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Kalju Nomme crestKalju Nomme
v
Shelbourne crestShelbourne

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 30 Jul, 17:00

Kalju Nomme v Shelbourne Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 03:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne host Kalju Nomme in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round first leg at Tolka Park, aiming to rebound from a recent cup penalty shootout exit. Shelbourne have shown consistent attacking output at home, scoring two goals in four of their last five matches, while Kalju Nomme arrive unbeaten in six matches, bringing resilience and a potent counter-attacking threat. The visitors' away form includes conceding goals in four of their last five away games, setting up a tactical battle where Shelbourne's possession and creativity face Kalju's compact defensive shape and quick transitions. Both teams have the capacity to score, making this a tense and open contest with high stakes for the opening leg.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Shelbourne scored exactly two goals in four of their last five matches.
  • Kalju Nomme have conceded in four of their last five away games.
  • Shelbourne have lost only one of their last six home matches at Tolka Park.
  • Kalju Nomme remain unbeaten in six matches across all competitions.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 76% chance, reflecting Shelbourne's steady scoring at home and Kalju Nomme's vulnerability to conceding away. The 2.25 offer strong value against the implied 44% chance, supported by recent form where both sides have consistently breached defenses. Shelbourne's attacking midfield creativity and Kalju's counter-attacking forwards contribute to the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect , and the price is attractive without warning flags.

Shelbourne scoring consistencyScored 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches
Strong positive
Kalju Nomme away defensive recordConceded in 4 of last 5 away matches
Strong positive
Model chance vs implied oddsModel 76% vs implied 44.4%
Strong positive
Recent unbeaten run for Kalju Nomme6 matches unbeaten
Positive
Main risk

If Shelbourne score early, Kalju may be forced to abandon some of their caution.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Shelbourne's creative midfielders and Kalju Nomme's quick forwards create a dynamic where both sides are likely to find the net, especially given Kalju's away defensive struggles and Shelbourne's home scoring consistency.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Shelbourne scored exactly two goals in four of their last five matches.

Kalju Nomme have conceded in four of their last five away games.

Shelbourne have lost only one of their last six home matches at Tolka Park.

Kalju Nomme remain unbeaten in six matches across all competitions.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Shelbourne have a 100% rate of games with over 2.5 goals, while Kalju Nomme have a 67% rate.
  • Their single head-to-head meeting featured 7 goals, indicating a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities.
  • These trends suggest a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals, aligning with the Both Teams to Score market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kalju Nomme1.67
Avg goals scored
Shelbourne5
Kalju Nomme2.33
Avg goals conceded
Shelbourne2
Kalju Nomme67%
BTTS rate
Shelbourne100%
Kalju Nomme67%
Over 2.5 goals
Shelbourne100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability recently, with Shelbourne netting two goals in most matches and Kalju Nomme conceding frequently on the road. This match is expected to feature goals at both ends due to Shelbourne's attacking midfield creativity and Kalju's counter-attacking forwards, aligning well with the Both Teams to Score outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Kalju Nomme Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Kalju Nomme to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 2.25 with an implied chance of 44.4%, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating significant value. This price sensitivity suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of goals from both sides, justified by their recent scoring and conceding trends. The offer a compelling opportunity for bettors seeking a balanced risk-reward scenario in this fixture.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kalju Nomme

LDW
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
23 Jul 2026A Shelbourne2-5
16 Jul 2026A Linfield2-2
09 Jul 2026H Linfield1-0

Shelbourne

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Jul 2026H Kalju Nomme5-2
Best odds for this sectionShelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Kalju Nomme Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Kalju Nomme to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Shelbourne have scored in four of their last five matches, consistently producing two goals per game, while Kalju Nomme remain unbeaten in six matches but have conceded in four of their last five away fixtures. This form suggests both teams are capable of scoring, supporting the Both Teams to Score selection based on recent attacking and defensive outputs.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Kalju Nomme wins
0Draws
1Shelbourne wins
23 Jul 2026Shelbourne v Kalju Nomme5-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Kalju Nomme to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The only previous meeting between these teams produced a high-scoring 7-goal game, indicating offensive openness and defensive lapses on both sides. While the sample is limited, this encounter supports the expectation of goals from both teams in the upcoming fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Kalju Nomme4
Played
Shelbourne2
Kalju Nomme1.8
Avg goals for
Shelbourne3
Kalju Nomme2
Avg goals against
Shelbourne2
Kalju Nomme1
Clean sheets
Shelbourne0
Best odds for this sectionShelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Shelbourne to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Kalju Nomme Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Kalju Nomme to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Shelbourne's season shows a strong home scoring record with frequent multi-goal games, while Kalju Nomme's away statistics reveal defensive vulnerabilities with only one clean sheet in five matches. These season-long trends reinforce the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Kalju Nomme Over 2.5
100%Shelbourne Over 2.5
7H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Shelbourne have a 100% rate of games with over 2.5 goals, while Kalju Nomme have a 67% rate. Their single head-to-head meeting featured 7 goals, indicating a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities. These trends suggest a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals, aligning with the Both Teams to Score market.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.