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Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC
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Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

Major League Soccer | Sun 26 Jul, 03:30

Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City Stats

Data last updated: Wed 09 Sep 2026, 16:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Los Angeles FC face Sporting Kansas City in Major League Soccer on Sun 26 Jul, 03:30. Los Angeles FC have strong momentum with three straight league wins and a potent attack led by Denis Bouanga and Son Heung-min, both scoring in the last two matches.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2

  • At 17/20, Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Dos Santos’s team are comfortable attacking space, progressing quickly after turnovers and using the movement of their front three to disturb defensive structures.
  • Los Angeles FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Los Angeles FC sit 3 in the table, while Sporting Kansas City sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 54% while the model sits nearer 45% (-9.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +14.3 pts edge at 1.62.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 45% for Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Los Angeles FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge. Dos Santos’s team are comfortable attacking space, progressing quickly after turnovers and using the movement of their front three to disturb defensive structures.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Negative
Los Angeles FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2.Visible data support
Positive
Los Angeles FC sit 3 in the table, while Sporting.Visible data support
Positive
Dos Santos’s team are comfortable attacking space, progressing quickly.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Los Angeles FC Win is the preferred angle because dos Santos’s team are comfortable attacking space, progressing quickly after turnovers and using the movement of their front three to disturb defensive structures. Los Angeles FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Los Angeles FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Sporting Kansas City carry the stronger scoring threat, but Los Angeles FC must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Sporting Kansas City carry the stronger scoring threat, but Los Angeles FC must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2 evidence

Dos Santos’s team are comfortable attacking space, progressing quickly after turnovers and using the movement of their front.

Los Angeles FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Los Angeles FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Los Angeles FC sit 3 in the table, while Sporting Kansas City sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2 notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Los Angeles FC7.2
    Avg corners for
    Sporting Kansas City5.2
    Los Angeles FC13.4
    Avg total corners
    Sporting Kansas City9.8
    Los Angeles FC1
    Avg yellow cards
    Sporting Kansas City1.6
    Los Angeles FC15.8
    Avg shots
    Sporting Kansas City14.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Los Angeles FC2
    Avg goals scored
    Sporting Kansas City2
    Los Angeles FC1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Sporting Kansas City1.6
    Los Angeles FC60%
    BTTS rate
    Sporting Kansas City100%
    Los Angeles FC80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sporting Kansas City100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLos Angeles FC to WinBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 78% · edge -33.1 pts
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Los Angeles FC to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Los Angeles FC

    WWWLL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    23 Jul 2026H Real Salt Lake3-1
    18 Jul 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy3-0
    25 May 2026H Seattle Sounders1-0
    18 May 2026A Nashville SC2-3
    14 May 2026A St. Louis City1-2

    Sporting Kansas City

    WLLWW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 6L
    23 Jul 2026H Minnesota United FC2-1
    17 Jul 2026A St. Louis City2-3
    24 May 2026H New York Red Bulls1-2
    17 May 2026A Austin2-1
    14 May 2026H Los Angeles Galaxy3-1
    Market aligned with main pickLos Angeles FC to WinBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 78% · edge -33.1 pts
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 74%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    8Los Angeles FC wins
    2Draws
    0Sporting Kansas City wins
    09 Jun 2025Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City3-1
    23 Mar 2025Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC0-2
    06 Oct 2024Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC0-3
    26 Sep 2024Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City3-1
    10 Mar 2024Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City0-0
    18 Jun 2023Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC1-2
    Market aligned with main pickLos Angeles FC to WinBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 78% · edge -33.1 pts
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Los Angeles FC to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    Los Angeles FC24
    Played
    Sporting Kansas City23
    Los Angeles FC1.6
    Avg goals for
    Sporting Kansas City1
    Los Angeles FC1
    Avg goals against
    Sporting Kansas City2.5
    Los Angeles FC12
    Clean sheets
    Sporting Kansas City0
    Market aligned with main pickLos Angeles FC to WinBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 78% · edge -33.1 pts
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Load more odds for this section
    Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Season data supports Los Angeles FC to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Los Angeles FC3724107714
    15Sporting Kansas City15234316-35
    Los Angeles FC sit in position 3, while Sporting Kansas City sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Los Angeles FC to win and Over 2 assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Los Angeles FC Over 2.5
    100%Sporting Kansas City Over 2.5
    2.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Los Angeles FC sit at 80% and Sporting Kansas City sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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