Hapoel Beer Sheva

FK Crvena Zvezda

UEFA Champions League | Tue 04 Aug, 18:30

Hapoel Beer Sheva v FK Crvena Zvezda Stats

Data last updated: Mon 03 Aug 2026, 04:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Champions League fixture features Hapoel Beer Sheva hosting FK Crvena Zvezda in a high-stakes clash. FK Crvena Zvezda arrives in strong attacking form, averaging 4.5 goals scored and maintaining a perfect over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches. Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown moderate scoring ability but concedes regularly, setting the stage for an open game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. Both teams will look to assert tactical control early, with Crvena Zvezda's offensive firepower likely to test Beer Sheva's defense. The match promises intensity and goal action, reflecting the attacking styles and recent momentum of both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

FK Crvena Zvezda has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, indicating consistent high-scoring games.
Hapoel Beer Sheva concedes an average of 1 goal per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
Crvena Zvezda averages 4.5 goals scored per match, highlighting their attacking potency.
Recent form shows Hapoel Beer Sheva's matches reach over 2.5 goals 50% of the time, supporting an open game scenario.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 75% chance, driven by FK Crvena Zvezda's prolific scoring and perfect recent over 2.5 record. Hapoel Beer Sheva's tendency to concede and moderate scoring further supports a high-goal game. The attacking roles and shot volumes from key Crvena Zvezda players reinforce the likelihood of multiple goals. No price warnings apply, and data quality is sufficient to trust these indicators. This match's offensive dynamics and defensive gaps create a strong case for a goal-rich encounter.

Model Probability75% chance for Over 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

FK Crvena Zvezda Attack4.5 goals per game, 100% over 2.5 rate

Strong positive

Hapoel Beer Sheva DefenseConcedes 1 goal per game on average

Positive

Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 2.5 Rate50% recent matches over 2.5 goals

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match with FK Crvena Zvezda's strong offensive form likely to drive the goal count above 2.5. Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive record and recent goal concessions suggest they may struggle to contain the visitors, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · attacking form and defensive vulnerability

“FK Crvena Zvezda's attacking midfielders and forwards are in excellent form, creating numerous chances and shots on target. Combined with Hapoel Beer Sheva's moderate defensive resilience, this match is primed for multiple goals and an exciting offensive display.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

FK Crvena Zvezda has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently, indicating consistent high-scoring games.

Hapoel Beer Sheva concedes an average of 1 goal per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Crvena Zvezda averages 4.5 goals scored per match, highlighting their attacking potency.

Recent form shows Hapoel Beer Sheva's matches reach over 2.5 goals 50% of the time, supporting an open game scenario.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last five matches, FK Crvena Zvezda has maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, highlighting a consistent pattern of high-scoring games.
This trend, combined with Hapoel Beer Sheva's 50% rate, suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple goals in this encounter.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hapoel Beer Sheva1.5

Avg goals scored

FK Crvena Zvezda4.5

Hapoel Beer Sheva1

Avg goals conceded

FK Crvena Zvezda0

Hapoel Beer Sheva50%

BTTS rate

FK Crvena Zvezda0%

Hapoel Beer Sheva50%

Over 2.5 goals

FK Crvena Zvezda100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

FK Crvena Zvezda's recent matches show a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals but 0% BTTS, indicating they often score multiple goals while keeping clean sheets. Hapoel Beer Sheva's 50% BTTS rate and goal concessions suggest they contribute to goal action, supporting an overall high scoring game with possible clean sheet scenarios.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

The Over 2.5 Goals market reflects strong model at 75%, with no price warnings indicating a balanced value proposition. The consistent high scoring by FK Crvena Zvezda and moderate defensive concessions by Hapoel Beer Sheva support this market as a reasonable expectation rather than a speculative bet.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Last 51W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 1L

29 Jul 2026H Vikingur Reykjavik2-0

21 Jul 2026A Vikingur Reykjavik1-2

FK Crvena Zvezda

Last 52W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 0D 0L

29 Jul 2026H Larne5-0

21 Jul 2026A Larne4-0

Best odds for this sectionFK Crvena Zvezda to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Recent form data shows FK Crvena Zvezda scoring heavily with 4.5 goals per game and a perfect over 2.5 goals record, reflecting potent attacking momentum. Hapoel Beer Sheva's form is more modest but includes a 50% over 2.5 rate and conceding an average of 1 goal per game, indicating matches tend to be open and goal-rich, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals pick.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Hapoel Beer Sheva wins

0Draws

0FK Crvena Zvezda wins

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

No previous head-to-head data exists between these teams, so historical matchups provide no direct insight. The analysis relies instead on current form, player roles, and tactical tendencies to assess the likelihood of goals in this fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Hapoel Beer Sheva2

Played

FK Crvena Zvezda2

Hapoel Beer Sheva1.5

Avg goals for

FK Crvena Zvezda4.5

Hapoel Beer Sheva1

Avg goals against

FK Crvena Zvezda0

Hapoel Beer Sheva1

Clean sheets

FK Crvena Zvezda2

Best odds for this sectionFK Crvena Zvezda to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

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FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

3.9

Check odds @ 3.9

Season-long statistics reinforce the attacking profile of FK Crvena Zvezda, who consistently produce high goal totals and maintain clean sheets, creating a dynamic offensive-defensive balance. Hapoel Beer Sheva's season stats show moderate scoring and defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting this fixture will likely feature multiple goals as both teams engage offensively.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 2.5

100%FK Crvena Zvezda Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Over the last five matches, FK Crvena Zvezda has maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, highlighting a consistent pattern of high-scoring games. This trend, combined with Hapoel Beer Sheva's 50% rate, suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple goals in this encounter.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Hapoel Beer Sheva v FK Crvena Zvezda Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Hapoel Beer Sheva

FK Crvena Zvezda

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Football Stats Hub

Hapoel Beer Sheva v FK Crvena Zvezda Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Hapoel Beer Sheva

FK Crvena Zvezda

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