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Groningen crestGroningen
v
Fortuna Sittard crestFortuna Sittard

Eredivisie | Fri 28 Aug, 19:00

Groningen v Fortuna Sittard Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 08:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Groningen face Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie on Fri 28 Aug, 19:00. His nine saves kept the margin to two despite the sustained pressure, and Fortuna may need another composed performance behind them against a Groningen side that has already scored seven league goals.

BT4Y best bet

🎯 Correct Score Analysis: Pick 2

  • At 8/5, 🎯 Correct Score Analysis: Pick 2 implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
  • Groningen have won four of their last six Eredivisie home matches, yet Fortuna have won five of the last seven top-flight meetings between these.
  • Groningen have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fortuna Sittard.
  • Fortuna Sittard have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.67 conceded per match, which helps the 🎯 Correct Score Analysis: Pick 2 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Groningen sit 8 in the table, while Fortuna Sittard sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for 🎯 Correct Score Analysis: Pick 2 sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. Groningen have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fortuna Sittard. Groningen have won four of their last six Eredivisie home matches, yet Fortuna have won five of the last seven top-flight meetings between these.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Positive
Groningen have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Fortuna Sittard have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.67 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Groningen have won four of their last six Eredivisie.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Groningen Win is the preferred angle because groningen have won four of their last six Eredivisie home matches, yet Fortuna have won five of the last seven top-flight meetings between these sides. Groningen have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fortuna Sittard. Fortuna's recent success at Euroborg adds risk to this outcome but overall supports the double result.

Main risk

Fortuna's recent success at Euroborg adds risk to this outcome but overall supports the double result.

Key Data Signals

🎯 Correct Score Analysis: Pick 2 evidence

Groningen have won four of their last six Eredivisie home matches, yet Fortuna have won five of the.

Groningen have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fortuna Sittard.

Fortuna Sittard have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.67 conceded per match, which helps the Groningen Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Groningen sit 8 in the table, while Fortuna Sittard sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

🎯 Correct Score Analysis: Pick 2 notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Groningen3.67
    Avg corners for
    Fortuna Sittard2.33
    Groningen8.67
    Avg total corners
    Fortuna Sittard12.67
    Groningen0.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Fortuna Sittard0.33
    Groningen13.33
    Avg shots
    Fortuna Sittard9.67
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 65% vs implied 52% · edge +12.2 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Groningen2.33
    Avg goals scored
    Fortuna Sittard1.67
    Groningen2.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Fortuna Sittard1.67
    Groningen100%
    BTTS rate
    Fortuna Sittard67%
    Groningen100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fortuna Sittard67%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGroningen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 68% · edge -14.5 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Groningen to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Groningen

    LWW
    Last 52W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 1L
    23 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven1-5
    16 Aug 2026A ADO Den Haag4-1
    09 Aug 2026H Utrecht2-1

    Fortuna Sittard

    LWD
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    22 Aug 2026H AZ Alkmaar0-2
    15 Aug 2026H Cambuur3-1
    08 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven2-2
    Market aligned with main pickGroningen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 68% · edge -14.5 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Groningen wins
    1Draws
    5Fortuna Sittard wins
    25 Jan 2026Groningen v Fortuna Sittard1-2
    25 Oct 2025Fortuna Sittard v Groningen1-2
    16 Mar 2025Groningen v Fortuna Sittard1-0
    26 Oct 2024Fortuna Sittard v Groningen1-0
    08 Feb 2024Groningen v Fortuna Sittard0-0
    02 Apr 2023Fortuna Sittard v Groningen3-1
    Market aligned with main pickGroningen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 68% · edge -14.5 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Groningen to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eredivisie

    Groningen7
    Played
    Fortuna Sittard7
    Groningen2.1
    Avg goals for
    Fortuna Sittard1.9
    Groningen1.9
    Avg goals against
    Fortuna Sittard2
    Groningen1
    Clean sheets
    Fortuna Sittard1
    Market aligned with main pickGroningen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 68% · edge -14.5 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    Groningen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Season data supports Groningen to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    6Fortuna Sittard137412-1
    8Groningen1173222
    Groningen sit in position 8, while Fortuna Sittard sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the 🎯 Correct Score Analysis: Pick 2 assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Groningen Over 2.5
    67%Fortuna Sittard Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Groningen sit at 100% and Fortuna Sittard sit at 67% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.