Football Stats Hub

KI Klaksvik crestKI Klaksvik
v
Kauno Žalgiris crestKauno Žalgiris

UEFA Champions League | Tue 21 Jul, 19:45

KI Klaksvik v Kauno Žalgiris Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 05:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

KI Klaksvik face Kauno Žalgiris in UEFA Champions League on Tue 21 Jul, 19:45. The return match takes place in Lithuania, although Kauno will not be playing at their regular Darius and Girenas Stadium because of a scheduling conflict.

BT4Y lean · price warning

FK Kauno Zalgiris to win

  • At 7/10, FK Kauno Zalgiris to win implies roughly 59%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
  • Kauno Zalgiris have conceded only 15 goals while scoring 38 in their domestic campaign, underlining the defensive strength that supported their goalless first-leg result.
  • KI Klaksvik have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kauno Žalgiris.
  • KI Klaksvik have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the FK Kauno Zalgiris to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

FK Kauno Zalgiris to win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 59% while the model sits nearer 30% (-28.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 30% for FK Kauno Zalgiris to win sits against roughly 59% implied by the current price. KI Klaksvik have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kauno Žalgiris. Kauno Zalgiris have conceded only 15 goals while scoring 38 in their domestic campaign, underlining the defensive strength that supported their goalless first-leg result.

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 59% implied
Negative
KI Klaksvik have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
KI Klaksvik have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Kauno Zalgiris have conceded only 15 goals while scoring.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Kauno Žalgiris Win is the preferred angle because kauno Zalgiris have conceded only that scoring level while scoring 38 in their domestic campaign, underlining the defensive strength that supported their goalless first-leg result. KI Klaksvik have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kauno Žalgiris. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

FK Kauno Zalgiris to win evidence

Kauno Zalgiris have conceded only 15 goals while scoring 38 in their domestic campaign, underlining the defensive strength.

KI Klaksvik have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Kauno Žalgiris.

KI Klaksvik have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Kauno Žalgiris Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

FK Kauno Zalgiris to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    KI Klaksvik2
    Avg goals scored
    Kauno Žalgiris2
    KI Klaksvik1
    Avg goals conceded
    Kauno Žalgiris1.5
    KI Klaksvik100%
    BTTS rate
    Kauno Žalgiris100%
    KI Klaksvik100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Kauno Žalgiris50%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 69% · edge +15 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickKauno Žalgiris to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 33% · edge -3.2 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Kauno Žalgiris Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Kauno Žalgiris to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    KI Klaksvik-
    Avg corners for
    Kauno Žalgiris7
    KI Klaksvik-
    Avg total corners
    Kauno Žalgiris12
    KI Klaksvik-
    Avg yellow cards
    Kauno Žalgiris1
    KI Klaksvik-
    Avg shots
    Kauno Žalgiris27
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    KI Klaksvik

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    15 Jul 2026A Atert Bissen2-1
    07 Jul 2026H Atert Bissen2-1

    Kauno Žalgiris

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    14 Jul 2026A Drita3-2
    07 Jul 2026H Drita1-1
    Market aligned with main pickKauno Žalgiris to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 33% · edge -3.2 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Kauno Žalgiris Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0KI Klaksvik wins
    0Draws
    0Kauno Žalgiris wins
    Market aligned with main pickKauno Žalgiris to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 33% · edge -3.2 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Kauno Žalgiris to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    UEFA Champions League

    KI Klaksvik4
    Played
    Kauno Žalgiris6
    KI Klaksvik1
    Avg goals for
    Kauno Žalgiris1
    KI Klaksvik0.8
    Avg goals against
    Kauno Žalgiris1.7
    KI Klaksvik1
    Clean sheets
    Kauno Žalgiris2
    Market aligned with main pickKauno Žalgiris to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 33% · edge -3.2 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Kauno Žalgiris Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Season data supports Kauno Žalgiris to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    UEFA Champions League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%KI Klaksvik Over 2.5
    50%Kauno Žalgiris Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: KI Klaksvik sit at 100% and Kauno Žalgiris sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.