Football Stats Hub

Hapoel Beer Sheva crestHapoel Beer Sheva
v
Dinamo Zagreb crestDinamo Zagreb

UEFA Europa League | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Hapoel Beer Sheva v Dinamo Zagreb Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa League opener features Hapoel Beer Sheva hosting Dinamo Zagreb in a fixture charged with tactical intrigue and defensive questions. Both sides face pressure to start their European campaigns positively, with Dinamo Zagreb aiming to leverage their experience and attacking depth. Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive uncertainties could be exploited by Dinamo's dynamic forwards, while the home side's offensive efforts suggest a contest where both teams may find the net. The match promises an open encounter with stakes high for group stage momentum.

BT4Y match pick

Dinamo Zagreb to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Dinamo Zagreb combines a strong attack with experience in European competition.
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva shows defensive vulnerabilities that could allow goals.
  • Both teams have attacking players with high shot volumes and goal threat.
  • The fixture's stakes encourage offensive intent from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 19.5% chance for Dinamo Zagreb to win with both teams scoring, while the market price implies a 27% chance, indicating a short price. Despite this, the football context supports the selection due to Dinamo's attacking prowess and Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive questions. Reduced staking is advised given the negative , with potential for stronger value if drift or line-ups reveal more attacking intent. Player-level data highlights key attackers capable of influencing the scoreline, reinforcing the combined bet's appeal.

Model chance19.5%
Positive
Market implied chance27%
Negative
Dinamo Zagreb attacking strengthstrong
Positive
Hapoel Beer Sheva defensive issuesnoted vulnerability
Positive
Price sensitivityshort price, reduce stake
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Dinamo Zagreb's combination of European experience and attacking depth makes them a strong candidate for victory, while Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive frailties suggest both teams can score. This bet captures the tactical balance and offensive potential of the fixture, aligning well with recent form and player capabilities.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and player-level analysis

“Dinamo Zagreb's offensive firepower and Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive questions set the stage for a competitive match where both teams are likely to find the net, making the combined win and BTTS selection a compelling football-led choice.”

Key Data Signals

Dinamo Zagreb to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Dinamo Zagreb combines a strong attack with experience in European competition.

Hapoel Beer Sheva shows defensive vulnerabilities that could allow goals.

Both teams have attacking players with high shot volumes and goal threat.

The fixture's stakes encourage offensive intent from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Dinamo Zagreb to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • The last two head-to-head matches averaged 4.5 goals, a strong indicator for Over 2.5 Goals.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play, with both teams likely to contribute to the goal tally through transitions and set-piece situations.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Hapoel Beer Sheva wins
1Draws
1Dinamo Zagreb wins
31 Jul 2018Hapoel Beer Sheva v Dinamo Zagreb2-2
24 Jul 2018Dinamo Zagreb v Hapoel Beer Sheva5-0
Market aligned with main pickDinamo Zagreb to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 54% · edge -4.6 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The two previous meetings between these teams have been high-scoring affairs, averaging 4.5 goals per match. This limited sample supports the expectation of an open game with goals from both sides, though current tactical setups and player availability will also influence the outcome.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Hapoel Beer Sheva yet.

Dinamo Zagreb

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Dinamo Zagreb yet.

Market aligned with main pickDinamo Zagreb Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.2 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Dinamo Zagreb to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Recent form data is limited, but Dinamo Zagreb's European experience and squad depth suggest better preparedness for this fixture. Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive uncertainties and less consistent performances add to the likelihood of an away win with goals from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hapoel Beer Sheva-
Avg goals scored
Dinamo Zagreb-
Hapoel Beer Sheva-
Avg goals conceded
Dinamo Zagreb-
Hapoel Beer Sheva-
BTTS rate
Dinamo Zagreb-
Hapoel Beer Sheva-
Over 2.5 goals
Dinamo Zagreb-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
With an average of 4.5 goals in their two previous meetings, the fixture historically leans towards high-scoring encounters. Both teams possess attacking players with high shot volumes and goal threat, indicating a strong likelihood of goals from both sides in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDinamo Zagreb Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.2 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Dinamo Zagreb to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The market price of 3.7 for Dinamo Zagreb to win with both teams scoring is shorter than the model's 19.5% chance, indicating a negative . This suggests caution with staking, but the football context—Dinamo's attacking quality and Hapoel Beer Sheva's defensive concerns—supports the selection as a football-driven pick rather than pure value.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Hapoel Beer Sheva0
Played
Dinamo Zagreb0
Hapoel Beer Sheva0
Avg goals for
Dinamo Zagreb0
Hapoel Beer Sheva0
Avg goals against
Dinamo Zagreb0
Hapoel Beer Sheva0
Clean sheets
Dinamo Zagreb0
Market aligned with main pickDinamo Zagreb Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.2 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Dinamo Zagreb to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Dinamo Zagreb's season stats reflect a balanced attack and defense, with key attackers contributing regularly to goals and shots on target. Hapoel Beer Sheva's attacking numbers are notable but paired with defensive vulnerabilities, reinforcing the expectation of goals conceded and scored in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Dinamo Zagreb000000
13Hapoel Beer Sheva000000
Both teams sit mid-table in their domestic leagues, indicating competitive but not dominant form. The Europa League group stage context places more emphasis on European performance and tactical execution rather than league standings, making this match a critical opportunity for momentum.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 2.5
-Dinamo Zagreb Over 2.5
4.5H2H avg goals
The last two head-to-head matches averaged 4.5 goals, a strong indicator for Over 2.5 Goals. This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play, with both teams likely to contribute to the goal tally through transitions and set-piece situations.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Hapoel Beer Sheva v Dinamo Zagreb prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Omonia Nicosia v Celta VigoUEFA Europa League · Wed 16 Sep 17:45Ararat-Armenia v Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League · Wed 16 Sep 17:45Bayer Leverkusen v CeljeUEFA Europa League · Wed 16 Sep 20:00AC Milan v BenficaUEFA Europa League · Wed 16 Sep 20:00

Competition and hubs

UEFA Europa League hubUEFA Europa League hubHapoel Beer Sheva v Dinamo Zagreb predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre