Football Stats Hub

Orgryte IS crestOrgryte IS
v
Sirius crestSirius

Allsvenskan | Sat 19 Sep, 16:30

Orgryte IS v Sirius Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Orgryte IS face Sirius in Allsvenskan on Sat 19 Sep, 16:30. Orgryte IS come in with 2 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Sirius have 6 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.7, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 49%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Orgryte IS and 40% for Sirius, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Sirius are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Orgryte IS at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Orgryte IS and 20% for Sirius show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 49% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Orgryte IS and 40% for Sirius, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price49% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Orgryte IS.Visible data support
Positive
Sirius are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sirius are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Orgryte IS at 0.8. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Sirius are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Orgryte IS at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 80% for Orgryte IS and 20% for Sirius show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Orgryte IS4
Avg corners for
Sirius5.6
Orgryte IS12.4
Avg total corners
Sirius12.2
Orgryte IS0.8
Avg yellow cards
Sirius1.6
Orgryte IS10.6
Avg shots
Sirius13.8

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Orgryte IS0.8
Avg goals scored
Sirius1.2
Orgryte IS2
Avg goals conceded
Sirius1.6
Orgryte IS80%
BTTS rate
Sirius20%
Orgryte IS40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sirius40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 37% · edge +11.8 pts
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOrgryte IS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Sirius to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Orgryte IS to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Orgryte IS Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Orgryte IS

LDLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
13 Sep 2026A Malmo FF1-4
06 Sep 2026H Hammarby FF1-1
30 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg0-1
22 Aug 2026H Halmstad1-1
16 Aug 2026A IF Brommapojkarna1-3

Sirius

WWLLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
14 Sep 2026H Degerfors IF2-0
05 Sep 2026A Vasteras SK FK1-0
31 Aug 2026H Malmo FF0-1
21 Aug 2026H BK Hacken0-3
15 Aug 2026A Mjallby AIF3-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 84% vs implied 85% · edge -0.7 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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Orgryte IS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Sirius to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Orgryte IS to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Orgryte IS wins
0Draws
3Sirius wins
11 May 2026Sirius v Orgryte IS2-0
17 Oct 2016Sirius v Orgryte IS4-1
15 May 2016Orgryte IS v Sirius1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 64% · edge +3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Sirius to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Orgryte IS to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Orgryte IS21
Played
Sirius21
Orgryte IS1.1
Avg goals for
Sirius2.4
Orgryte IS2.2
Avg goals against
Sirius1.3
Orgryte IS3
Clean sheets
Sirius7
Best odds for this sectionOrgryte IS Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Sirius to WinBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Orgryte IS to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Season data supports Orgryte IS Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Sirius4821153323
15Orgryte IS15213612-23
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Orgryte IS Over 2.5
40%Sirius Over 2.5
3.33H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Orgryte IS sit at 40% and Sirius sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.