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Andorra crestAndorra
v
Malta crestMalta

UEFA Nations League | Thu 24 Sep, 17:00

Andorra v Malta Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Andorra face Malta in UEFA Nations League on Thu 24 Sep, 17:00. Malta welcome Andorra to Ta' Qali National Stadium on Sunday looking to maintain their unbeaten start to this Nations League campaign and preserve a commanding record in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Is cautious given Malta’s modest scoring average and Andorra’s recent goal against them

  • At 5/1, Is cautious given Malta’s modest scoring average and Andorra’s recent goal against them implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 32%.
  • Their most recent meeting came only a fortnight ago, when Malta won 2-1 away from home.
  • Andorra sit 3 in the table, while Malta sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 32% for Is cautious given Malta’s modest scoring average and Andorra’s recent goal against them sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Andorra sit 3 in the table, while Malta sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Their most recent meeting came only a fortnight ago, when Malta won 2-1 away from home.

Model chance vs price32% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Strong positive
Andorra sit 3 in the table, while Malta sit 1.Visible data support
Positive
Their most recent meeting came only a fortnight ago.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Malta Win is the preferred angle because their most recent meeting came only a fortnight ago, when Malta won 2-1 away from home. Andorra sit 3 in the table, while Malta sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Andorra’s greater concern is at the other end.

Main risk

Andorra’s greater concern is at the other end.

Key Data Signals

Is cautious given Malta’s modest scoring average and Andorra’s recent goal against them evidence

Their most recent meeting came only a fortnight ago, when Malta won 2-1 away from home.

Andorra sit 3 in the table, while Malta sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Is cautious given Malta’s modest scoring average and Andorra’s recent goal against them notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMalta to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 44% · edge -3.5 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 43%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Malta Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Malta to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Andorra-
    Avg goals scored
    Malta-
    Andorra-
    Avg goals conceded
    Malta-
    Andorra-
    BTTS rate
    Malta-
    Andorra-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Malta-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 40% · edge +10 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 43%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Andorra

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Andorra yet.

    Malta

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Malta yet.

    Market aligned with main pickMalta to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 44% · edge -3.5 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
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    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Malta Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Andorra Over 2.5
    -Malta Over 2.5
    1.25H2H avg goals
    Their most recent meeting came only a fortnight ago, when Malta won 2-1 away from home.

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