FK Jablonec

NK Varazdin

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 30 Jul, 17:00

FK Jablonec v NK Varazdin Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League fixture features FK Jablonec hosting NK Varazdin in a match poised for open play and attacking intent. Both teams have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games recently, with each side recording 100% over 2.5 goals in their latest matches. NK Varazdin arrives with a slight edge in recent points and goals scored, while Jablonec's offensive midfielders and defenders contribute actively to goal threats. The tactical setup suggests an open contest with both sides pushing forward, setting the stage for multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Both FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
The only head-to-head meeting between these teams averaged 5 goals, indicating a high-scoring potential.
FK Jablonec's midfielders, especially H. Suchan, generate significant shot volume and goal threat.
NK Varazdin's recent form shows a positive goal difference and points advantage, supporting attacking momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a strong 78% chance for over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' recent matches consistently producing high goal totals. The single head-to-head meeting featured 5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of an open game. FK Jablonec's midfielders contribute heavily to shots and key passes, while NK Varazdin's recent form shows effective attacking output. No price warning is necessary, and the standard stake guidance applies, reflecting in a goal-rich encounter.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams

Strong positive

Head-to-Head Goals5 goals in last meeting

Strong positive

FK Jablonec Shot VolumeH. Ahl averages 12 shots and 12 shots on target per 90

Strong positive

NK Varazdin Recent Form3 points with 3 goals scored in recent matches

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin both demonstrate strong offensive tendencies and recent high-scoring form. The midfield creativity and shot volume from Jablonec's key players, combined with Varazdin's positive goal output, suggest multiple goals are likely in this Europa Conference League tie.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking roles

“This fixture is set for goals given the attacking roles of Jablonec's midfielders and Varazdin's recent scoring momentum. Both sides have shown little defensive rigidity, making over 2.5 goals a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.

The only head-to-head meeting between these teams averaged 5 goals, indicating a high-scoring potential.

FK Jablonec's midfielders, especially H. Suchan, generate significant shot volume and goal threat.

NK Varazdin's recent form shows a positive goal difference and points advantage, supporting attacking momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

The trend panel over recent matches and the single head-to-head fixture shows a consistent pattern of over 2.5 goals, with an average of 5 goals in their last meeting.
This suggests a high-tempo game with defensive vulnerabilities and effective attacking transitions on both sides.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FK Jablonec2

Avg goals scored

NK Varazdin3

FK Jablonec3

Avg goals conceded

NK Varazdin2

FK Jablonec100%

BTTS rate

NK Varazdin100%

FK Jablonec100%

Over 2.5 goals

NK Varazdin100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%

2.62

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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

2.2

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Both teams have consistently produced matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring, as indicated by their 100% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates. The previous encounter featured 5 goals, underscoring the attacking openness and likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

NK Varazdin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

NK Varazdin to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%

4.5

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price

1.5

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DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%

3.75

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FK Jablonec Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

The over 2.5 goals market is supported by a high of 78%, reflecting strong recent scoring trends and a high-scoring head-to-head history. The absence of price warnings indicates this is a solid selection without immediate value concerns, making it a straightforward choice for goal-focused bettors.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FK Jablonec

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

23 Jul 2026A NK Varazdin2-3

NK Varazdin

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

23 Jul 2026H FK Jablonec3-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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NK Varazdin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

NK Varazdin to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

FK Jablonec Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%

1.12

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FK Jablonec to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Recent form data shows both teams scoring multiple goals and achieving over 2.5 goals in all recent matches. NK Varazdin holds a slight advantage with 3 points and 3 goals scored compared to Jablonec's 0 points and 2 goals, suggesting Varazdin enters with better momentum for an open, goal-filled game.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FK Jablonec wins

0Draws

1NK Varazdin wins

23 Jul 2026NK Varazdin v FK Jablonec3-2

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

NK Varazdin to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

FK Jablonec to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

The only previous meeting between FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin was a high-scoring affair with 5 goals, indicating a history of open play and goal opportunities. While the sample is limited, this match-up suggests both teams are capable of contributing to a goal-rich contest.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Jablonec2

Played

NK Varazdin2

FK Jablonec2

Avg goals for

NK Varazdin1.5

FK Jablonec1.5

Avg goals against

NK Varazdin2

FK Jablonec1

Clean sheets

NK Varazdin0

Best odds for this sectionNK Varazdin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

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NK Varazdin to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

FK Jablonec Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

FK Jablonec to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Season-long data confirms both teams maintain high scoring and conceding rates, supporting the over 2.5 goals outlook. FK Jablonec's active midfielders and attacking defenders contribute to goal creation, while NK Varazdin's offensive output aligns with the trend for multiple goals in matches involving these sides.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FK Jablonec Over 2.5

100%NK Varazdin Over 2.5

5H2H avg goals

The trend panel over recent matches and the single head-to-head fixture shows a consistent pattern of over 2.5 goals, with an average of 5 goals in their last meeting. This suggests a high-tempo game with defensive vulnerabilities and effective attacking transitions on both sides.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

FK Jablonec v NK Varazdin Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

FK Jablonec

NK Varazdin

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Football Stats Hub

FK Jablonec v NK Varazdin Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

FK Jablonec

NK Varazdin

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