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Ararat-Armenia crestArarat-Armenia
v
Celje crestCelje

UEFA Champions League | Tue 04 Aug, 17:00

Ararat-Armenia v Celje Stats

Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 10:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ararat-Armenia face Celje in UEFA Champions League on Tue 04 Aug, 17:00. Ararat-Armenia have lost every away match in this Champions League qualifying campaign despite winning every first leg. Both teams arrive with domestic wins behind them. Celje's home form and Ararat-Armenia's away struggles shape the likely outcome of this qualifier.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 4/5, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 71%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Ararat-Armenia show a 50% BTTS rate and Celje show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Ararat-Armenia average 1.75 goals scored and Celje average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 71% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Ararat-Armenia show a 50% BTTS rate and Celje show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price71% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Strong positive
Ararat-Armenia show a 50% BTTS rate and Celje show a.Visible data support
Positive
Ararat-Armenia average 1.75 goals scored and Celje average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Ararat-Armenia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Celje show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Svit Seslar’s 22nd-minute penalty gave Celje the lead in Armenia, but Artur Serobyan and Franca turned the match around.

Main risk

Svit Seslar’s 22nd-minute penalty gave Celje the lead in Armenia, but Artur Serobyan and Franca turned the match around.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Ararat-Armenia show a 50% BTTS rate and Celje show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Ararat-Armenia average 1.75 goals scored and Celje average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ararat-Armenia1.75
Avg goals scored
Celje2
Ararat-Armenia1.25
Avg goals conceded
Celje2
Ararat-Armenia50%
BTTS rate
Celje100%
Ararat-Armenia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Celje50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Champions League hubfull betting preview for Ararat-Armenia v Celjefootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ararat-Armenia

LWLW
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
28 Jul 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-2
21 Jul 2026H Shamrock Rovers2-0
14 Jul 2026A Riga2-3
07 Jul 2026H Riga2-0

Celje

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
28 Jul 2026H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
22 Jul 2026A Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Ararat-Armenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Ararat-Armenia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Ararat-Armenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Ararat-Armenia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Ararat-Armenia2
Avg corners for
Celje-
Ararat-Armenia4
Avg total corners
Celje-
Ararat-Armenia3
Avg yellow cards
Celje-
Ararat-Armenia6
Avg shots
Celje-
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Ararat-Armenia wins
0Draws
0Celje wins
24 Sep 2020Ararat-Armenia v Celje1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Ararat-Armenia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Ararat-Armenia6
Played
Celje6
Ararat-Armenia1.5
Avg goals for
Celje1.8
Ararat-Armenia1.3
Avg goals against
Celje1.7
Ararat-Armenia2
Clean sheets
Celje1
Best odds for this sectionArarat-Armenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Load more odds for this section
Ararat-Armenia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Celje Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season data supports Ararat-Armenia Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Ararat-Armenia Over 2.5
50%Celje Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ararat-Armenia sit at 50% and Celje sit at 50% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Ararat-Armenia v Celje prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Ararat-Armenia v Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa League · Thu 27 Aug 17:00

Competition and hubs

UEFA Champions League hubUEFA Champions League hubfull betting preview for Ararat-Armenia v Celjefootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre