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Hammarby FF crestHammarby FF
v
BK Hacken crestBK Hacken

Allsvenskan | Sun 09 Aug, 13:00

Hammarby FF v BK Hacken Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

BK Hacken and Hammarby FF meet in a pivotal Allsvenskan clash with both sides near the top of the table, separated only by goal difference. BK Hacken remain unbeaten at home but have conceded regularly, with every home match featuring at least three goals, exposing defensive vulnerabilities. Hammarby FF bring a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game but have stumbled in recent away fixtures, losing two of their last three. The contest promises a tactical midfield battle with possession and transition play key, as both teams seek to assert control and strengthen their title credentials.

BT4Y best bet

Hammarby FF Win & Under 2.5 Goals

  • Hammarby FF average 2.2 goals per game, showcasing strong attacking output
  • BK Hacken have conceded in every home match, with all games featuring 3+ goals
  • Hammarby FF have struggled away recently, losing two of their last three road games
  • Both teams have key attacking threats: Besara and Abraham for Hammarby, Lindgren for Hacken
  • Recent meetings are balanced, with six draws in the last ten matches

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Hammarby FF to win with under 2.5 goals due to their high attacking efficiency combined with BK Hacken's defensive fragility at home. Hammarby's average of 2.2 goals per game and possession control contrasts with Hacken's tendency to concede regularly despite remaining unbeaten. The under 2.5 goals aspect reflects the tactical balance and recent form, where Hammarby’s away struggles and Hacken’s resilience suggest a competitive, lower-scoring encounter. No data limitations affect , and the current offer a modest .

Hammarby FF attacking output2.2 goals per game
Strong positive
BK Hacken home defensive vulnerabilityEvery home match 3+ goals
Strong positive
Hammarby FF recent away form2 losses in last 3 away games
Neutral
Match tactical balanceMidfield possession battle expected
Positive
Market price edge5.6% value edge at 3.4 odds
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Hammarby FF’s potent attack combined with BK Hacken’s defensive lapses at home makes a Hammarby win plausible, but the recent away struggles of Hammarby suggest the match will be tightly contested. The tactical midfield battle and Hacken’s resilience imply a competitive game with limited goals, supporting the under 2.5 goals aspect of the pick.

Main risk

Recent performances suggest there is little reason for concern regarding their attacking threat.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and attacking balance

“Hammarby’s attacking firepower meets Hacken’s home resilience in a tactical duel where defensive lapses on both sides suggest a close contest. The balance of possession and transition play will be decisive in a match likely settled by narrow margins.”

Key Data Signals

Hammarby FF Win & Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Hammarby FF average 2.2 goals per game, showcasing strong attacking output

BK Hacken have conceded in every home match, with all games featuring 3+ goals

Hammarby FF have struggled away recently, losing two of their last three road games

Both teams have key attacking threats: Besara and Abraham for Hammarby, Lindgren for Hacken

What To Watch In The Data

Hammarby FF Win & Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last ten meetings between these teams average 3.5 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests.
  • However, recent form and tactical setups suggest a potential reduction in goals for this match.
  • The trend panel highlights that while over 2.5 goals is common historically, current dynamics favor a tighter game with fewer goals, aligning with the under 2.5 goals selection.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Hammarby FF7.5
Avg corners for
BK Hacken5.6
Hammarby FF9.5
Avg total corners
BK Hacken11
Hammarby FF1
Avg yellow cards
BK Hacken1.4
Hammarby FF20.75
Avg shots
BK Hacken13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 60% · edge +2.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Hammarby FF average 7.2 corners and 20 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure. BK Hacken’s 5.25 corners and 14.25 shots reflect a less aggressive approach but with effective transitions. Both teams average around 1.2 to 1.5 yellow cards, suggesting moderate discipline and physicality that may influence game flow and set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hammarby FF2.2
Avg goals scored
BK Hacken1.6
Hammarby FF1
Avg goals conceded
BK Hacken1.8
Hammarby FF60%
BTTS rate
BK Hacken60%
Hammarby FF60%
Over 2.5 goals
BK Hacken40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 32% · edge +13.6 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have shown tendencies for goals, but the under 2.5 goals angle is supported by Hammarby’s recent away struggles and Hacken’s resilience leading to many draws. While Hacken’s home matches have been high scoring, the tactical balance and recent form suggest a tighter game with fewer goals than usual for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHammarby FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +8.1 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
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Hammarby FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The of 3.4 for Hammarby FF to win with under 2.5 goals reflect a modest value opportunity given the model’s 35% chance estimate. The price is attractive considering Hammarby’s strong attack and Hacken’s defensive issues at home, though recent away form tempers , making this a well-priced selection rather than a clear value bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hammarby FF

DWWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
26 Jul 2026A IF Brommapojkarna1-1
19 Jul 2026H Degerfors IF4-0
12 Jul 2026H Kalmar FF2-0
05 Jul 2026A IF Elfsborg2-1
31 May 2026A BK Hacken2-3

BK Hacken

DDWLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
01 Aug 2026H Kalmar FF1-1
27 Jul 2026H AIK Stockholm0-0
19 Jul 2026A Halmstad2-0
11 Jul 2026A Orgryte IS3-4
06 Jul 2026H Djurgardens IF2-4
Market aligned with main pickHammarby FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +8.1 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Hammarby FF have scored 2.2 goals per game recently but suffered two away defeats in their last three matches, indicating some vulnerability on the road. BK Hacken remain unbeaten but have drawn over half their games, reflecting resilience but also difficulty in securing wins. This recent form suggests a competitive match with Hammarby pushing for a win but under pressure to improve away consistency.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Hammarby FF wins
4Draws
3BK Hacken wins
24 Jun 2026BK Hacken v Hammarby FF1-4
31 May 2026BK Hacken v Hammarby FF3-2
21 Sep 2025Hammarby FF v BK Hacken4-0
27 Apr 2025BK Hacken v Hammarby FF1-1
26 Sep 2024Hammarby FF v BK Hacken2-0
21 Apr 2024BK Hacken v Hammarby FF2-1
Market aligned with main pickHammarby FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +8.1 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The head-to-head record over the last ten matches shows a balanced rivalry with two wins each and six draws, reflecting closely matched teams. The average of 3.5 goals per game historically suggests open play, but the recent tactical adjustments and form indicate a more cautious approach this time, providing only weak support for a high-scoring outcome.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Hammarby FF16
Played
BK Hacken0
Hammarby FF2.3
Avg goals for
BK Hacken-
Hammarby FF0.9
Avg goals against
BK Hacken-
Hammarby FF6
Clean sheets
BK Hacken-
Market aligned with main pickHammarby FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +8.1 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
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Hammarby FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over the season, Hammarby FF have maintained a high attacking output with 22 goals in 10 games, while BK Hacken have conceded 1.8 goals per game at home, highlighting defensive weaknesses. Hammarby’s possession control and shot volume contrast with Hacken’s more balanced but less prolific attack, supporting the expectation of a narrow Hammarby win with limited goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Hammarby FF301693421
4BK Hacken25166732
Hammarby FF sit 2nd and BK Hacken 4th, separated by just two points, underscoring the fixture’s significance for early title contention. Both teams are motivated to secure points to strengthen their positions, suggesting a competitive and intense match where tactical discipline and effective finishing will be crucial.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Hammarby FF Over 2.5
40%BK Hacken Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The last ten meetings between these teams average 3.5 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests. However, recent form and tactical setups suggest a potential reduction in goals for this match. The trend panel highlights that while over 2.5 goals is common historically, current dynamics favor a tighter game with fewer goals, aligning with the under 2.5 goals selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Hammarby FF v BK Hacken prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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