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Santa Fe crestSanta Fe
v
America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali

Primera A | Sun 23 Aug, 00:10

Santa Fe v America de Cali Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 11:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Primera A clash features America de Cali, top of the table with 12 points, visiting Santa Fe, who sit 11th with 4 points. America de Cali have demonstrated strong attacking form, averaging 2.2 goals per game and maintaining a solid defense conceding just 0.8 goals. Santa Fe's recent form is less convincing, scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding one on average. The visitors' offensive firepower and defensive resilience set the stage for a competitive match with America de Cali as clear favorites to secure victory.

BT4Y best bet

America de Cali to Win

  • America de Cali leads the league with 12 points, Santa Fe has 4 points.
  • America de Cali averages 2.2 goals per game, Santa Fe 1.2 goals.
  • America de Cali concedes fewer goals (0.8) compared to Santa Fe (1.0).
  • America de Cali averages 14.33 shots and 6.33 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Santa Fe has a 60% BTTS rate, America de Cali has 0%, suggesting defensive solidity for America de Cali.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors America de Cali to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, offensive output, and defensive solidity. Their high shot volume and goal-scoring efficiency contrast with Santa Fe's more modest attacking stats. The of 34.3% at of 2.8 indicates a clear value opportunity. No data limitations affect , and the price aligns well with the model's assessment, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Goal Scoring Rate2.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Defensive Record0.8 goals conceded per game
Positive
Shot Volume14.33 shots per game
Strong positive
Value Edge34.3%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

America de Cali's superior attacking numbers and defensive discipline make them the logical choice to win this fixture. Their consistent form and ability to generate high-quality chances provide a tactical and statistical foundation for expecting a victory away from home.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“America de Cali's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience positions them well to control this match and secure the win, especially given Santa Fe's struggles to contain high-pressure offenses.”

Key Data Signals

America de Cali to Win evidence

America de Cali leads the league with 12 points, Santa Fe has 4 points.

America de Cali averages 2.2 goals per game, Santa Fe 1.2 goals.

America de Cali concedes fewer goals (0.8) compared to Santa Fe (1.0).

America de Cali averages 14.33 shots and 6.33 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

America de Cali to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating moderately low-scoring games.
  • Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, suggesting that while goals are not guaranteed, the tempo and attacking intent could produce a competitive match with potential for multiple goals.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Santa Fe3
Avg corners for
America de Cali3.6
Santa Fe6.2
Avg total corners
America de Cali9.2
Santa Fe2
Avg yellow cards
America de Cali2.6
Santa Fe9.2
Avg shots
America de Cali12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 48% · edge +4.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
America de Cali averages 5 corners and 3 yellow cards per game, reflecting active attacking play and a competitive midfield presence. Their higher average shots (14.33) and shots on target (6.33) demonstrate offensive pressure, while Santa Fe's lower corner count and shots suggest less territorial control.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santa Fe1.2
Avg goals scored
America de Cali2.2
Santa Fe1
Avg goals conceded
America de Cali0.8
Santa Fe60%
BTTS rate
America de Cali0%
Santa Fe40%
Over 2.5 goals
America de Cali40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 40% · edge +4 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
5
Check odds @ 5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
America de Cali's matches show a 0% BTTS rate, indicating a tendency to keep clean sheets, while Santa Fe has a 60% BTTS rate. Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting moderate goal-scoring potential but a likely controlled game favoring a single-team scoring pattern.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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America de Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
The of 2.8 for America de Cali to win represent strong value compared to the model's 70% win probability. This pricing reflects in America de Cali's form and quality, making the market attractive for backing the away side without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santa Fe

WDLDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
08 Aug 2026H Chico2-0
03 Aug 2026H Once Caldas2-2
26 Jul 2026A Águilas Doradas1-2
24 May 2026A Junior0-0
17 May 2026H Junior1-1

America de Cali

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
10 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional1-0
06 Aug 2026A Once Caldas1-0
02 Aug 2026H Chico7-0
26 Jul 2026A Internacional de Bogota2-0
13 May 2026A Santa Fe0-4
Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
America de Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
America de Cali's recent form is strong, with 12 points and a higher goal average, reflecting consistent winning performances. Santa Fe's 6 points and lower goal output indicate struggles to maintain momentum, giving America de Cali a clear edge in and match readiness.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Santa Fe wins
3Draws
3America de Cali wins
13 May 2026Santa Fe v America de Cali4-0
10 May 2026America de Cali v Santa Fe1-1
14 Feb 2026America de Cali v Santa Fe1-0
03 Aug 2025Santa Fe v America de Cali2-1
15 Feb 2025America de Cali v Santa Fe2-0
12 Nov 2024America de Cali v Santa Fe0-0
Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 1.9 goals per game, indicating relatively tight encounters. This historical data provides background but does not strongly favor either side, making current form and season stats more relevant for predicting the outcome.
Season team stats

Primera A

Santa Fe27
Played
America de Cali26
Santa Fe1.5
Avg goals for
America de Cali1.4
Santa Fe1.1
Avg goals against
America de Cali0.8
Santa Fe5
Clean sheets
America de Cali14
Market aligned with main pickAmerica de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
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America de Cali Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season statistics highlight America de Cali's superior attack, averaging 2.2 goals per game, and a tighter defense conceding 0.8 goals. Santa Fe's more modest scoring and conceding rates suggest vulnerability, reinforcing America de Cali's advantage in both scoring and defensive stability.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4America de Cali3319103610
7Santa Fe29197847
1America de Cali13541011
11Santa Fe541211
America de Cali's position at the top of the standings with 12 points contrasts with Santa Fe's 11th place and 4 points, underscoring the pressure on Santa Fe to improve results. The standings reflect America de Cali's consistency and form superiority, adding context to their favored status.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Santa Fe Over 2.5
40%America de Cali Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating moderately low-scoring games. Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, suggesting that while goals are not guaranteed, the tempo and attacking intent could produce a competitive match with potential for multiple goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.