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IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg
v
Sirius crestSirius

Allsvenskan | Sun 19 Jul, 15:30

IF Elfsborg v Sirius Stats

Data last updated: Tue 11 Aug 2026, 11:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Elfsborg face Sirius in Allsvenskan on Sun 19 Jul, 15:30. IF Elfsborg come in with 3 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Sirius have 13 points and 2.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Sirius to Win

  • At 1.95, Sirius to Win implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for IF Elfsborg.
  • IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Sirius to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • IF Elfsborg sit 7 in the table, while Sirius sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Sirius to Win sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for IF Elfsborg.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sirius Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for IF Elfsborg. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Sirius to Win evidence

Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for IF Elfsborg.

IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Sirius Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

IF Elfsborg sit 7 in the table, while Sirius sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sirius to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    IF Elfsborg3.2
    Avg corners for
    Sirius5.6
    IF Elfsborg8.6
    Avg total corners
    Sirius11.2
    IF Elfsborg1
    Avg yellow cards
    Sirius1.6
    IF Elfsborg12.2
    Avg shots
    Sirius14.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    IF Elfsborg1
    Avg goals scored
    Sirius2.8
    IF Elfsborg1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Sirius1.6
    IF Elfsborg80%
    BTTS rate
    Sirius80%
    IF Elfsborg40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sirius100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Sirius to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    IF Elfsborg

    LLDDD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 5D 3L
    12 Jul 2026A Gais0-1
    05 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF1-2
    29 May 2026A Orgryte IS2-2
    25 May 2026H BK Hacken1-1
    21 May 2026H Mjallby AIF1-1

    Sirius

    WDWWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 2D 0L
    12 Jul 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-1
    03 Jul 2026H Mjallby AIF4-4
    30 May 2026A AIK Stockholm3-0
    24 May 2026H Gais2-1
    18 May 2026A Djurgardens IF3-2
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6IF Elfsborg wins
    0Draws
    4Sirius wins
    08 Mar 2026IF Elfsborg v Sirius1-2
    26 Oct 2025Sirius v IF Elfsborg4-0
    23 Apr 2025IF Elfsborg v Sirius4-3
    06 Oct 2024Sirius v IF Elfsborg4-1
    29 Apr 2024IF Elfsborg v Sirius2-0
    06 Aug 2023IF Elfsborg v Sirius1-0
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sirius to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    IF Elfsborg16
    Played
    Sirius16
    IF Elfsborg1.3
    Avg goals for
    Sirius2.8
    IF Elfsborg1.1
    Avg goals against
    Sirius1.2
    IF Elfsborg4
    Clean sheets
    Sirius5
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Sirius Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Season data supports Sirius to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Sirius4216133025
    7IF Elfsborg24166643
    IF Elfsborg sit in position 7, while Sirius sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Sirius to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
    100%Sirius Over 2.5
    3.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: IF Elfsborg sit at 40% and Sirius sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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