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Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF
v
IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg

Allsvenskan | Sun 20 Sep, 13:00

Djurgardens IF v IF Elfsborg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Djurgardens IF and IF Elfsborg meet in an Allsvenskan clash where both teams have shown a tendency towards tight, low-scoring matches recently. Djurgardens IF boasts a strong defensive record with zero goals conceded in their last fixtures, while IF Elfsborg also concedes sparingly. Both sides rank near the top of the table, adding competitive intensity but also caution in approach. The tactical setup suggests a disciplined midfield battle with neither side pushing aggressively for high-scoring outcomes, setting the stage for a match likely to stay under 2.5 goals.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Djurgardens IF has kept clean sheets recently, conceding 0 goals in last matches.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Djurgardens IF averages 12.2 shots per game with 4.8 on target, showing controlled attacking.
  • IF Elfsborg concedes only 0.6 goals per game, reflecting solid defensive organization.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.5 over the last 10 meetings, supporting a balanced scoring trend.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 57.8% chance, reflecting both teams' strong defensive records and moderate attacking output. Djurgardens IF's recent clean sheets and IF Elfsborg's low goals conceded per game suggest a cautious game with limited scoring. The average goals in their head-to-head matches also align with a controlled tempo. This pick offers positive value at around 2.2, supported by solid defensive data and tactical caution from both sides.

Defensive SolidityDjurgardens IF conceded 0 goals recently; IF Elfsborg concedes 0.6 per game
Strong positive
Goal Scoring RatesBoth teams average moderate shots and goals, limiting high scoring
Positive
Head-to-Head GoalsAverage 2.5 goals in last 10 meetings, indicating balanced scoring
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth teams have 40% over 2.5 matches, showing moderate scoring tendency
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given Djurgardens IF's recent clean sheets and IF Elfsborg's disciplined defense. The match is likely to be tactically cautious with limited clear-cut chances, reflecting in the low goals conceded and moderate attacking stats. This bet aligns well with the defensive strengths and recent form of both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive and tactical discipline

“This fixture’s defensive discipline and moderate attacking output make Under 2.5 Goals a logical choice, as both teams prioritize structure and limit risks in front of goal.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Djurgardens IF has kept clean sheets recently, conceding 0 goals in last matches.

Djurgardens IF averages 12.2 shots per game with 4.8 on target, showing controlled attacking.

IF Elfsborg concedes only 0.6 goals per game, reflecting solid defensive organization.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating a balanced scoring trend without frequent high-scoring games.
  • This trend, combined with recent defensive form and moderate attacking output, suggests a tempo and match environment conducive to Under 2.5 Goals, with neither team consistently breaching defensive lines to create goal-fests.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Djurgardens IF2.4
Avg goals scored
IF Elfsborg1.6
Djurgardens IF0
Avg goals conceded
IF Elfsborg0.6
Djurgardens IF0%
BTTS rate
IF Elfsborg40%
Djurgardens IF40%
Over 2.5 goals
IF Elfsborg40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.3 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Goal trends show both teams have moderate scoring rates with Djurgardens IF averaging 2.4 goals for and IF Elfsborg 1.6, but defensive records are strong, especially for Djurgardens IF with zero goals conceded recently. BTTS rates differ, with Djurgardens IF at 0% and IF Elfsborg at 40%, indicating a likelihood of at least one clean sheet and supporting the Under 2.5 Goals route.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Djurgardens IF

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
14 Sep 2026H Gais2-0
07 Sep 2026A Kalmar FF1-0
03 Sep 2026A Mjallby AIF2-0
31 Aug 2026H Mjallby AIF4-0
24 Aug 2026A Malmo FF3-0

IF Elfsborg

WLWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
13 Sep 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
06 Sep 2026A IF Brommapojkarna1-2
29 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF2-0
23 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg1-1
14 Aug 2026H Vasteras SK FK3-0
Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
IF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form data shows Djurgardens IF with 15 points and zero goals conceded in recent matches, highlighting defensive strength. IF Elfsborg has 10 points with a similarly strong defensive record. Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but recent clean sheets and low goals against favor the Under 2.5 Goals outcome in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Djurgardens IF4121132627
5IF Elfsborg34219758
Djurgardens IF sits 2nd and IF Elfsborg 4th in the Allsvenskan, reflecting competitive stakes that encourage tactical caution. Both teams’ strong defensive records in the league standings context suggest a match where neither side will risk open play, supporting a low-scoring outcome rather than an open, high-scoring game.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
IF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
4
Check odds @ 4
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at around 2.2, offering a positive of 12.3%. The reflect the model’s in a low-scoring game driven by strong defensive performances and balanced attacking threat. This price is justified by the defensive solidity and recent clean sheets, making it a value-backed selection rather than a price-sensitive watch.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Djurgardens IF4.4
Avg corners for
IF Elfsborg4.8
Djurgardens IF6.2
Avg total corners
IF Elfsborg10.2
Djurgardens IF1.4
Avg yellow cards
IF Elfsborg1.2
Djurgardens IF12.2
Avg shots
IF Elfsborg12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 60% · edge -6.2 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams average similar shot volumes (12.2 per game) with a balanced number of shots on target, indicating controlled attacking without excessive pressure. Corner counts are moderate, and card averages are low, suggesting a disciplined match with limited fouling and set-piece chaos, which often correlates with fewer goal-scoring opportunities and supports a low-scoring outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Djurgardens IF wins
2Draws
4IF Elfsborg wins
22 Apr 2026IF Elfsborg v Djurgardens IF2-1
19 Jul 2025Djurgardens IF v IF Elfsborg1-0
19 May 2025IF Elfsborg v Djurgardens IF4-0
22 Nov 2024Djurgardens IF v IF Elfsborg0-3
28 Jul 2024IF Elfsborg v Djurgardens IF1-2
12 May 2024Djurgardens IF v IF Elfsborg2-0
Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
IF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.5 goals per game, reflecting balanced encounters with neither side dominating offensively. This moderate scoring average supports a cautious tactical battle likely to produce fewer goals, aligning well with the Under 2.5 Goals selection for this fixture.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Djurgardens IF21
Played
IF Elfsborg21
Djurgardens IF2.2
Avg goals for
IF Elfsborg1.4
Djurgardens IF0.9
Avg goals against
IF Elfsborg1
Djurgardens IF11
Clean sheets
IF Elfsborg7
Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
IF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Season-long stats reveal Djurgardens IF’s strong defensive profile with zero goals conceded in recent games and an average of 2.4 goals scored, indicating a balanced but cautious approach. IF Elfsborg concedes only 0.6 goals per game, reinforcing defensive discipline. These figures underpin the likelihood of a low-scoring match consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals pick.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
40%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.5, indicating a balanced scoring trend without frequent high-scoring games. This trend, combined with recent defensive form and moderate attacking output, suggests a tempo and match environment conducive to Under 2.5 Goals, with neither team consistently breaching defensive lines to create goal-fests.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.