have a slightly better defensive record but have only netted 0.8 goals per match. Both sides sit in the lower half of the table, with Gais holding a slight points advantage. The tactical setup suggests a cautious approach, with both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity over expansive attacking play in this midweek fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Mjallby AIF average only 0.6 goals scored per game recently, indicating limited attacking threat.
Gais have a strong defensive record conceding just 1 goal per match on average.
Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates: 40% for Mjallby AIF and 20% for Gais.
Head-to-head matches average just over 2 goals per game, supporting a low-scoring outcome.
Shots on target averages are moderate, with Gais slightly more active but not prolific in finishing.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, reflecting the low scoring outputs and defensive tendencies of both teams. Mjallby AIF's recent struggles to score combined with Gais' solid defensive metrics underpin this forecast. The head-to-head average goals of just over 2 further reinforce the likelihood of a low-scoring match. The price offers positive value with an 18.4% edge, making this a sensible selection based on statistical trends and tactical context.

Model Chance66%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance47.6%

Positive

Value Edge18.4%

Strong positive

Recent Goals ScoredMjallby AIF 0.6, Gais 0.8 per game

Strong positive

Defensive StrengthGais concede 1 goal per game, Mjallby concede 2.4

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a tactical battle with both teams cautious in attack given their recent scoring difficulties. The defensive discipline shown by Gais and Mjallby AIF's low goal output suggest a match unlikely to exceed two goals. This pick aligns well with the teams' form and tactical setups, favoring a low-scoring outcome.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Low-scoring tactical contest

“This fixture looks set for a tight, low-scoring encounter given both sides' struggles to consistently convert chances and their defensive approaches. The Under 2.5 Goals selection reflects the realistic tempo and finishing quality expected.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Mjallby AIF average only 0.6 goals scored per game recently, indicating limited attacking threat.

Gais have a strong defensive record conceding just 1 goal per match on average.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is just over 2, indicating a trend towards tight, low-scoring games.
This sample suggests a slower tempo and defensive solidity from both sides, with limited goal-scoring opportunities, aligning well with the Under 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mjallby AIF3.6

Avg corners for

Gais4.2

Mjallby AIF10

Avg total corners

Gais8.6

Mjallby AIF2

Avg yellow cards

Gais2.2

Mjallby AIF9.6

Avg shots

Gais12.4

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

Check odds @ 2

The average corners are moderate with Gais slightly edging Mjallby AIF, reflecting balanced territorial play. Both teams have similar yellow card averages around 2 per game, indicating a disciplined approach. Shot volumes are modest, with Gais more active but not prolific, reinforcing a controlled, low-tempo match environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mjallby AIF0.6

Avg goals scored

Gais0.8

Mjallby AIF2.4

Avg goals conceded

Gais1

Mjallby AIF60%

BTTS rate

Gais0%

Mjallby AIF40%

Over 2.5 goals

Gais20%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Both teams have low goals scored per game and contrasting BTTS rates, with Mjallby AIF showing 60% BTTS but Gais at 0%. The head-to-head average goals of 2.13 suggest matches tend to be tight with limited scoring, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals route rather than expecting both teams to score.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionGais Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +11.7 pts

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

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Gais to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Mjallby AIF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.7

Check odds @ 2.7

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.1 with a strong of 66%, indicating clear value. The market underestimates the likelihood of a low-scoring game given the teams' recent goal trends and defensive records, making this a positive value bet without price warnings.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mjallby AIF

DDLLL

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 3D 6L

16 Sep 2026A AIK Stockholm1-1

11 Sep 2026A BK Hacken1-1

07 Sep 2026H IFK Goteborg1-4

03 Sep 2026H Djurgardens IF0-2

31 Aug 2026A Djurgardens IF0-4

Gais

LDWLL

Last 51W 1D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 3D 4L

14 Sep 2026A Djurgardens IF0-2

05 Sep 2026H BK Hacken0-0

31 Aug 2026H IF Brommapojkarna4-0

23 Aug 2026A Hammarby FF0-2

16 Aug 2026H Malmo FF0-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 69% · edge +13.3 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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Gais Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Gais to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Mjallby AIF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.7

Check odds @ 2.7

Recent form data shows Mjallby AIF scoring only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 2.4, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities but limited attacking output. Gais have scored slightly more at 0.8 goals per game and conceded fewer goals, indicating a more balanced but still low-scoring profile. Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals rates, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring encounter.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Mjallby AIF wins

3Draws

1Gais wins

23 Apr 2026Gais v Mjallby AIF0-0

22 Mar 2026Mjallby AIF v Gais3-0

25 Aug 2025Gais v Mjallby AIF0-2

06 Apr 2025Mjallby AIF v Gais1-1

26 Oct 2024Mjallby AIF v Gais1-1

21 Apr 2024Gais v Mjallby AIF2-1

Best odds for this sectionGais to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +15 pts

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Mjallby AIF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.7

Check odds @ 2.7

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

The eight previous meetings between Mjallby AIF and Gais have produced an average of 2.13 goals per game, indicating a pattern of relatively low-scoring encounters. This historical data supports the likelihood of a cautious game with limited goals, reinforcing the Under 2.5 Goals selection as a reasonable expectation based on past results.

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Mjallby AIF21

Played

Gais21

Mjallby AIF1.3

Avg goals for

Gais1.2

Mjallby AIF1.7

Avg goals against

Gais1

Mjallby AIF4

Clean sheets

Gais9

Best odds for this sectionGais Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +11.7 pts

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Load more odds for this section

Gais to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Mjallby AIF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.7

Check odds @ 2.7

Season-long statistics reveal both teams have struggled offensively, with Mjallby AIF averaging fewer than 1 goal per game and Gais slightly better but still under 1. Defensively, Gais have been more solid, conceding fewer goals than Mjallby AIF. These season trends support the Under 2.5 Goals selection as both teams lack consistent firepower and defensive resilience.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
10	Gais	27	21	7	6	8	5
12	Mjallby AIF	22	21	5	7	9	-8

Mjallby AIF and Gais occupy lower-mid table positions, separated by only a few points. The standings reflect their struggles for form and goal-scoring consistency, suggesting both sides will prioritize cautious play to avoid defeat rather than open attacking football. This context supports a low-scoring match scenario.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5

20%Gais Over 2.5

2.13H2H avg goals

Over the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is just over 2, indicating a trend towards tight, low-scoring games. This sample suggests a slower tempo and defensive solidity from both sides, with limited goal-scoring opportunities, aligning well with the Under 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Mjallby AIF v Gais Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Mjallby AIF

Gais

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Mjallby AIF v Gais Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Mjallby AIF

Gais

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