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Ekstraklasa | Tue 15 Sep, 19:30

Korona Kielce v Gornik Zabrze Stats

Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 12:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze meet in an Ekstraklasa clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and resilience this season. Gornik Zabrze currently leads the league and has a strong offensive record, while Korona Kielce sits mid-table but boasts a solid home defensive record. Both sides have averaged close to two goals per game combined and have a high rate of matches with goals at both ends, setting the stage for an open contest with scoring opportunities for each team.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have an 80% rate of scoring and conceding goals in recent matches.
  • Korona Kielce averages 13.8 shots per game with 5 on target, showing attacking activity.
  • Gornik Zabrze leads the league and averages 12.4 shots with 4.8 on target per match.
  • The head-to-head average goals over last 10 meetings is 2.6, indicating a tendency for both sides to score.
  • Both teams have strong attacking players contributing to goal threats and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking and defensive patterns from both sides. Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze each have an 80% BTTS rate this season, supported by high shot volumes and goal involvement from key attackers like M. Stępiński and E. The pricing at 1.62 offers positive value with a 14.3% edge, making this a compelling selection based on consistent goal threat and match tempo. No data limitations affect in this pick.

BTTS Rate80% for both teams
Strong positive
Shot VolumeKorona 13.8, Gornik 12.4 per game
Positive
Key Player Goal ThreatM. Stępiński 4 goals, E. Prekop 0.81 goals/90
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Implied76% vs 61.7%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical choice. The presence of prolific attackers and high shot volumes on each side supports the expectation of goals at both ends in this competitive Ekstraklasa fixture.

Main risk

The fixture status adds uncertainty, so prices should be checked again once the match details settle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze suggest an open game where both sides are likely to find the net. Their high BTTS rates and key players’ goal involvement underline the strength of this selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have an 80% rate of scoring and conceding goals in recent matches.

Korona Kielce averages 13.8 shots per game with 5 on target, showing attacking activity.

Gornik Zabrze leads the league and averages 12.4 shots with 4.8 on target per match.

The head-to-head average goals over last 10 meetings is 2.6, indicating a tendency for both sides to score.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a trend towards open games with multiple goals.
  • Both teams’ recent matches also show a high frequency of over 2.5 goals, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps, supporting an offensive match environment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Korona Kielce1.6
Avg goals scored
Gornik Zabrze1.8
Korona Kielce0.8
Avg goals conceded
Gornik Zabrze1.2
Korona Kielce80%
BTTS rate
Gornik Zabrze80%
Korona Kielce40%
Over 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze have an 80% BTTS rate this season, reflecting their tendency to both score and concede. Their matches average around 2.6 goals in head-to-head meetings, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Gornik Zabrze to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Korona Kielce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Korona Kielce to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.62 with a of 76%, indicating clear value. The 14.3% suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, supported by strong attacking stats and consistent BTTS rates this season.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Korona Kielce3.2
Avg corners for
Gornik Zabrze6.4
Korona Kielce11.4
Avg total corners
Gornik Zabrze10.2
Korona Kielce1.4
Avg yellow cards
Gornik Zabrze2.6
Korona Kielce13.8
Avg shots
Gornik Zabrze12.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +11.9 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Korona Kielce averages 3.2 corners and 1.4 yellow cards per game, while Gornik Zabrze averages 6.4 corners and 2.6 yellows, indicating Gornik’s more aggressive style. Both teams generate high shot volumes, with Korona at 13.8 and Gornik at 12.4 shots per game, supporting an open and dynamic match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Korona Kielce

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 1L
12 Sep 2026A Slask Wroclaw2-1
05 Sep 2026H Wisla Krakow1-1
28 Aug 2026A Wisla Plock2-0
22 Aug 2026H Motor Lublin1-1
15 Aug 2026A Widzew Łódź2-1

Gornik Zabrze

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 1L
12 Sep 2026H Lech Poznan2-1
06 Sep 2026A Cracovia Krakow1-0
03 Sep 2026A Raków Częstochowa2-1
30 Aug 2026H GKS Katowice2-3
16 Aug 2026H Wisla Krakow2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.2 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Gornik Zabrze to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Korona Kielce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Korona Kielce to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form shows Korona Kielce with 11 points and Gornik Zabrze with 12 points from their last matches, both maintaining strong offensive output with 1.6 and 1.8 goals per game respectively. Their high BTTS rates of 80% reflect ongoing matches where both teams find the net.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Korona Kielce wins
4Draws
6Gornik Zabrze wins
18 Apr 2026Gornik Zabrze v Korona Kielce1-0
18 Oct 2025Korona Kielce v Gornik Zabrze1-1
24 May 2025Gornik Zabrze v Korona Kielce1-1
01 Dec 2024Korona Kielce v Gornik Zabrze2-4
19 Feb 2024Gornik Zabrze v Korona Kielce3-1
12 Aug 2023Korona Kielce v Gornik Zabrze0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Gornik Zabrze to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Korona Kielce to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.6 goals per game, with both teams regularly scoring. This historical data moderately supports the BTTS pick, highlighting a pattern of open contests with goal contributions from both sides.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce7
Played
Gornik Zabrze7
Korona Kielce1.3
Avg goals for
Gornik Zabrze2
Korona Kielce0.9
Avg goals against
Gornik Zabrze1.1
Korona Kielce1
Clean sheets
Gornik Zabrze1
Best odds for this sectionGornik Zabrze to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 40% · edge +4.7 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Gornik Zabrze Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Korona Kielce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Korona Kielce to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Season-long data highlights both teams’ attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities, with Korona Kielce conceding 0.8 goals per game and Gornik Zabrze 1.2. Both teams’ high BTTS percentages and shot volumes support the expectation of goals at both ends in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Gornik Zabrze1876016
6Korona Kielce1273313
Gornik Zabrze leads the Ekstraklasa, while Korona Kielce sits in a competitive mid-table position. The standings reflect Gornik’s attacking strength and Korona’s resilience, suggesting a contest where both sides push for goals to secure points.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Korona Kielce Over 2.5
80%Gornik Zabrze Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a trend towards open games with multiple goals. Both teams’ recent matches also show a high frequency of over 2.5 goals, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps, supporting an offensive match environment.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.