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Maritimo crestMaritimo
v
Academico Viseu crestAcademico Viseu

Primeira Liga | Sat 22 Aug, 15:30

Maritimo v Academico Viseu Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Maritimo enter this Primeira Liga clash with a perfect start, securing six points from their opening two matches, showcasing efficient attacking play. Academico Viseu, positioned lower in the table, bring a resilient defensive approach, having kept four clean sheets in their last six games and maintaining an unbeaten streak against Maritimo in recent encounters. The tactical contrast between Maritimo's clinical finishing and Viseu's defensive solidity sets the stage for a tightly contested match where a draw appears plausible, reflecting the balance of form, historical results, and tactical setups.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Draw

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 31%, above the 21% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Four of the last six meetings between these teams ended in draws, including the last three at Maritimo's ground.
  • Academico Viseu have kept four clean sheets in their last six matches, conceding only three goals in that span.
  • Maritimo have scored nine goals from 56 shots in their last six matches, showing high shot accuracy (43%).
  • Academico Viseu average more shots per game (12.33) but convert less efficiently with 35% on target.
Price warning

Draw is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 31% while the model sits nearer 21% (-10.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Maritimo to Win shows a +15 pts edge at 2.05.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The draw selection reflects the balance between Maritimo's efficient attack and Academico Viseu's strong defensive record. Historical data shows a high frequency of draws in recent head-to-head matches, with Viseu unbeaten in the last three encounters. Despite Maritimo's early momentum, Viseu's defensive resilience and ability to frustrate opponents support a stalemate outcome. However, the current market price is short compared to the , suggesting caution and recommending reduced stakes or waiting for better . The absence of limited data issues strengthens in this football-led pick.

Historical Draw Frequency4 of last 6 matches ended in draws
Strong positive
Defensive SolidityViseu kept 4 clean sheets in last 6 matches
Positive
Attacking EfficiencyMaritimo 43% shots on target
Positive
Market Price vs Model ChanceImplied chance 32.3% vs model 20.8%
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The draw is a sensible pick given Maritimo's efficient scoring and Academico Viseu's defensive resilience. Viseu's unbeaten recent record against Maritimo and their ability to keep clean sheets suggest a tight contest. The match is likely to be balanced tactically, with both sides capable of scoring but also prone to stalemates, making the draw a logical outcome.

Main risk

Bruno Pinheiro’s side have not won yet, but their recent record is not one of a team being routinely opened up.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical balance and defensive solidity

“Maritimo's sharp finishing contrasts with Academico Viseu's disciplined defense, setting up a tactical stalemate where neither side dominates. This balance makes the draw a compelling and realistic result for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Draw evidence

Four of the last six meetings between these teams ended in draws, including the last three at Maritimo's ground.

Academico Viseu have kept four clean sheets in their last six matches, conceding only three goals in that span.

Maritimo have scored nine goals from 56 shots in their last six matches, showing high shot accuracy (43%).

Academico Viseu average more shots per game (12.33) but convert less efficiently with 35% on target.

What To Watch In The Data

Draw notes

  • Over the last six meetings, four ended in draws with an average of three goals per game, indicating moderate scoring tempo.
  • Both teams have a 50% rate for over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting the potential for goals exists but the trend favors a controlled, balanced game rather than a high-scoring affair.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Maritimo1.5
Avg corners for
Academico Viseu3
Maritimo7
Avg total corners
Academico Viseu9
Maritimo2
Avg yellow cards
Academico Viseu2.5
Maritimo12.5
Avg shots
Academico Viseu9
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Academico Viseu average more corners and have a slightly higher fouling rate, indicating a defensive, physical approach that could disrupt Maritimo's rhythm. Maritimo's lower corner count but higher shot accuracy suggests they rely on quality over quantity, creating a tactical battle with moderate pressure and disciplined defense.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Maritimo1.5
Avg goals scored
Academico Viseu1
Maritimo0.5
Avg goals conceded
Academico Viseu1.5
Maritimo50%
BTTS rate
Academico Viseu50%
Maritimo50%
Over 2.5 goals
Academico Viseu50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have shown a tendency for controlled scoring with moderate shot volumes and efficiency differences. Maritimo convert chances well, while Academico Viseu maintain strong defensive discipline, resulting in a likely low-scoring game with limited goal exchanges and a plausible no BTTS outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDrawBet365 guide price · Model 21% vs implied 31% · edge -10.5 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
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Maritimo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Maritimo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Academico Viseu Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Academico Viseu to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The draw market is priced shorter than the model's estimated chance, indicating the price is currently not a value bet. This suggests caution and recommends reduced stakes or waiting for to drift. The football context supports the draw due to balanced team strengths, but the market's implied probability exceeds the model's , making this a price-sensitive selection.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Maritimo

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026A Famalicao2-1
08 Aug 2026H Casa Pia1-0

Academico Viseu

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
15 Aug 2026H Santa Clara0-1
09 Aug 2026A Benfica2-2
Market aligned with main pickDrawBet365 guide price · Model 21% vs implied 31% · edge -10.5 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
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Maritimo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Maritimo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Academico Viseu Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Academico Viseu to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Both teams have drawn four of their last six matches, reflecting a pattern of closely contested games. Maritimo's recent wins contrast with Academico Viseu's defensive resilience and ability to avoid defeat, suggesting momentum is balanced and supports a draw outcome in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Maritimo wins
4Draws
1Academico Viseu wins
01 Mar 2026Academico Viseu v Maritimo3-1
03 Oct 2025Maritimo v Academico Viseu2-2
09 Mar 2025Maritimo v Academico Viseu1-1
13 Oct 2024Academico Viseu v Maritimo0-2
19 May 2024Academico Viseu v Maritimo2-2
14 Jan 2024Maritimo v Academico Viseu1-1
Market aligned with main pickDrawBet365 guide price · Model 21% vs implied 31% · edge -10.5 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Maritimo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Academico Viseu to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The head-to-head record strongly supports the draw selection, with four of the last six matches finishing level, including the last three at Maritimo's home ground. Academico Viseu's unbeaten streak against Maritimo in recent encounters further reinforces the likelihood of a stalemate, making historical trends a key factor in this prediction.
Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Maritimo2
Played
Academico Viseu3
Maritimo1.5
Avg goals for
Academico Viseu1.3
Maritimo0.5
Avg goals against
Academico Viseu1.7
Maritimo1
Clean sheets
Academico Viseu0
Best odds for this sectionMaritimo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +13.5 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
Maritimo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Academico Viseu Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Academico Viseu to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Maritimo's season stats show efficient scoring with a 43% shot accuracy, while Academico Viseu's defensive record includes multiple clean sheets and low goals conceded. This contrast underlines the tactical balance between attack and defense, reinforcing the likelihood of a draw with controlled goal scoring.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Maritimo732102
11Academico Viseu23021-1
Maritimo's higher league position and six points from two games indicate early momentum, but Academico Viseu's mid-table standing and unbeaten recent away form temper expectations. The standings provide background but do not decisively favor either side, supporting a balanced match scenario.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Maritimo Over 2.5
50%Academico Viseu Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last six meetings, four ended in draws with an average of three goals per game, indicating moderate scoring tempo. Both teams have a 50% rate for over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting the potential for goals exists but the trend favors a controlled, balanced game rather than a high-scoring affair.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.