Football Stats Hub

Bayern München crestBayern München
v
Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

UEFA Champions League | Thu 10 Sep, 20:00

Bayern München v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Wed 09 Sep 2026, 08:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bayern München hosts Bodo/Glimt in a UEFA Champions League opener that pits Bayern's formidable home firepower against a Bodo/Glimt side riding a 20-match unbeaten streak and seven consecutive wins. Bayern's attack, led by Harry Kane and supported by Olise and Musiala, has scored four or more goals in seven of their last nine home matches, while Bodo/Glimt have consistently found the net in European away games despite defensive absences. This clash promises a high-tempo contest with Bayern favored to win but Bodo/Glimt expected to contribute offensively, making for an intriguing tactical battle at the Allianz Arena.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 50%, above the 21% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Bayern have scored 4+ goals in 7 of their last 9 home games in 2026.
  • Bodo/Glimt are unbeaten in 20 matches and have scored in all 4 Champions League away games last season.
  • Bodo/Glimt conceded 8 goals in 4 Champions League away matches last season, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Harry Kane has a strong Champions League scoring record, supporting Bayern's attacking threat.
Price warning

Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 50% while the model sits nearer 21% (-29.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +14.3 pts edge at 1.62.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The selection combines Bayern München's dominant home scoring record with Bodo/Glimt's consistent away goalscoring in Europe, creating a strong football read for a Bayern win with both teams scoring. Bayern's ability to score multiple goals at the Allianz Arena contrasts with Bodo/Glimt's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, while their unbeaten run and attacking threat ensure they will likely find the net. However, the current price is short compared to the model's chance, so this remains a football-led pick rather than a pure value bet. Reduced staking or waiting for improvement is advised.

Bayern Home Scoring7 of last 9 home games with 4+ goals
Strong positive
Bodo/Glimt Away ScoringScored in all 4 CL away matches last season
Positive
Bodo/Glimt Defensive RecordConceded 8 goals in 4 CL away matches last season
Positive
Harry Kane's Form14 CL goals last season, 2 in 4 games this season
Positive
Price vs Model ChanceImplied chance 50% vs model chance 19.5%
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bayern München's exceptional home scoring form and attacking depth make them strong favorites to win, while Bodo/Glimt's unbeaten streak and consistent European away goals underline their threat. This combination suggests a competitive match with goals at both ends, supporting the bet on Bayern to win with both teams scoring.

Main risk

A 3-1 scoreline fits Bayern’s attack and Bodo/Glimt’s scoring ability but is risky.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking and defensive dynamics

“Bayern's relentless home scoring pressure targets a Bodo/Glimt defense that has shown cracks in Europe, but the visitors' unbeaten run and scoring consistency mean Bayern cannot expect a shutout. This dynamic sets up a compelling contest with goals likely from both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Bayern have scored 4+ goals in 7 of their last 9 home games in 2026.

Bodo/Glimt are unbeaten in 20 matches and have scored in all 4 Champions League away games last season.

Bodo/Glimt conceded 8 goals in 4 Champions League away matches last season, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Harry Kane has a strong Champions League scoring record, supporting Bayern's attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Bayern München to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent trends over the last 10 matches indicate a strong tendency for over 2.5 goals in games involving both teams, driven by Bayern's high scoring at home and Bodo/Glimt's consistent away goals.
  • This trend suggests a lively match tempo with multiple scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBayern München Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 91% · edge -45.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Bayern München to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
The market price at 2.0 (50% implied chance) is significantly shorter than the model's estimated 19.5% chance, indicating a price-sensitive selection. the football read is strong due to Bayern's home control and Bodo/Glimt's scoring record, but the current require cautious staking or waiting for improvement to enhance value.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bayern München-
Avg goals scored
Bodo/Glimt3
Bayern München-
Avg goals conceded
Bodo/Glimt1.5
Bayern München-
BTTS rate
Bodo/Glimt75%
Bayern München-
Over 2.5 goals
Bodo/Glimt100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability in recent European matches. Bayern have a high home goal average, while Bodo/Glimt scored in every Champions League away game last season. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a match with multiple goals and both teams finding the net is plausible.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bayern München

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Bayern München yet.

Bodo/Glimt

WWWD
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
25 Aug 2026H NEC Nijmegen3-0
19 Aug 2026A NEC Nijmegen3-1
11 Aug 2026H Union St. Gilloise3-2
04 Aug 2026A Union St. Gilloise3-3
Market aligned with main pickBayern München Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 91% · edge -45.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
Bayern München to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Bodo/Glimt arrive unbeaten in 20 matches with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and 75% BTTS rate, showing strong offensive form. Bayern's recent form data is limited, but their historical home scoring control and attacking depth suggest continued strong performance. The form data supports a match with goals from both sides and a Bayern win.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bayern München-
Avg corners for
Bodo/Glimt4
Bayern München-
Avg total corners
Bodo/Glimt7.75
Bayern München-
Avg yellow cards
Bodo/Glimt1.25
Bayern München-
Avg shots
Bodo/Glimt14.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Bodo/Glimt average 14.5 shots and 6.25 shots on target per game, indicating active offensive pressure. Their average of 4 corners and 1.25 yellow cards per game reflects a balanced attacking approach with moderate discipline issues. Bayern's corner and card data is limited, but their attacking style suggests sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bayern München wins
0Draws
0Bodo/Glimt wins
Market aligned with main pickBayern München to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 93% · edge -65.6 pts
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Bayern München and Bodo/Glimt, so historical data provides no direct insight. The analysis relies on current form, tactical context, and team statistics rather than past meetings.
Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Bayern München0
Played
Bodo/Glimt4
Bayern München0
Avg goals for
Bodo/Glimt3
Bayern München0
Avg goals against
Bodo/Glimt1.5
Bayern München0
Clean sheets
Bodo/Glimt1
Market aligned with main pickBayern München Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 91% · edge -45.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
Bayern München to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Bayern München's season stats highlight a potent home attack with frequent high-scoring games, while Bodo/Glimt's season includes consistent away goals but defensive frailties, conceding multiple goals in European matches. These contrasting profiles underpin the bet on Bayern to win with both teams scoring.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
16Bayern München000000
19Bodo/Glimt000000
Current standings show Bayern München and Bodo/Glimt in mid-table positions early in the competition, offering limited pressure from league context. The focus remains on individual team form and tactical matchups rather than table-driven motivation.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Bayern München Over 2.5
100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends over the last 10 matches indicate a strong tendency for over 2.5 goals in games involving both teams, driven by Bayern's high scoring at home and Bodo/Glimt's consistent away goals. This trend suggests a lively match tempo with multiple scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.