Football Stats Hub

Austria crestAustria
v
Israel crestIsrael

UEFA Nations League | Thu 24 Sep, 19:45

Austria v Israel Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 05:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Austria face Israel in UEFA Nations League on Thu 24 Sep, 19:45. Ralf Rangnick’s team have won six of their last seven home fixtures and scored 10 goals across three home matches in their last Nations League campaign. Austria's six wins in seven home internationals suggest strong chances against Israel.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Austria to win and both teams to score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 37%, above the 32% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 17/10, Austria to win and both teams to score implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 32%.
  • Austria v Israel: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Concern.
Price warning

Austria to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 37% while the model sits nearer 32% (-5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Israel Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 3.9.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 32% for Austria to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. Austria v Israel: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Concern.

Model chance vs price32% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Negative
Austria v Israel: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -5 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Austria Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because austria v Israel: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Concern. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Austria to win and both teams to score evidence

Austria v Israel: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Concern.

What To Watch In The Data

Austria to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Austria

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Austria yet.

Israel

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Israel yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 83% vs implied 89% · edge -6.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
Austria to WinBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Austria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Austria-
Avg goals scored
Israel-
Austria-
Avg goals conceded
Israel-
Austria-
BTTS rate
Israel-
Austria-
Over 2.5 goals
Israel-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +6.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; the clean-sheet route needs defensive and away-attacking data to support it.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League hubAustria v Israel predictionplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAustria to WinBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 70% · edge -7.7 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Load more odds for this section
Austria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Austria to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Austria Over 2.5
-Israel Over 2.5
5.75H2H avg goals
Austria v Israel: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Concern.

Loading deeper match data…