Guingamp
AnnecyLigue 2 | Sat 12 Sep, 13:00
Guingamp v Annecy Stats
Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:37 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Ligue 2 clash features Annecy visiting Guingamp, with Annecy currently sitting second in the table and Guingamp in 11th. Annecy has shown strong form with 10 points from recent matches, while Guingamp has collected 5 points. Annecy's more solid defensive record and efficient attack contrast with Guingamp's higher goal concession rate. Both teams have similar scoring rates, but Annecy's consistency and league position suggest they approach this fixture with and tactical discipline, aiming to extend their positive run away from home.
Annecy to Win
- Annecy holds second place in Ligue 2 with 10 points, showing strong recent form.
- Guingamp has a weaker defensive record, conceding 1.6 goals per game versus Annecy's 1.0.
- Annecy's away performances have been efficient, supported by a solid defensive shape.
- Guingamp averages more shots and corners but concedes more goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates Annecy with a 65% chance to win, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 30.8%, indicating strong value at 3.25 . Annecy's defensive solidity, reflected in conceding only 1 goal per game, and their superior league standing underpin this . Guingamp's higher goals conceded and inconsistent form reduce their chances. The model also notes Annecy's ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities, making their win a compelling selection. No data limitations affect this assessment, and the price offers clear positive value.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Annecy's tactical discipline and superior defensive record give them the edge in this matchup. Their consistent recent form and higher league standing support the expectation of an away win. Guingamp's offensive pressure is notable but has yet to translate into consistent results, making Annecy the more reliable choice.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage
“Annecy's defensive resilience and league momentum make them a strong candidate for victory despite Guingamp's home pressure. Their ability to control games and limit goals conceded is key in this fixture.”
Key Data Signals
Annecy to Win evidence
Annecy holds second place in Ligue 2 with 10 points, showing strong recent form.
Guingamp has a weaker defensive record, conceding 1.6 goals per game versus Annecy's 1.0.
Annecy's away performances have been efficient, supported by a solid defensive shape.
Guingamp averages more shots and corners but concedes more goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
What To Watch In The Data
Annecy to Win notes
- The last eight meetings between these teams have averaged 3.63 goals per game, indicating a tendency for open, attacking matches.
- This trend suggests potential for over 2.5 goals, driven by both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, especially Guingamp's higher concession rate.
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Guingamp
No recent match sample is available for Guingamp yet.
Annecy
No recent match sample is available for Annecy yet.
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Useful next reads
Market odds
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Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
Ligue 2
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
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