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Koper crestKoper
v
NSI Runavik crestNSI Runavik

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 30 Jul, 19:45

Koper v NSI Runavik Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 03:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League qualifier features Koper hosting NSI Runavik in a first-leg encounter where cautious tactics are expected. Koper have shown strong defensive discipline recently, conceding no goals in their last outings, while NSI Runavik have struggled to score consistently, averaging just one goal per match and conceding more than one. Both teams appear focused on maintaining defensive solidity to avoid early setbacks in this two-legged tie, setting the stage for a low-scoring, tightly contested match under European competition pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Koper have kept clean sheets recently, conceding 0 goals in last matches.
  • NSI Runavik average just 1 goal scored per game with a 33% rate of matches over 2.5 goals.
  • Koper have a 0% rate of both teams scoring in recent games, indicating tight defense.
  • Head-to-head shows only 2 goals scored in their single previous meeting, supporting a low-goal expectation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% probability, reflecting both teams' recent defensive solidity and low scoring output. Koper's clean sheets and NSI Runavik's modest goal tally underline a tactical approach prioritizing control and caution. The limited historical data and balanced defensive records suggest a match unlikely to produce many goals, making Under 2.5 a sensible selection. No price warnings apply, and the standard stake guidance fits the current market context.

Koper Defensive FormStrong (0 goals conceded recently)
Strong positive
NSI Runavik Scoring RateLow (1 goal per match)
Positive
Head-to-Head GoalsLow (2 goals in 1 match)
Positive
BTTS Rate Koper0% (no both teams to score)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical choice given Koper's defensive resilience and NSI Runavik's limited attacking threat. The tactical caution typical in early European qualifiers combined with low recent scoring supports a tight, low-scoring game. This bet aligns well with the teams' current form and match stakes, making it a prudent selection for bettors.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and form analysis

“This fixture looks set for a tactical battle with both teams prioritizing defensive stability over attacking risk, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling angle based on recent performances and competition context.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Koper have kept clean sheets recently, conceding 0 goals in last matches.

Koper have a 0% rate of both teams scoring in recent games, indicating tight defense.

Head-to-head shows only 2 goals scored in their single previous meeting, supporting a low-goal expectation.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The single head-to-head meeting between these teams produced only 2 goals, indicating a trend towards low-scoring encounters.
  • This limited sample, combined with recent form, suggests a controlled tempo and fewer goal opportunities, consistent with Under 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Koper2
Avg goals scored
NSI Runavik1
Koper0
Avg goals conceded
NSI Runavik1.33
Koper0%
BTTS rate
NSI Runavik67%
Koper0%
Over 2.5 goals
NSI Runavik33%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Recent form data shows Koper have not conceded or allowed both teams to score, while NSI Runavik's scoring is modest. This suggests a controlled game with limited goal opportunities and a high likelihood of BTTS No, reinforcing the Under 2.5 Goals pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNSI Runavik Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
NSI Runavik to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Koper Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Koper to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The Under 2.5 Goals market reflects a realistic expectation of a low-scoring match, with the model assigning a strong 66% chance. The absence of price warnings indicates the are aligned with the football context, making this a straightforward, price-sensitive selection rather than a value bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Koper

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Jul 2026A NSI Runavik2-0

NSI Runavik

LWD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
23 Jul 2026H Koper0-2
16 Jul 2026A Hamrun Spartans2-1
09 Jul 2026H Hamrun Spartans1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Load more odds for this section
NSI Runavik Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
NSI Runavik to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Koper Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Koper to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Koper's recent matches show strong defensive performances with clean sheets and no matches exceeding 2.5 goals. NSI Runavik's form includes fewer goals scored and a moderate over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a tendency towards low-scoring games, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Koper wins
0Draws
0NSI Runavik wins
23 Jul 2026NSI Runavik v Koper0-2
Best odds for this sectionNSI Runavik to WinBet365 guide price · Model 31% vs implied 17% · edge +13.5 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Koper to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The only previous meeting between Koper and NSI Runavik ended with 2 total goals, supporting a pattern of low-scoring matches. This historical context aligns with the Under 2.5 Goals pick, though the small sample size means current form and tactics remain more influential.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Koper1
Played
NSI Runavik3
Koper2
Avg goals for
NSI Runavik1
Koper0
Avg goals against
NSI Runavik1.3
Koper1
Clean sheets
NSI Runavik0
Best odds for this sectionNSI Runavik Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
NSI Runavik to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Koper Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Koper to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Season-long statistics underline Koper's defensive solidity and NSI Runavik's modest attacking output. Both teams' low goal concession and scoring averages align with a match unlikely to produce many goals, reinforcing the Under 2.5 Goals market choice.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Koper Over 2.5
33%NSI Runavik Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The single head-to-head meeting between these teams produced only 2 goals, indicating a trend towards low-scoring encounters. This limited sample, combined with recent form, suggests a controlled tempo and fewer goal opportunities, consistent with Under 2.5 Goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.