Football Stats Hub

Lazio crestLazio
v
Mantova crestMantova

Coppa Italia | Sun 16 Aug, 20:15

Lazio v Mantova Stats

Data last updated: Sun 27 Sep 2026, 02:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lazio face Mantova in Coppa Italia on Sun 16 Aug, 20:15. Mantova have averaged 57.1% possession across their last 10 league and Coppa Italia matches, yet their 5-0 loss to Frosinone with 57% of the ball shows why possession alone may not protect them in Rome.

BT4Y best bet

Lazio to win and both teams to score

  • At 21/10, Lazio to win and both teams to score implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 35%.
  • Gattuso’s Lazio open with strong attacking momentum from pre-season, led by Zaccagni and Ratkov.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 35% for Lazio to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Gattuso’s Lazio open with strong attacking momentum from pre-season, led by Zaccagni and Ratkov.

Model chance vs price35% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Neutral
Gattuso’s Lazio open with strong attacking momentum from pre-season.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +3 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lazio Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because gattuso’s Lazio open with strong attacking momentum from pre-season, led by Zaccagni and Ratkov. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Lazio to win and both teams to score evidence

Gattuso’s Lazio open with strong attacking momentum from pre-season, led by Zaccagni and Ratkov.

What To Watch In The Data

Lazio to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLazio to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 75% · edge -7.4 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Lazio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Lazio to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lazio-
Avg goals scored
Mantova-
Lazio-
Avg goals conceded
Mantova-
Lazio-
BTTS rate
Mantova-
Lazio-
Over 2.5 goals
Mantova-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +6.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lazio

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lazio yet.

Mantova

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Mantova yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 94% · edge -7.5 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Load more odds for this section
Lazio to WinBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Lazio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Lazio Over 2.5
-Mantova Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Gattuso’s Lazio open with strong attacking momentum from pre-season, led by Zaccagni and Ratkov.

Loading deeper match data…