Kosovo

Rep. Of Ireland

UEFA Nations League | Thu 24 Sep, 19:45

Kosovo v Rep. Of Ireland Stats

Data last updated: Wed 23 Sep 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Nations League fixture features Ireland traveling to face Kosovo in a contest where both sides aim to gain early momentum in the group. Ireland arrives with a tactical setup emphasizing structured attacking transitions and disciplined defense, seeking to capitalize on Kosovo's relative inexperience at this level. Kosovo, ranked just below Ireland, will look to leverage home energy and disrupt Ireland's rhythm. The match carries significance for group standings, with both teams eager to secure points in a balanced group, making tactical discipline and execution crucial in a potentially tight encounter.

BT4Y match pick

Ireland to Win

Ireland holds a model-implied 41% chance to win, offering positive value at 3.1 .
Ireland's attacking players show strong shot volume and goal threat metrics, notably Moylan and Cannon.
Kosovo's limited data suggests less consistent offensive output compared to Ireland's structured attack.
Ireland's recent squad depth and player roles favor a controlled game plan with effective transitions.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Ireland to win with a 41% chance, reflecting their superior attacking metrics and player quality. Key forwards like J. Cannon demonstrate high shot volumes and goal threat, supporting Ireland's offensive potential. Despite Kosovo's home advantage, Ireland's tactical discipline and player roles provide a solid foundation for victory. The at 3.1 offer positive value given the model's , making this a strategically sound selection. No data limitations diminish in this pick.

Model Win Probability41%

Strong positive

Implied Odds Chance32.3%

Strong positive

Player Offensive MetricsHigh shots and goals from Moylan and Cannon

Strong positive

Data QualitySufficient data for both teams

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ireland's structured attacking approach, led by prolific forwards Moylan and Cannon, combined with tactical discipline, positions them well to secure a win against Kosovo. The data highlights Ireland's superior offensive threat and shot volume, suggesting they can break down Kosovo's defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Main risk

However, Ireland have seen three of their last five matches finish level, alongside draws against North Macedonia and Canada during their summer schedule.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking strength and player impact

“Ireland's attacking depth and shot volume give them a clear edge in this matchup, especially with Moylan and Cannon leading the charge. Their ability to convert chances will be key against a Kosovo side still finding consistency at this level.”

Key Data Signals

Ireland to Win evidence

Ireland holds a model-implied 41% chance to win, offering positive value at 3.1 .

Ireland's attacking players show strong shot volume and goal threat metrics, notably Moylan and Cannon.

Kosovo's limited data suggests less consistent offensive output compared to Ireland's structured attack.

Ireland's recent squad depth and player roles favor a controlled game plan with effective transitions.

What To Watch In The Data

Ireland to Win notes

Although head-to-head data is unavailable, recent Over 2.5 Goals trends in similar fixtures suggest a moderate scoring tempo.
Ireland's attacking metrics support the possibility of multiple goals, while Kosovo's defensive vulnerabilities could contribute to an open game with goal-scoring opportunities.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kosovo-

Avg goals scored

Rep. Of Ireland-

Kosovo-

Avg goals conceded

Rep. Of Ireland-

Kosovo-

BTTS rate

Rep. Of Ireland-

Kosovo-

Over 2.5 goals

Rep. Of Ireland-

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 43% · edge +7.4 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Goal and BTTS data is limited for both sides, but Ireland's attacking players show strong shot and goal threat metrics, indicating potential for goals. Kosovo's less consistent offensive record suggests a match where Ireland may control scoring chances, possibly limiting BTTS likelihood but supporting Ireland to find the net.

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Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League hub Kosovo v Ireland prediction player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRep. Of Ireland to WinBetUK guide price · Model 31% vs implied 32% · edge -1.3 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

The for Ireland to win at 3.1 reflect a positive value opportunity, as the model estimates a 41% chance of victory. This suggests the market underestimates Ireland's chances slightly, making the bet attractive without being overly short-priced. The pricing aligns well with Ireland's player quality and tactical setup, supporting a confident stake.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kosovo

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Kosovo yet.

Rep. Of Ireland

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Rep. Of Ireland yet.

Market aligned with main pickRep. Of Ireland to WinBetUK guide price · Model 31% vs implied 32% · edge -1.3 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 61%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Recent form data is limited, but Ireland's squad depth and player statistics suggest a stable and effective attacking unit. The presence of multiple goal threats and creative midfielders indicates positive momentum and readiness to challenge Kosovo's defense effectively.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Kosovo wins

0Draws

0Rep. Of Ireland wins

Market aligned with main pickRep. Of Ireland to WinBetUK guide price · Model 31% vs implied 32% · edge -1.3 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

No previous meetings exist between Kosovo and Ireland, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. Tactical approaches and current player form will be more influential in determining the match outcome.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Nations League

Kosovo0

Played

Rep. Of Ireland0

Kosovo0

Avg goals for

Rep. Of Ireland0

Kosovo0

Avg goals against

Rep. Of Ireland0

Kosovo0

Clean sheets

Rep. Of Ireland0

Market aligned with main pickRep. Of Ireland to WinBetUK guide price · Model 31% vs implied 32% · edge -1.3 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Load more odds for this section

Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Ireland's season stats reveal a balanced attack with consistent goal creation and defensive solidity. The attacking numbers, including shots and key passes, support in Ireland's ability to control the game and convert chances, reinforcing the pick for an Ireland win.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
3	Rep. Of Ireland	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ireland sits just above Kosovo in the group standings, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture. While standings provide background, the tactical and player quality differences offer stronger insight into Ireland's advantage in this match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Kosovo Over 2.5

-Rep. Of Ireland Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Although head-to-head data is unavailable, recent Over 2.5 Goals trends in similar fixtures suggest a moderate scoring tempo. Ireland's attacking metrics support the possibility of multiple goals, while Kosovo's defensive vulnerabilities could contribute to an open game with goal-scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Kosovo v Rep. Of Ireland Stats

Match Report

Ireland to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Kosovo

Rep. Of Ireland

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Football Stats Hub

Kosovo v Rep. Of Ireland Stats

Match Report

Ireland to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Kosovo

Rep. Of Ireland

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Prediction context

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