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Kristiansund BK crestKristiansund BK
v
Molde crestMolde

Eliteserien | Sun 09 Aug, 18:15

Kristiansund BK v Molde Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Molde arrives in strong form, sitting fifth in the Eliteserien with 24 points, while Kristiansund BK struggles near the bottom with 12 points. Molde's attack has been prolific, averaging 2.4 goals per game, contrasting with Kristiansund BK's modest 0.6 goals. Both teams have shown tendencies for high-scoring matches, with Molde hitting Over 2.5 Goals in 100% of recent games and Kristiansund BK in 80%. This fixture promises an open contest with Molde pushing for a win and Kristiansund BK eager to improve their standing, setting the stage for multiple goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Molde averages 2.4 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.
  • Kristiansund BK has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, supporting goal volume.
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Molde 100%, Kristiansund BK 60%.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, suggesting goal-rich encounters.
  • Molde's average 16 shots and 6.25 shots on target per game highlight offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 72.1% chance, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Molde's consistent goal-scoring and Kristiansund BK's recent matches featuring multiple goals underpin this view. The high shot volumes and BTTS rates reinforce the likelihood of an open game with several scoring opportunities. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on solid data and tactical context.

Molde's goal scoring2.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Kristiansund BK's Over 2.5 rate80% recent matches
Positive
BTTS ratesMolde 100%, Kristiansund BK 60%
Positive
Shots per gameMolde 16, Kristiansund BK 11.6
Positive
Head-to-head average goals2.7 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Molde's potent attack likely to break through Kristiansund BK's defense multiple times. The data shows both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, and the head-to-head average supports a goal-rich encounter. This match should provide several scoring chances and goals.

Main risk

They are reaching shooting positions with reasonable frequency, but too many possessions are ending without a sufficiently dangerous final action.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“Molde's offensive consistency combined with Kristiansund BK's defensive struggles sets the stage for a lively, goal-filled match. The statistical trends strongly favor Over 2.5 Goals, making it a compelling angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Molde averages 2.4 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.

Kristiansund BK has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, supporting goal volume.

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Molde 100%, Kristiansund BK 60%.

Head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, suggesting goal-rich encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, indicating a trend toward goal-rich games between these teams.
  • Recent matches show a high tempo and attacking intent, with both sides contributing to the goal tally.
  • This trend supports the Over 2.5 Goals pick as a reflection of historical and current attacking dynamics.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kristiansund BK0.6
Avg goals scored
Molde2.4
Kristiansund BK2
Avg goals conceded
Molde2
Kristiansund BK60%
BTTS rate
Molde100%
Kristiansund BK80%
Over 2.5 goals
Molde100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Both teams show strong tendencies for goals and BTTS, with Molde scoring heavily and Kristiansund BK frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals. The combination of Molde's 100% BTTS rate and Kristiansund BK's 60% indicates a game where both sides are likely to find the net, enhancing the Over 2.5 Goals case.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Molde Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Kristiansund BK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 72.1% probability, reflecting Molde's attacking prowess and Kristiansund BK's vulnerability at the back. The absence of price warnings suggests the are fair, supporting a standard stake approach without requiring movement.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kristiansund BK4.6
Avg corners for
Molde6.6
Kristiansund BK10.6
Avg total corners
Molde11.2
Kristiansund BK2
Avg yellow cards
Molde2.4
Kristiansund BK11.6
Avg shots
Molde16.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Molde's average of 6.5 corners and 16 shots per game indicates sustained offensive pressure, likely generating set-piece opportunities and shots on target. Kristiansund BK's 4.6 corners and 11.6 shots suggest they will also create chances, contributing to an active and contested match environment with fouls and cards expected.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kristiansund BK

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
02 Aug 2026A KFUM Oslo1-2
25 Jul 2026H Start1-2
18 Jul 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
12 Jul 2026A Rosenborg0-3
29 May 2026A Valerenga1-3

Molde

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
02 Aug 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF3-3
26 Jul 2026A KFUM Oslo4-2
18 Jul 2026H Brann1-2
11 Jul 2026A Aalesund2-2
30 May 2026H Sandefjord2-1
Best odds for this sectionMolde to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Molde Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Kristiansund BK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
Molde's recent form is strong, with 8 points gained and a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, underscoring their attacking consistency. Kristiansund BK's form is weaker with only 1 point and a lower goal output, but their 80% Over 2.5 rate suggests matches remain open and goal-rich, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Kristiansund BK wins
1Draws
6Molde wins
16 May 2026Molde v Kristiansund BK1-0
06 Feb 2026Molde v Kristiansund BK0-0
04 Oct 2025Kristiansund BK v Molde2-1
21 May 2025Molde v Kristiansund BK3-4
16 May 2025Molde v Kristiansund BK0-1
18 Sep 2024Kristiansund BK v Molde0-4
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Molde to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Kristiansund BK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4
Check odds @ 4
The ten previous meetings between Kristiansund BK and Molde have averaged 2.7 goals per game, suggesting a history of open contests with multiple goals. While the sample size is moderate, it provides a meaningful backdrop that aligns with the current attacking profiles and supports expectations for a high-scoring match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Kristiansund BK15
Played
Molde15
Kristiansund BK0.9
Avg goals for
Molde1.9
Kristiansund BK1.7
Avg goals against
Molde1.5
Kristiansund BK2
Clean sheets
Molde3
Best odds for this sectionMolde to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Molde Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Kristiansund BK Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Kristiansund BK to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season-long data shows Molde averaging 2.4 goals per game while conceding 2, indicating open matches with scoring opportunities. Kristiansund BK's lower scoring average of 0.6 goals and conceding 2 goals per game reflects defensive frailty, which combined with Molde's attack, supports the Over 2.5 Goals market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Molde24157356
15Kristiansund BK1215339-12
Molde's fifth-place position with 24 points contrasts with Kristiansund BK's 15th place and 12 points, highlighting a quality gap. This disparity suggests Molde will push aggressively for goals to maintain their league standing, while Kristiansund BK may be forced into an open game to improve their position, favoring a high-scoring encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Kristiansund BK Over 2.5
100%Molde Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, indicating a trend toward goal-rich games between these teams. Recent matches show a high tempo and attacking intent, with both sides contributing to the goal tally. This trend supports the Over 2.5 Goals pick as a reflection of historical and current attacking dynamics.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Kristiansund BK v Molde prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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