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CF Montreal crestCF Montreal
v
Charlotte crestCharlotte

Major League Soccer | Thu 10 Sep, 00:30

CF Montreal v Charlotte Stats

Data last updated: Wed 09 Sep 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Charlotte arrives in strong form, sitting fifth in the Major League Soccer standings with 36 points, nearly doubling CF Montreal's tally of 21 points and 15th place. Charlotte's attack is potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game, while their defense concedes just 1 goal on average. CF Montreal struggles defensively, allowing 2.6 goals per match and scoring only 1.2. This contrast in form and defensive solidity sets up a challenging away fixture for CF Montreal, with Charlotte's balanced play and recent momentum suggesting a tactical edge in this contest.

BT4Y best bet

Charlotte to Win

  • Charlotte ranks 5th with 36 points, showing strong league form compared to CF Montreal's 15th place and 21 points.
  • Charlotte averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes just 1 goal per game, indicating solid offense and defense.
  • CF Montreal concedes 2.6 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate for matches over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game environment.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Charlotte to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior league position, stronger recent form, and better defensive record. Charlotte's attack is more prolific, and their defense is more resilient than CF Montreal's, which concedes significantly more goals. The at 2.8 offer positive value given the implied chance of 35.7%. The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting in this selection. This pick aligns well with the tactical and statistical picture of Charlotte's current control and CF Montreal's struggles.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Charlotte Goals For per Game2.2
Strong positive
CF Montreal Goals Against per Game2.6
Negative
Implied Odds Chance35.7%
Positive
Value Edge34.3%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Charlotte's superior form and defensive stability make them the likely winners in this matchup. Their ability to score consistently and limit opposition chances contrasts sharply with CF Montreal's defensive frailties, providing a strong tactical and statistical basis for backing Charlotte to win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Charlotte's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive discipline positions them well to capitalize on CF Montreal's defensive weaknesses, making them the clear choice for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Charlotte to Win evidence

Charlotte ranks 5th with 36 points, showing strong league form compared to CF Montreal's 15th place and 21 points.

Charlotte averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes just 1 goal per game, indicating solid offense and defense.

CF Montreal concedes 2.6 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have a 60% rate for matches over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game environment.

What To Watch In The Data

Charlotte to Win notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.25, supporting a moderately open game.
  • Both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests a tempo conducive to multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with the potential for an entertaining and goal-rich fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CF Montreal1.2
Avg goals scored
Charlotte2.2
CF Montreal2.6
Avg goals conceded
Charlotte1
CF Montreal80%
BTTS rate
Charlotte60%
CF Montreal60%
Over 2.5 goals
Charlotte60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with CF Montreal conceding heavily and Charlotte scoring freely. This suggests an open game with goal-scoring opportunities on both sides, though Charlotte's defensive strength may limit CF Montreal's chances, balancing the BTTS outlook.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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Charlotte Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Charlotte's at 2.8 reflect a market that underestimates their 70% model win probability, presenting a clear value opportunity. The price is well aligned with the team's strong form and defensive solidity, making this a positive-value bet rather than a price-sensitive or watch-only angle.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

CF Montreal3.5
Avg corners for
Charlotte4
CF Montreal9
Avg total corners
Charlotte15
CF Montreal3
Avg yellow cards
Charlotte2
CF Montreal10
Avg shots
Charlotte10.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Charlotte averages slightly more corners (5) than CF Montreal (4.5), indicating marginally greater attacking pressure. Shot data shows Charlotte creates quality chances with 6 shots on target per game versus CF Montreal's 5, while disciplinary stats are similar, suggesting a balanced contest in terms of fouls and cards.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CF Montreal

LLDWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 4L
06 Sep 2026A Philadelphia Union0-2
30 Aug 2026A Inter Miami1-7
23 Aug 2026H Los Angeles Galaxy2-2
20 Aug 2026A Columbus Crew2-1
16 Aug 2026H DC United1-1

Charlotte

DWWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
06 Sep 2026H Houston Dynamo0-0
30 Aug 2026A Atlanta United FC2-0
23 Aug 2026H DC United3-1
20 Aug 2026A Toronto FC3-3
16 Aug 2026H Columbus Crew3-1
Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Charlotte Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Charlotte's recent form is superior, accumulating 11 points compared to CF Montreal's 5 in recent matches. This momentum reflects in their higher goals scored and fewer conceded, underpinning in their ability to control the game and secure victory.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0CF Montreal wins
0Draws
0Charlotte wins
Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The eight previous meetings average 2.25 goals per game, indicating a moderately scoring history between these teams. While past results provide some context, current form and season stats carry more weight for this fixture given the evolving team dynamics and league positions.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Major League Soccer

CF Montreal23
Played
Charlotte23
CF Montreal1.3
Avg goals for
Charlotte1.7
CF Montreal2.1
Avg goals against
Charlotte1.4
CF Montreal4
Clean sheets
Charlotte5
Market aligned with main pickCharlotte to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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Charlotte Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Season-long data shows Charlotte's balanced profile with 2.2 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game, contrasting with CF Montreal's 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded. This disparity highlights Charlotte's consistent offensive threat and defensive resilience throughout the campaign.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Charlotte362310678
15CF Montreal21235612-18
Charlotte's 5th place standing with 36 points reflects sustained competitiveness and pressure to maintain playoff positioning. CF Montreal's 15th place and 21 points indicate struggles and less league pressure, suggesting Charlotte enters the match with stronger motivation and form.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%CF Montreal Over 2.5
60%Charlotte Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.25, supporting a moderately open game. Both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests a tempo conducive to multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with the potential for an entertaining and goal-rich fixture.

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Fixture links

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