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Sirius crestSirius
v
IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna

Allsvenskan | Mon 10 Aug, 18:00

Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna Stats

Data last updated: Sun 09 Aug 2026, 07:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sirius arrive at Grimsta IP as unbeaten Allsvenskan leaders, boasting an impressive 31 goals in 11 matches and a potent attacking duo in Robbie Ure and Isak Bjerkebo. IF Brommapojkarna have steadied their form with a four-match unbeaten run and solid home performances, but their defense concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game, which could be exploited by Sirius's high-volume attack. The tactical battle will hinge on Brommapojkarna's ability to disrupt Sirius's transitions and maintain defensive compactness, while Sirius aim to leverage their offensive firepower to secure a narrow victory in this competitive fixture.

BT4Y match pick

Sirius to Win

  • Sirius lead the league with 31 goals in 11 matches, averaging nearly 3 goals per game.
  • Brommapojkarna are unbeaten in their last four matches but concede 1.5 goals per game on average.
  • Robbie Ure and Isak Bjerkebo have scored 65% of Sirius's goals, highlighting their attacking threat.
  • Sirius average 14.6 shots and 5.8 shots on target per match, applying constant pressure.
  • Brommapojkarna's defense allows 14.1 attempts and 4.7 shots on target per match, posing risk against Sirius's attack.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Sirius's dominant attacking form and league-leading goal tally underpin a strong of 74% to win. Their ability to generate high shot volumes and the clinical finishing of Ure and Bjerkebo create sustained offensive pressure. Brommapojkarna's recent unbeaten streak shows resilience but defensive vulnerabilities and lower shot creation limit their ability to contain Sirius. The model identifies clear value at 1.62 , reflecting Sirius's superior scoring efficiency and consistent form. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Model Win Probability74%
Strong positive
Implied Odds vs Model Chance12.3% positive value edge
Strong positive
Sirius Goal Scoring Rate2.82 goals per game
Strong positive
Brommapojkarna Defensive Concession1.5 goals per game
Negative
Recent Form (Last 4 Matches)Sirius 13 points, Brommapojkarna 2 points
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sirius's attacking control and clinical finishing make them the clear favorites to win this match. Their consistent goal-scoring ability, led by Robbie Ure, combined with Brommapojkarna's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests the visitors will secure a narrow victory. Brommapojkarna's improved form adds competitive tension but likely won't suffice against the league leaders' firepower.

Main risk

Brommapojkarna are becoming increasingly difficult to beat, but Sirius possess the division’s most productive attack and two of its most dangerous finishers.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Sirius's offensive depth and lethal strike partnership create a tactical challenge Brommapojkarna's defense is unlikely to withstand over 90 minutes, making a Sirius win the most probable outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Sirius to Win evidence

Sirius lead the league with 31 goals in 11 matches, averaging nearly 3 goals per game.

Brommapojkarna are unbeaten in their last four matches but concede 1.5 goals per game on average.

Robbie Ure and Isak Bjerkebo have scored 65% of Sirius's goals, highlighting their attacking threat.

Sirius average 14.6 shots and 5.8 shots on target per match, applying constant pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Sirius to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.9, indicating a tendency for high-scoring encounters between these teams.
  • Sirius's recent matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a fast tempo and open play that favors multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sirius3
Avg goals scored
IF Brommapojkarna1
Sirius1.4
Avg goals conceded
IF Brommapojkarna1.6
Sirius80%
BTTS rate
IF Brommapojkarna100%
Sirius80%
Over 2.5 goals
IF Brommapojkarna60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Sirius's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals and BTTS occurrences, reflecting their high-scoring style and defensive openness. Brommapojkarna also show a 60% over 2.5 and 100% BTTS rate, suggesting this game is likely to feature multiple goals and both teams scoring, driven by offensive transitions and defensive gaps.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Sirius Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The market price of 1.62 for Sirius to win reflects a positive compared to the model's 74% win probability. This pricing indicates in Sirius's superior form and attacking prowess, making the selection a sound value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sirius6.6
Avg corners for
IF Brommapojkarna3.8
Sirius10.6
Avg total corners
IF Brommapojkarna11.8
Sirius1
Avg yellow cards
IF Brommapojkarna0.8
Sirius16
Avg shots
IF Brommapojkarna8.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 69% · edge -0.4 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Sirius average 6.6 corners and 16 shots per match, applying sustained pressure and creating numerous scoring opportunities. Brommapojkarna's lower averages (3.8 corners, 8.6 shots) indicate less offensive threat but their defensive discipline is challenged by Sirius's volume. Both teams maintain moderate card counts, reflecting competitive but controlled aggression.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sirius

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 1D 0L
03 Aug 2026A Halmstad2-0
26 Jul 2026H IFK Goteborg4-1
19 Jul 2026A IF Elfsborg3-1
12 Jul 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-1
03 Jul 2026H Mjallby AIF4-4

IF Brommapojkarna

LDLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
02 Aug 2026H Malmo FF1-2
26 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF1-1
17 Jul 2026A IFK Goteborg1-2
12 Jul 2026H Sirius1-2
06 Jul 2026H Gais1-1
Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Sirius Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Sirius have collected 13 points in their last four matches, maintaining unbeaten status and scoring multiple goals per game. Brommapojkarna's 2 points in the same period reflect a more modest run despite an unbeaten streak, highlighting Sirius's superior momentum and offensive consistency as decisive factors in this matchup.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Sirius wins
1Draws
2IF Brommapojkarna wins
12 Jul 2026IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius1-2
17 Aug 2025IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius2-4
13 Apr 2025Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna0-3
29 Jan 2025Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna2-1
15 Sep 2024Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna3-2
24 Apr 2024IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius1-1
Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The head-to-head record shows Sirius with four wins, Brommapojkarna with one, and one draw in the last six meetings, including a recent 4-2 win for Sirius at Grimsta IP. This history supports Sirius's ability to impose their attacking style and secure victories even away from home, reinforcing the in their win probability.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Sirius15
Played
IF Brommapojkarna15
Sirius2.8
Avg goals for
IF Brommapojkarna1.3
Sirius1.1
Avg goals against
IF Brommapojkarna1.6
Sirius5
Clean sheets
IF Brommapojkarna1
Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Sirius Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Sirius lead the league with 41 points and a +17 goal difference, underpinned by a prolific attack averaging nearly 3 goals per game. Brommapojkarna sit 12th with 17 points and a negative goal difference, reflecting defensive frailties and less potent offense. These season-long trends favor Sirius's ability to control and win the match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Sirius4115132025
13IF Brommapojkarna1715456-4
Sirius's position at the top of the Allsvenskan table with 41 points contrasts sharply with Brommapojkarna's 12th place and 17 points. This gap underscores the pressure on Brommapojkarna to perform at home against a dominant leader, emphasizing the uphill challenge they face in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Sirius Over 2.5
60%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
3.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.9, indicating a tendency for high-scoring encounters between these teams. Sirius's recent matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a fast tempo and open play that favors multiple goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.