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Ararat-Armenia crestArarat-Armenia
v
Celje crestCelje

UEFA Champions League | Tue 04 Aug, 17:00

Ararat-Armenia v Celje Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 14:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ararat-Armenia face Celje in UEFA Champions League on Tue 04 Aug, 17:00. Ararat-Armenia have lost every away match in this Champions League qualifying campaign despite winning every first leg. Both teams arrive with domestic wins behind them. Celje's home form and Ararat-Armenia's away struggles shape the likely outcome of this qualifier.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 1.73, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Ararat-Armenia show a 50% BTTS rate and Celje show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Ararat-Armenia average 1.75 goals scored and Celje average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Ararat-Armenia show a 50% BTTS rate and Celje show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Ararat-Armenia show a 50% BTTS rate and Celje show a.Visible data support
Positive
Ararat-Armenia average 1.75 goals scored and Celje average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Ararat-Armenia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Celje show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Svit Seslar’s 22nd-minute penalty gave Celje the lead in Armenia, but Artur Serobyan and Franca turned the match around.

Main risk

Svit Seslar’s 22nd-minute penalty gave Celje the lead in Armenia, but Artur Serobyan and Franca turned the match around.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Ararat-Armenia show a 50% BTTS rate and Celje show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Ararat-Armenia average 1.75 goals scored and Celje average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ararat-Armenia1.75
Avg goals scored
Celje2
Ararat-Armenia1.25
Avg goals conceded
Celje2
Ararat-Armenia50%
BTTS rate
Celje100%
Ararat-Armenia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Celje50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Champions League hubfull betting preview for Ararat-Armenia v Celjeplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ararat-Armenia

LWLW
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
28 Jul 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-2
21 Jul 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-0
14 Jul 2026A Riga2-3
07 Jul 2026H Riga2-0

Celje

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
28 Jul 2026H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
22 Jul 2026A Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0.1 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Ararat-Armenia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Ararat-Armenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
UEFA Champions League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Ararat-Armenia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Ararat-Armenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Ararat-Armenia wins
0Draws
0Celje wins
24 Sep 2020Ararat-Armenia v Celje1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Ararat-Armenia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Ararat-Armenia6
Played
Celje6
Ararat-Armenia1.5
Avg goals for
Celje1.8
Ararat-Armenia1.3
Avg goals against
Celje1.7
Ararat-Armenia2
Clean sheets
Celje1
Best odds for this sectionArarat-Armenia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 35% · edge +5.7 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Ararat-Armenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season data supports Ararat-Armenia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Ararat-Armenia Over 2.5
50%Celje Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ararat-Armenia sit at 50% and Celje sit at 50% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Ararat-Armenia v Celje prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

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Competition and hubs

UEFA Champions League hubUEFA Champions League hubfull betting preview for Ararat-Armenia v Celjeplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre