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Deportes Tolima crestDeportes Tolima
v
Bucaramanga crestBucaramanga

Primera A | Sat 22 Aug, 22:05

Deportes Tolima v Bucaramanga Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 11:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga face off in a tightly contested Primera A fixture where both teams have shown attacking intent and resilience. Deportes Tolima, ranked third, have been prolific at home with a perfect record of scoring and conceding in recent matches, while Bucaramanga, sitting fifth, also demonstrate a balanced approach with solid defensive work but capable offensive threats. The match promises open play and tactical battles, with both sides eager to secure vital points in a competitive league phase, making goal-scoring opportunities likely for both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Deportes Tolima has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches, showing attacking and defensive openness.
  • Bucaramanga has an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals scored and conceded.
  • Both teams average over 11 shots per game combined, suggesting active offensive play.
  • Deportes Tolima's home form includes a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting goal-rich encounters.
  • The model estimates a 76% chance of both teams scoring, significantly higher than the market implied chance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Both Teams to Score with a 76% probability, reflecting the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities of both Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga. Deportes Tolima's perfect BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals rates at home, combined with Bucaramanga's solid offensive output and 80% BTTS rate, underpin this . The market price offers positive value with a 51% edge, making this an attractive selection. No data limitations affect the reliability of this prediction, and the current fairly reward the attacking profiles of both sides.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Deportes Tolima BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Bucaramanga BTTS Rate80% recent matches
Positive
Market Implied Chance25%
Positive
Value Edge51%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga have demonstrated consistent attacking output coupled with defensive lapses, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. Deportes Tolima's home matches have been particularly open, while Bucaramanga's ability to find the net regularly supports this view. This bet aligns well with the teams' recent form and tactical openness, offering a solid opportunity for goal-scoring action from both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The attacking profiles of Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga suggest a dynamic encounter where both sides are likely to find the net. Their recent matches show a pattern of offensive ambition paired with defensive vulnerabilities, making BTTS a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Deportes Tolima has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches, showing attacking and defensive openness.

Bucaramanga has an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals scored and conceded.

Both teams average over 11 shots per game combined, suggesting active offensive play.

Deportes Tolima's home form includes a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting goal-rich encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.2, which is relatively low, but recent form and team stats show a shift towards more open games with higher scoring.
  • Deportes Tolima's 100% Over 2.5 rate in recent matches contrasts with Bucaramanga's 40%, suggesting a match tempo that could favor goal-scoring opportunities, especially with Deportes Tolima's home advantage and attacking impetus.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportes Tolima1.8
Avg goals scored
Bucaramanga1.4
Deportes Tolima1.8
Avg goals conceded
Bucaramanga1.2
Deportes Tolima100%
BTTS rate
Bucaramanga80%
Deportes Tolima100%
Over 2.5 goals
Bucaramanga40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga have high BTTS rates of 100% and 80% respectively, supported by their goal-scoring and conceding patterns. Deportes Tolima's perfect Over 2.5 Goals rate at home further emphasizes the likelihood of multiple goals. The teams' offensive tendencies and defensive gaps create a fertile environment for goals from both sides in this fixture.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Deportes Tolima to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Bucaramanga to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with implying only a 25% chance, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating significant value. This discrepancy reflects the market underestimating the attacking potential and defensive openness of both teams. The positive of 51% suggests this market is worth backing at current prices without caution flags.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Deportes Tolima5
Avg corners for
Bucaramanga3.4
Deportes Tolima9.5
Avg total corners
Bucaramanga8
Deportes Tolima2
Avg yellow cards
Bucaramanga2.8
Deportes Tolima14
Avg shots
Bucaramanga12.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge +0.3 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
3
Check odds @ 3
Deportes Tolima averages 4.8 corners per game while Bucaramanga averages 3.5, indicating moderate attacking pressure and set-piece opportunities. Shot volumes are healthy, with Deportes Tolima averaging 14 shots and Bucaramanga 11.25, including 5.8 and 4.25 shots on target respectively. Bucaramanga's higher yellow card average (3) compared to Deportes Tolima (1.8) suggests a more aggressive defensive approach, potentially leading to fouls and set-piece chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportes Tolima

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
09 Aug 2026H Internacional de Bogota2-1
05 Aug 2026H Independiente Medellin2-3
01 Aug 2026A Alianza Valledupar2-1
26 Jul 2026H Junior2-1
24 May 2026A Atletico Nacional1-3

Bucaramanga

WDDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
09 Aug 2026A Alianza Valledupar3-2
04 Aug 2026H Cucuta1-1
31 Jul 2026H Llaneros1-1
26 Jul 2026A Millonarios1-0
03 May 2026A Fortaleza FC1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 77% · edge -1 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Deportes Tolima to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Bucaramanga to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form data shows Deportes Tolima with 9 points and a 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals rate, highlighting their open and attacking style. Bucaramanga holds 8 points with an 80% BTTS rate and a more conservative Over 2.5 rate of 40%, indicating a slightly more cautious approach but still prone to conceding. Both teams' recent matches suggest a propensity for goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Deportes Tolima wins
6Draws
2Bucaramanga wins
11 Feb 2026Bucaramanga v Deportes Tolima0-0
04 Dec 2025Bucaramanga v Deportes Tolima0-0
23 Nov 2025Deportes Tolima v Bucaramanga0-0
20 Sep 2025Bucaramanga v Deportes Tolima2-0
06 Apr 2025Deportes Tolima v Bucaramanga2-1
01 Sep 2024Bucaramanga v Deportes Tolima0-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Deportes Tolima to WinBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Bucaramanga to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows a modest average of 1.2 goals per game, indicating historically tighter contests. However, recent form and attacking trends suggest this fixture may deviate from past patterns, with both teams currently exhibiting more offensive intent. Therefore, while H2H provides background, current tactical and form signals carry more weight for this match's goal expectations.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Primera A

Deportes Tolima28
Played
Bucaramanga24
Deportes Tolima1.4
Avg goals for
Bucaramanga1.3
Deportes Tolima1
Avg goals against
Bucaramanga1
Deportes Tolima10
Clean sheets
Bucaramanga9
Best odds for this sectionDeportes Tolima to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 44% · edge +3.7 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Bucaramanga to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Deportes Tolima Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Season-long stats reveal Deportes Tolima's attack and defense both average 1.8 goals per game, reflecting a balanced but open style conducive to goals at both ends. Bucaramanga's figures show a solid defense conceding 1.2 goals per game and an attack scoring 1.4, indicating they can both score and concede regularly. These profiles align with the expectation of both teams finding the net in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Deportes Tolima311987410
13Bucaramanga23195866
3Deportes Tolima1053112
5Bucaramanga952302
Deportes Tolima sits third and Bucaramanga fifth in the league, both with strong point totals (9 and 8 respectively), indicating competitive form and motivation. The close standings suggest a balanced contest where both teams will seek to assert attacking control to secure vital points, increasing the likelihood of offensive engagement and goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Deportes Tolima Over 2.5
40%Bucaramanga Over 2.5
1.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.2, which is relatively low, but recent form and team stats show a shift towards more open games with higher scoring. Deportes Tolima's 100% Over 2.5 rate in recent matches contrasts with Bucaramanga's 40%, suggesting a match tempo that could favor goal-scoring opportunities, especially with Deportes Tolima's home advantage and attacking impetus.

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