Grimsby

Crawley Town

League Two | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

Grimsby v Crawley Town Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Grimsby and Crawley Town meet in a League Two clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Grimsby, sitting comfortably in 6th place, have averaged 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2, reflecting a balanced but open style. Crawley Town, struggling near the bottom at 23rd, have scored less but remain offensively active, averaging 1.2 goals and conceding 2 per game. Both teams have a history of matches featuring goals at both ends, setting up an intriguing contest with offensive opportunities and defensive lapses likely to influence the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

Grimsby averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season.
Crawley Town concedes 2 goals per game but scores 1.2 on average.
Both teams have a high BTTS rate: 60% for Grimsby and 80% for Crawley Town.
Recent form shows Grimsby with 7 points and Crawley Town with 4 points from their last matches.
The model estimates a 76% chance for both teams to score, indicating strong offensive tendencies on both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score due to strong offensive outputs from Grimsby and Crawley Town, combined with defensive frailties that have led to frequent goals conceded. Both teams show high BTTS rates this season, with Crawley Town particularly prone to conceding. The average goals per game and recent form data support an open game scenario where both sides find the net. No data limitations affect , and the current offer positive value relative to the model's 76% chance estimate.

Grimsby Goals For1.6 per game

Strong positive

Crawley Town Goals Against2 per game

Strong positive

BTTS Rate Crawley Town80%

Strong positive

Model Chance for BTTS76%

Strong positive

Recent Form PointsGrimsby 7, Crawley Town 4

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking promise but defensive lapses suggest goals at both ends are likely. Grimsby's stronger recent form and home advantage may see them score, while Crawley Town's defensive struggles increase the chance they concede but also find opportunities to score themselves. This match is well suited to a Both Teams to Score selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“Grimsby’s balanced attack and Crawley Town’s defensive vulnerabilities create a scenario ripe for goals at both ends, making BTTS a compelling angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Grimsby averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season.

Crawley Town concedes 2 goals per game but scores 1.2 on average.

Both teams have a high BTTS rate: 60% for Grimsby and 80% for Crawley Town.

Recent form shows Grimsby with 7 points and Crawley Town with 4 points from their last matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring encounters.
Both teams have maintained over 2.5 goals in 60% of their recent matches, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals.
This trend supports an expectation of an open game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Grimsby1.6

Avg goals scored

Crawley Town1.2

Grimsby1.2

Avg goals conceded

Crawley Town2

Grimsby60%

BTTS rate

Crawley Town80%

Grimsby60%

Over 2.5 goals

Crawley Town60%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Load more odds for this section

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Both teams have high BTTS rates this season, with Crawley Town reaching 80% and Grimsby 60%. Their average goals per game and defensive records support an open game with goals at both ends. The historical average of 3 goals per meeting in their last 10 matches further underscores the likelihood of multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League Two fixtures and predictions corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Load more odds for this section

Crawley Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Grimsby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%

1.26

Check odds @ 1.26

Grimsby to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.45

Check odds @ 1.45

Crawley Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with reflecting a 60% implied chance, below the model's 76% estimate, indicating clear value. This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring given their offensive and defensive records, making this a positive-value bet with standard stake guidance.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Grimsby7.4

Avg corners for

Crawley Town4.2

Grimsby12.6

Avg total corners

Crawley Town7.6

Grimsby1.4

Avg yellow cards

Crawley Town3

Grimsby13.6

Avg shots

Crawley Town14.8

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Grimsby

WDDDD

Last 51W 4D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 4D 0L

12 Sep 2026H Bristol Rovers2-0

05 Sep 2026A Cheltenham2-2

01 Sep 2026A Accrington ST2-2

29 Aug 2026H Fleetwood Town2-2

22 Aug 2026A Walsall0-0

Crawley Town

LLDLW

Last 51W 1D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 4L

12 Sep 2026H Cheltenham1-3

05 Sep 2026A Accrington ST2-3

01 Sep 2026A Northampton1-1

29 Aug 2026H Bristol Rovers0-2

22 Aug 2026A Rochdale2-1

Best odds for this sectionCrawley Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Load more odds for this section

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.11

Check odds @ 1.11

Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 47%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Grimsby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%

1.26

Check odds @ 1.26

Grimsby to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.45

Check odds @ 1.45

Crawley Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Grimsby has accumulated 7 points recently, scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2, showing balanced form with offensive efficiency. Crawley Town’s 4 points and 1.2 goals scored per game contrast with a leaky defense conceding 2 goals per match, indicating vulnerability at the back but persistence in attack. This recent form supports an expectation of goals from both sides.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Grimsby wins

2Draws

3Crawley Town wins

06 Apr 2026Crawley Town v Grimsby0-2

02 Aug 2025Grimsby v Crawley Town3-0

27 Apr 2024Crawley Town v Grimsby2-0

23 Sep 2023Grimsby v Crawley Town2-3

28 Mar 2023Crawley Town v Grimsby1-1

08 Oct 2022Grimsby v Crawley Town3-0

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Load more odds for this section

Grimsby to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.45

Check odds @ 1.45

Crawley Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

The 10 previous meetings between Grimsby and Crawley Town have averaged 3 goals per game, with a pattern of both teams scoring frequently. This historical data supports the BTTS selection, showing that encounters between these sides tend to be open and goal-rich, providing a meaningful backdrop for the current fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Two

Grimsby6

Played

Crawley Town6

Grimsby1.5

Avg goals for

Crawley Town1

Grimsby1

Avg goals against

Crawley Town1.8

Grimsby3

Clean sheets

Crawley Town0

Best odds for this sectionCrawley Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Load more odds for this section

Grimsby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%

1.26

Check odds @ 1.26

Grimsby to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.45

Check odds @ 1.45

Crawley Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

Season-long data reveals Grimsby’s solid attack and moderate defense, while Crawley Town struggles defensively but maintains offensive output. Both teams’ BTTS rates and over 2.5 goals percentages at 60% align with an open style of play, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both teams in this fixture.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
6	Grimsby	10	6	2	4	0	3
23	Crawley Town	4	6	1	1	4	-5

Grimsby’s position in 6th place reflects consistent performances and a relatively strong squad, whereas Crawley Town’s 23rd place highlights struggles, particularly defensively. The standings suggest Grimsby may control play more, but Crawley Town’s need for points could drive attacking risk-taking, increasing chances for goals at both ends.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Grimsby Over 2.5

60%Crawley Town Over 2.5

3H2H avg goals

Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring encounters. Both teams have maintained over 2.5 goals in 60% of their recent matches, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals. This trend supports an expectation of an open game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Grimsby v Crawley Town Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Grimsby

Crawley Town

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Grimsby v Crawley Town Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Grimsby

Crawley Town

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

Next step