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Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK
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Tromso crestTromso

Eliteserien | Sun 06 Sep, 18:15

Kristiansund BK v Tromso Stats

Data last updated: Sat 05 Sep 2026, 08:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Eliteserien clash features Tromso, sitting third in the table with strong recent form, visiting Kristiansund BK, who are struggling near the bottom. Tromso have been prolific offensively, averaging over three goals per game recently, while Kristiansund BK have struggled to score and concede more than they score. Tromso's tactical setup emphasizes quick transitions and attacking width, which could exploit Kristiansund BK's defensive vulnerabilities. The stakes are high for Tromso to maintain their top-table push, while Kristiansund BK fight to avoid relegation, setting up a contest with contrasting momentum and tactical urgency.

BT4Y best bet

Tromso to Win

  • Tromso ranks 3rd with 35 points; Kristiansund BK 15th with 16 points
  • Tromso averages 3.2 goals scored per game versus Kristiansund BK's 1.2
  • Both teams have 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating open games
  • Kristiansund BK concedes 1.6 goals per game, Tromso concedes 1.2
  • Jenssen leads with 6 assists and 2.26 key passes per 90 minutes

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Tromso to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior form, attacking output, and league position. Tromso's average of 3.2 goals per game and solid defensive record contrasts with Kristiansund BK's struggles to score and higher goals conceded. Player data highlights Tromso's creative threat through R. Jenssen and attacking options like Ieltsin Camões, enhancing their scoring potential. The at 1.67 offer positive value against the implied 59.9% chance, making Tromso a strong selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Tromso Goals For3.2 per game
Strong positive
Kristiansund BK Goals Against1.6 per game
Negative
Key Player CreativityR. Jenssen 6 assists, 2.26 key passes/90
Strong positive
Price vs Implied ChanceOdds 1.67 vs 59.9% implied chance
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Tromso's superior form and attacking firepower make them the clear favorite in this fixture. Their ability to create quality chances, led by key playmaker R. Jenssen, combined with Kristiansund BK's defensive frailties, suggests Tromso can secure a vital away win to maintain their top-table challenge.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tromso to Win

“Tromso's blend of creative midfield play and clinical finishing gives them a decisive edge over Kristiansund BK, whose defensive lapses have been costly this season. Expect Tromso to control the tempo and capitalize on key moments.”

Key Data Signals

Tromso to Win evidence

Tromso ranks 3rd with 35 points; Kristiansund BK 15th with 16 points

Tromso averages 3.2 goals scored per game versus Kristiansund BK's 1.2

Both teams have 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating open games

Kristiansund BK concedes 1.6 goals per game, Tromso concedes 1.2

What To Watch In The Data

Tromso to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, supporting the trend for multiple goals.
  • Both teams' recent Over 2.5 Goals rates at 80% further suggest this fixture will feature an open tempo and goal-scoring opportunities, consistent with their attacking styles and defensive records.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kristiansund BK1.2
Avg goals scored
Tromso3.2
Kristiansund BK1.6
Avg goals conceded
Tromso1.2
Kristiansund BK80%
BTTS rate
Tromso60%
Kristiansund BK80%
Over 2.5 goals
Tromso80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, indicating open and attacking games. Tromso's higher scoring average and Kristiansund BK's defensive vulnerabilities suggest multiple goals are likely, with a moderate chance of both teams scoring given Tromso's slightly lower BTTS rate of 60%.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The current of 1.67 for Tromso to win reflect a positive value opportunity given the model's 70% win probability. This pricing aligns well with Tromso's strong recent form and attacking statistics, suggesting the market fairly rewards their chances without being overpriced.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kristiansund BK4.2
Avg corners for
Tromso4
Kristiansund BK10.6
Avg total corners
Tromso8.6
Kristiansund BK2.4
Avg yellow cards
Tromso1
Kristiansund BK14.2
Avg shots
Tromso13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Shot data shows Kristiansund BK averages 14.2 shots per game with 3.4 on target, while Tromso averages slightly fewer shots but nearly double the shots on target at 6, indicating better finishing quality. Both teams average around four corners per game, and Kristiansund BK's higher yellow card rate (2.4) versus Tromso's (1) suggests a more aggressive defensive approach that could influence match flow.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kristiansund BK

DLWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
30 Aug 2026A Ham-Kam2-2
16 Aug 2026A Fredrikstad0-1
09 Aug 2026H Molde2-1
02 Aug 2026A KFUM Oslo1-2
25 Jul 2026H Start1-2

Tromso

DLWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
30 Aug 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
16 Aug 2026A Molde2-3
02 Aug 2026A Aalesund6-2
18 Jul 2026A Ham-Kam4-1
11 Jul 2026H Valerenga4-0
Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Tromso's recent form is strong, collecting 10 points in their last matches with a high goal-scoring rate of 3.2 per game. Kristiansund BK has managed only 4 points recently and scores less than half as many goals per game, reflecting a clear momentum advantage for Tromso heading into this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Kristiansund BK wins
3Draws
4Tromso wins
11 Apr 2026Tromso v Kristiansund BK2-0
30 Nov 2025Kristiansund BK v Tromso1-3
24 Sep 2025Tromso v Kristiansund BK2-1
20 Apr 2025Tromso v Kristiansund BK2-3
28 Jul 2024Tromso v Kristiansund BK0-0
21 Apr 2024Kristiansund BK v Tromso1-0
Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.3 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests historically. While past meetings provide some context, current form and player quality differences are more decisive for this fixture, with Tromso's recent control outweighing historical parity.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Kristiansund BK18
Played
Tromso18
Kristiansund BK0.9
Avg goals for
Tromso1.9
Kristiansund BK1.6
Avg goals against
Tromso1.1
Kristiansund BK2
Clean sheets
Tromso9
Market aligned with main pickTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Season-long data shows Tromso as a high-scoring team with a solid defensive record, conceding fewer goals than Kristiansund BK. Kristiansund BK's low scoring and higher goals conceded underpin their relegation-threatened position, reinforcing Tromso's advantage in both attack and defense.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Tromso3518105314
15Kristiansund BK16184410-12
Tromso sits comfortably in 3rd place with 35 points, pushing for top honors, while Kristiansund BK languishes in 15th with 16 points, facing relegation pressure. This disparity highlights the stakes for both teams and the likely motivation gap favoring Tromso to secure three points.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
80%Tromso Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, supporting the trend for multiple goals. Both teams' recent Over 2.5 Goals rates at 80% further suggest this fixture will feature an open tempo and goal-scoring opportunities, consistent with their attacking styles and defensive records.

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