KuPS

Shamrock Rovers

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 27 Aug, 16:00

KuPS v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shamrock Rovers host KuPS in the UEFA Europa Conference League first leg, bringing a strong home record into focus with seven consecutive wins and nine goals scored in their last four matches at Tallaght Stadium. Despite recent defensive lapses conceding 11 goals in four games, their attacking momentum remains potent. KuPS arrive after two European away defeats but have scored in four straight matches, showcasing resilience and offensive threat. The clash presents a tactical contrast between Shamrock Rovers' home control and defensive vulnerabilities against KuPS' consistent scoring on the road, setting the stage for an open, competitive encounter with high stakes in this playoff tie.

BT4Y best bet

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score

Shamrock Rovers have won seven consecutive home matches and scored nine goals in their last four games.
Rovers have conceded 11 goals in their last four matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
KuPS have scored in four consecutive matches despite losing their last two European away games.
The combination of Rovers' home strength and KuPS' scoring consistency supports a home win with both teams scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score with a 29.6% chance, higher than the implied market probability of 22.2%, indicating positive value. Shamrock Rovers' strong home scoring form contrasts with their defensive concessions, while KuPS have consistently found the net on the road. This dynamic suggests an open game with goals at both ends, aligning with the combined market. The model is moderate at 48%, reflecting some uncertainty due to recent defensive instability and key absences for Shamrock Rovers. Overall, the pick balances attacking potential and defensive risk to highlight a likely competitive, goal-involved home victory.

Model Chance vs Implied Chance29.6% vs 22.2%

Strong positive

Shamrock Rovers Home Scoring9 goals in last 4 matches

Strong positive

Shamrock Rovers Defensive Record11 goals conceded in last 4 matches

Negative

KuPS Scoring ConsistencyGoals scored in 4 consecutive matches

Positive

Model Confidence48%

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This bet capitalizes on Shamrock Rovers' formidable home scoring streak paired with KuPS' reliable goal-scoring away form. The tactical setup suggests an open match where both sides will find chances, making a home win combined with goals at both ends a compelling outcome. The recent defensive struggles of Shamrock Rovers add to the likelihood of goals for KuPS, reinforcing the combined selection.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal-scoring dynamics

“Shamrock Rovers' attacking firepower at Tallaght, combined with KuPS' consistent scoring on the road, points to a lively contest where both teams are likely to score, but the home side's momentum should secure the win.”

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Shamrock Rovers have won seven consecutive home matches and scored nine goals in their last four games.

Rovers have conceded 11 goals in their last four matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

KuPS have scored in four consecutive matches despite losing their last two European away games.

The combination of Rovers' home strength and KuPS' scoring consistency supports a home win with both teams scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

In the last four matches, both teams have been involved in games with multiple goals, with Shamrock Rovers conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game and KuPS scoring consistently.
This trend over recent fixtures suggests a higher tempo and likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals, reinforcing the expectation of an open, attacking game.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

KuPS1

Avg goals scored

Shamrock Rovers1

KuPS1

Avg goals conceded

Shamrock Rovers1

KuPS100%

BTTS rate

Shamrock Rovers100%

KuPS0%

Over 2.5 goals

Shamrock Rovers0%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

Load more odds for this section

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Both teams have shown strong scoring form recently, with Shamrock Rovers netting nine goals and KuPS scoring in four consecutive matches. However, Rovers' defensive concessions of 11 goals in four matches suggest an open game likely to feature goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS component of the pick.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa Conference League hub full betting preview for KuPS v Shamrock Rovers player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

KuPS

Last 50W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 0L

20 Aug 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-1

Shamrock Rovers

Last 50W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 0L

20 Aug 2026H KuPS1-1

Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Load more odds for this section

Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

2.68

Check odds @ 2.68

Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

Shamrock Rovers' recent form is marked by seven straight home wins and nine goals in four matches, offset by defensive frailties conceding 11 goals. KuPS have scored in four consecutive matches but suffered two European away defeats. This contrast highlights Rovers' home attacking momentum against KuPS' resilience and scoring consistency, fitting the combined win and BTTS market.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +14.2 pts

2.68

Check odds @ 2.68

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 65%

Check odds @ 2

Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The market price of 4.5 for Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score offers positive value compared to the model's 29.6% chance, reflecting in the home side's scoring ability and KuPS' goal threat. This price is attractive given the attacking trends and defensive vulnerabilities, making the combined market a sensible selection rather than a mere long shot.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

KuPS3

Avg corners for

Shamrock Rovers2

KuPS5

Avg total corners

Shamrock Rovers5

KuPS2

Avg yellow cards

Shamrock Rovers0

KuPS0

Avg shots

Shamrock Rovers0

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Load more odds for this section

Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Shamrock Rovers average 2 corners per game with 0 yellow cards recently, indicating disciplined play and controlled attacking pressure. KuPS average 3 corners and 2 yellow cards per game, reflecting active wing play and physicality. KuPS' higher shots on target per game (2) compared to Rovers' (8) highlight Rovers' greater attacking volume but also KuPS' threat on transitions and set pieces.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0KuPS wins

1Draws

0Shamrock Rovers wins

20 Aug 2026Shamrock Rovers v KuPS1-1

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 4

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 65%

Check odds @ 2

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

The limited head-to-head history between Shamrock Rovers and KuPS shows only one recent meeting with an average of 2 goals scored, providing minimal direct evidence. Therefore, current form and tactical context carry greater weight in assessing the likely outcome and goal patterns.

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

KuPS1

Played

Shamrock Rovers1

KuPS1

Avg goals for

Shamrock Rovers1

KuPS1

Avg goals against

Shamrock Rovers1

KuPS0

Clean sheets

Shamrock Rovers0

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +14.2 pts

2.68

Check odds @ 2.68

Load more odds for this section

Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%

Check odds @ 4

Over the season, Shamrock Rovers have demonstrated strong attacking output at home, averaging over two goals per game in recent matches, but their defensive record shows susceptibility with high goals conceded. KuPS maintain a balanced scoring and defensive profile on the road, making the fixture a clash of offensive potency and defensive challenges supporting a goal-filled encounter.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%KuPS Over 2.5

0%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5

2H2H avg goals

In the last four matches, both teams have been involved in games with multiple goals, with Shamrock Rovers conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game and KuPS scoring consistently. This trend over recent fixtures suggests a higher tempo and likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals, reinforcing the expectation of an open, attacking game.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

KuPS v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Match Report

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

KuPS

Shamrock Rovers

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

KuPS v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Match Report

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

KuPS

Shamrock Rovers

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

Next step