Football Stats Hub

Mantova crestMantova
v
Sampdoria crestSampdoria

Serie B | Sun 13 Sep, 16:15

Mantova v Sampdoria Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mantova face Sampdoria in Serie B on Sun 13 Sep, 16:15. Mantova come in with 7 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Sampdoria have 1 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Mantova to Win

  • At 2.15, Mantova to Win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • Mantova have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sampdoria.
  • Mantova have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Mantova to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Mantova sit 2 in the table, while Sampdoria sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for Mantova to Win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. Mantova have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sampdoria.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Strong positive
Mantova have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Mantova have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Mantova Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Mantova have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sampdoria. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Mantova to Win evidence

Mantova have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sampdoria.

Mantova have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Mantova Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Mantova sit 2 in the table, while Sampdoria sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Mantova to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Mantova3.33
    Avg corners for
    Sampdoria6.33
    Mantova9.33
    Avg total corners
    Sampdoria9.33
    Mantova1.33
    Avg yellow cards
    Sampdoria2
    Mantova12
    Avg shots
    Sampdoria17.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 55% · edge +11.6 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Mantova2
    Avg goals scored
    Sampdoria1
    Mantova1
    Avg goals conceded
    Sampdoria2
    Mantova100%
    BTTS rate
    Sampdoria100%
    Mantova67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sampdoria67%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 80%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMantova to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Mantova Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Mantova to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Mantova

    DWW
    Last 52W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 0L
    06 Sep 2026A Cesena1-1
    30 Aug 2026H Empoli3-1
    22 Aug 2026A Carrarese2-1

    Sampdoria

    LLD
    Last 50W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 2L
    07 Sep 2026A Palermo1-3
    29 Aug 2026H Juve Stabia1-2
    23 Aug 2026A Cesena1-1
    Market aligned with main pickMantova to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Mantova Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Mantova wins
    1Draws
    1Sampdoria wins
    21 Feb 2026Mantova v Sampdoria2-1
    02 Nov 2025Sampdoria v Mantova0-1
    25 Jan 2025Mantova v Sampdoria2-2
    27 Oct 2024Sampdoria v Mantova1-0
    Market aligned with main pickMantova to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Mantova to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Mantova3
    Played
    Sampdoria3
    Mantova2
    Avg goals for
    Sampdoria1
    Mantova1
    Avg goals against
    Sampdoria2
    Mantova0
    Clean sheets
    Sampdoria0
    Market aligned with main pickMantova to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Mantova Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Season data supports Mantova to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Mantova732103
    18Sampdoria13012-3
    Mantova sit in position 2, while Sampdoria sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Mantova to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Mantova Over 2.5
    67%Sampdoria Over 2.5
    2.25H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Mantova sit at 67% and Sampdoria sit at 67% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Padova v AscoliSerie B · Sat 12 Sep 14:00Sudtirol v ModenaSerie B · Sat 12 Sep 14:00Vicenza Virtus v Juve StabiaSerie B · Sat 12 Sep 14:00Catanzaro v CarrareseSerie B · Sat 12 Sep 16:15

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre