Football Stats Hub

Independiente Medellin crestIndependiente Medellin
v
Cucuta crestCucuta

Primera A | Sun 23 Aug, 02:15

Independiente Medellin v Cucuta Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Independiente Medellin hosts Cucuta in a Primera A clash where the home side sits comfortably in second place, contrasting with Cucuta's struggle near the bottom of the table. Medellin's recent form shows strong attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Cucuta's defense has been leaky, conceding 2.2 goals per match. Cucuta's offense is limited but capable of scoring, making this a contest where both teams have incentives to find the net. Tactical setups suggest an open game with Medellin pressing high and Cucuta seeking counter-attacks, setting the stage for goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Independiente Medellin averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 1.2 per game, showing balanced attack and defense.
  • Cucuta scores 0.6 goals per game but concedes 2.2, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals at both ends this season.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3.29 goals, supporting an open, goal-filled game.
  • Medellin's average 13.8 shots per game and Cucuta's 13.6 shots indicate active offensive play from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 73.3% probability, well above the implied market chance of 47.6%, indicating strong value. Both teams have consistent offensive output and defensive weaknesses that increase the likelihood of goals at both ends. Medellin's home form and Cucuta's vulnerability in defense create a tactical environment favoring mutual scoring. The high level of 88% supports this selection as a solid football read. No data limitations affect this match, reinforcing the reliability of the model's assessment.

Model Probability73.3% chance of BTTS
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance47.6%
Neutral
Recent BTTS Rates60% for both teams
Strong positive
Shot VolumeHigh average shots for both teams
Positive
Defensive WeaknessCucuta concedes 2.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features contrasting team profiles with Medellin's attacking prowess and Cucuta's defensive struggles, making Both Teams to Score a compelling angle given the offensive opportunities and defensive lapses on display.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Independiente Medellin averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 1.2 per game, showing balanced attack and defense.

Cucuta scores 0.6 goals per game but concedes 2.2, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals at both ends this season.

Recent head-to-head matches average 3.29 goals, supporting an open, goal-filled game.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last seven head-to-head matches average 3.29 goals, highlighting a trend toward open, high-scoring encounters.
  • Recent matches show a tempo that favors offensive transitions and defensive gaps, increasing the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and supporting the BTTS market as both teams tend to find the net regularly in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Independiente Medellin1.8
Avg goals scored
Cucuta0.6
Independiente Medellin1.2
Avg goals conceded
Cucuta2.2
Independiente Medellin60%
BTTS rate
Cucuta60%
Independiente Medellin60%
Over 2.5 goals
Cucuta20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals at both ends this season, supported by Medellin's average 1.8 goals scored and Cucuta's ability to find the net despite defensive issues. The head-to-head average of 3.29 goals per match further confirms the likelihood of an open game with scoring from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Independiente Medellin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Cucuta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Independiente Medellin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Cucuta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with around 2.1, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance. The model's 73.3% probability indicates significant value, suggesting the market underestimates the likelihood of goals at both ends. This price point offers a positive expected value opportunity with no current warnings, making it a strong candidate for standard stake backing.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Independiente Medellin5
Avg corners for
Cucuta4.5
Independiente Medellin9
Avg total corners
Cucuta10.25
Independiente Medellin2.8
Avg yellow cards
Cucuta2.5
Independiente Medellin13.8
Avg shots
Cucuta13.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams generate similar shot volumes, with Medellin averaging 13.8 shots and Cucuta 13.6 per game, indicating active offensive play. Corner averages are balanced, and card counts suggest moderate aggression without excessive fouling, supporting a competitive but open match environment conducive to goal opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Independiente Medellin

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
05 Aug 2026A Deportes Tolima3-2
02 Aug 2026H Deportivo Cali1-0
25 Jul 2026H Deportivo Pasto3-2
03 May 2026H Águilas Doradas1-2
26 Apr 2026H Fortaleza FC1-0

Cucuta

DLDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
20 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota1-1
08 Aug 2026A Fortaleza FC0-2
04 Aug 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
27 Jul 2026A Once Caldas1-5
02 May 2026A Jaguares0-2
Best odds for this sectionIndependiente Medellin to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 70% · edge +3.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Load more odds for this section
Cucuta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Independiente Medellin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Cucuta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Recent form data shows Independiente Medellin accumulating 12 points with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Cucuta has struggled with only 2 points and a 0.6 goals scored average but concedes 2.2 goals per match. Both teams' 60% BTTS match rate reflects ongoing tendencies for both to score and concede, reinforcing the pick's validity.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Independiente Medellin wins
1Draws
1Cucuta wins
02 Jun 2026Independiente Medellin v Cucuta2-1
10 Feb 2026Cucuta v Independiente Medellin1-3
06 Oct 2023Independiente Medellin v Cucuta1-2
28 Sep 2023Cucuta v Independiente Medellin0-1
09 Oct 2020Independiente Medellin v Cucuta4-1
11 Oct 2019Independiente Medellin v Cucuta3-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Independiente Medellin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Cucuta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Seven previous meetings between these teams have produced an average of 3.29 goals per game, indicating a history of open matches with multiple goals. This sample supports the expectation of both teams scoring, although recent tactical changes and form should also be considered alongside this historical trend.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Primera A

Independiente Medellin22
Played
Cucuta23
Independiente Medellin1.5
Avg goals for
Cucuta1.1
Independiente Medellin1.3
Avg goals against
Cucuta1.9
Independiente Medellin6
Clean sheets
Cucuta3
Best odds for this sectionIndependiente Medellin to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 70% · edge +3.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Load more odds for this section
Cucuta Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Independiente Medellin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Cucuta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Season-long statistics reveal Medellin's balanced attack and defense with 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Cucuta's defensive frailty is evident in conceding 2.2 goals per match. Both teams maintain a 60% BTTS rate, underscoring consistent patterns of mutual scoring throughout the season.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Independiente Medellin26197572
19Cucuta1619379-13
2Independiente Medellin933003
17Cucuta24022-6
Independiente Medellin's strong league position near the top contrasts with Cucuta's struggle near the bottom, indicating differing stakes and styles. Medellin's push for points and Cucuta's fight to avoid relegation suggest an open game where both sides seek goals, supporting the BTTS outlook without over-reliance on table position.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Independiente Medellin Over 2.5
20%Cucuta Over 2.5
3.29H2H avg goals
The last seven head-to-head matches average 3.29 goals, highlighting a trend toward open, high-scoring encounters. Recent matches show a tempo that favors offensive transitions and defensive gaps, increasing the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and supporting the BTTS market as both teams tend to find the net regularly in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Águilas Doradas v MillonariosPrimera A · Sat 22 Aug 21:30Deportes Tolima v BucaramangaPrimera A · Sat 22 Aug 22:05Santa Fe v America de CaliPrimera A · Sun 23 Aug 00:10Fortaleza FC v Atletico NacionalPrimera A · Sun 23 Aug 20:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre