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Mallorca crestMallorca
v
Sabadell crestSabadell

Segunda División | Sun 13 Sep, 17:30

Mallorca v Sabadell Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mallorca face Sabadell in Segunda División on Sun 13 Sep, 17:30. Mallorca come in with 7 recent points and 1.25 goals per match, while Sabadell have 8 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.75, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Mallorca and 25% for Sabadell, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Mallorca are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.25 goals per match, with Sabadell at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Mallorca and 25% for Sabadell show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Mallorca and 25% for Sabadell, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Mallorca and 25%.Visible data support
Positive
Mallorca are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.25.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Mallorca are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.25 goals per match, with Sabadell at 1. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Mallorca are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.25 goals per match, with Sabadell at 1.

BTTS rates of 0% for Mallorca and 25% for Sabadell show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mallorca1.25
Avg goals scored
Sabadell1
Mallorca0.5
Avg goals conceded
Sabadell0.5
Mallorca0%
BTTS rate
Sabadell25%
Mallorca25%
Over 2.5 goals
Sabadell25%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 57% · edge +8.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mallorca

DWLW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
05 Sep 2026A Eldense0-0
30 Aug 2026H AD Ceuta FC3-0
24 Aug 2026A Granada CF0-2
15 Aug 2026H Valladolid2-0

Sabadell

WWDD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
07 Sep 2026H Cordoba3-2
29 Aug 2026H Almeria1-0
23 Aug 2026A Castellón0-0
17 Aug 2026A Sporting Gijon0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Sabadell to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Sabadell Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Mallorca Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Mallorca to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Sabadell842202
8Mallorca742113
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionSabadell to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Load more odds for this section
Sabadell Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Mallorca Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 41%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Mallorca to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Sabadell to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mallorca3.75
Avg corners for
Sabadell4.5
Mallorca8.25
Avg total corners
Sabadell8
Mallorca2.5
Avg yellow cards
Sabadell3.75
Mallorca12.25
Avg shots
Sabadell15
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 50% · edge -9.1 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Mallorca wins
0Draws
1Sabadell wins
26 Apr 2021Sabadell v Mallorca1-0
27 Sep 2020Mallorca v Sabadell1-0
Best odds for this sectionSabadell to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Mallorca to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Sabadell to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Segunda División

Mallorca4
Played
Sabadell4
Mallorca1.3
Avg goals for
Sabadell1
Mallorca0.5
Avg goals against
Sabadell0.5
Mallorca3
Clean sheets
Sabadell3
Best odds for this sectionSabadell to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Load more odds for this section
Sabadell Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Mallorca Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Mallorca to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Season data supports Sabadell to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Mallorca Over 2.5
25%Sabadell Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Mallorca sit at 25% and Sabadell sit at 25% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.