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Maccabi Tel Aviv crestMaccabi Tel Aviv
v
FC Lugano crestFC Lugano

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 27 Aug, 17:00

Maccabi Tel Aviv v FC Lugano Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv hosts FC Lugano in a UEFA Europa Conference League clash where attacking intent and goal-scoring opportunities are expected to be prominent. Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown a strong tendency for high-scoring matches, while FC Lugano arrives with a solid offensive record and a more cautious defensive approach. Both teams have demonstrated a willingness to push forward, setting the stage for an open game with multiple goal chances. The fixture carries continental stakes that encourage offensive play, making goal-scoring a key feature to watch.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Maccabi Tel Aviv has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • FC Lugano averages 2.4 goals scored per game with a 60% Over 2.5 rate.
  • The single head-to-head meeting featured 3 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Lugano both have BTTS rates of 100% and 60% respectively, indicating goal contributions from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 75.8% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, well above the implied 52.6% chance from current , indicating strong value. Maccabi Tel Aviv’s recent matches all exceeded 2.5 goals, while FC Lugano’s attacking output and shot volume support an open game. The combination of offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides underpins the expectation of multiple goals. The data quality is solid, with balanced sample sizes and no significant limitations.

Maccabi Tel Aviv Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
FC Lugano Goals Scored2.4 per game
Positive
Model Chance vs Implied75.8% vs 52.6%
Strong positive
Recent Head-to-Head Goals3 goals in 1 match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as Maccabi Tel Aviv’s high-scoring recent form meets FC Lugano’s effective offense. The data shows both teams create and concede chances, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical outcome based on tactical openness and recent scoring trends.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, creating a fertile environment for multiple goals in this UEFA Conference League fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

FC Lugano averages 2.4 goals scored per game with a 60% Over 2.5 rate.

The single head-to-head meeting featured 3 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Lugano both have BTTS rates of 100% and 60% respectively, indicating goal contributions from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent trends over the last five matches show Maccabi Tel Aviv consistently surpassing 2.5 goals, while FC Lugano maintains a 60% Over 2.5 rate.
  • The single head-to-head meeting featured 3 goals, underscoring a pattern of open, attacking matches with tempo and transitions conducive to multiple scoring opportunities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Avg corners for
FC Lugano6
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Avg total corners
FC Lugano9.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
Avg yellow cards
FC Lugano0.4
Maccabi Tel Aviv11
Avg shots
FC Lugano19.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 29% vs implied 50% · edge -21 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
FC Lugano averages 6 corners and nearly 20 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and wide play. Maccabi Tel Aviv’s 4 corners and 11 shots complement this, suggesting a dynamic match with frequent set-piece opportunities and fouls. The moderate card rates point to competitive but not overly aggressive play, allowing attacking rhythm to flourish.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Avg goals scored
FC Lugano2.4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Avg goals conceded
FC Lugano0.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv100%
BTTS rate
FC Lugano60%
Maccabi Tel Aviv100%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Lugano60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both teams have shown a propensity for goals and BTTS outcomes, with Maccabi Tel Aviv’s recent matches all featuring multiple goals and both teams scoring. FC Lugano’s 60% BTTS rate and 2.4 goals per game underline the likelihood of goals at both ends, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals scenario driven by open play and offensive pressure.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
FC Lugano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
FC Lugano to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Maccabi Tel Aviv to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The Over 2.5 Goals market offers clear value with implying just over 50% chance, while the model estimates a near 76% likelihood. This significant reflects the strong attacking profiles and recent goal trends of both teams, making the market attractive for bettors seeking goal-rich matches.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
20 Aug 2026A FC Lugano1-2

FC Lugano

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
20 Aug 2026H Maccabi Tel Aviv2-1
13 Aug 2026A NSI Runavik2-2
06 Aug 2026H NSI Runavik2-0
29 Jul 2026A Dukagjini5-1
23 Jul 2026H Dukagjini1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 64% · edge +15 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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FC Lugano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
FC Lugano to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Maccabi Tel Aviv to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv’s recent form is characterized by consistent high-scoring games, all exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting offensive potency and defensive openness. FC Lugano’s form shows a solid attack averaging 2.4 goals per game with a decent Over 2.5 rate, indicating both teams are in scoring rhythm and likely to produce a goal-laden encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
0Draws
1FC Lugano wins
20 Aug 2026FC Lugano v Maccabi Tel Aviv2-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
FC Lugano to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Maccabi Tel Aviv to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The limited head-to-head sample of one match featured three goals, suggesting a precedent for an open game with multiple scoring chances. While the sample is small, it aligns with both teams’ attacking tendencies and supports the expectation of a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.
Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Played
FC Lugano5
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Avg goals for
FC Lugano2.4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Avg goals against
FC Lugano0.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
Clean sheets
FC Lugano2
Best odds for this sectionFC Lugano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
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FC Lugano to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Maccabi Tel Aviv to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Season-long data reveals Maccabi Tel Aviv’s attack is prolific but defensively vulnerable, contributing to frequent high-scoring matches. FC Lugano’s balanced scoring and relatively tighter defense suggest a game where offensive opportunities will arise from transitional play and set pieces, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals expectation.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Maccabi Tel Aviv Over 2.5
60%FC Lugano Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent trends over the last five matches show Maccabi Tel Aviv consistently surpassing 2.5 goals, while FC Lugano maintains a 60% Over 2.5 rate. The single head-to-head meeting featured 3 goals, underscoring a pattern of open, attacking matches with tempo and transitions conducive to multiple scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.