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GIL Vicente crestGIL Vicente
v
Academico Viseu crestAcademico Viseu

Primeira Liga | Sun 06 Sep, 20:30

GIL Vicente v Academico Viseu Stats

Data last updated: Sat 05 Sep 2026, 08:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

GIL Vicente hosts Academico Viseu in a Primeira Liga clash where the home side’s solid start contrasts with Academico Viseu’s struggles. GIL Vicente has accumulated seven points with a strong defensive record, conceding no goals so far, while Academico Viseu has managed only two points and conceded twice. The tactical setup suggests GIL Vicente will control possession and limit Academico Viseu’s attacking threats, aiming to capitalize on their home advantage and maintain their unbeaten defensive form.

BT4Y best bet

GIL Vicente to Win

  • GIL Vicente has kept clean sheets in all matches so far, showing defensive solidity.
  • Academico Viseu has a 50% BTTS rate but concedes more goals, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • GIL Vicente averages 7 shots per game with a lower shots on target rate, focusing on controlled attacks.
  • Academico Viseu’s recent form yields only 2 points from multiple matches, highlighting struggles.
  • The model estimates a 74% chance for GIL Vicente to win, offering strong value at 1.9 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors GIL Vicente to win based on their unbeaten defensive record and superior recent form, holding seven points compared to Academico Viseu’s two. Despite Academico Viseu’s higher shots and shots on target averages, GIL Vicente’s ability to limit goals conceded and control the game tempo underpins the strong win probability. The current offer good value with a 21% positive edge, reflecting in GIL Vicente’s home advantage and tactical discipline. No data limitations affect this assessment.

Recent FormGIL Vicente 7 points vs Academico Viseu 2 points
Strong positive
Defensive RecordGIL Vicente 0 goals conceded
Strong positive
Shots & PressureAcademico Viseu higher shots but less effective
Neutral
Market Value Edge21.4% positive edge at 1.9 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

GIL Vicente’s disciplined defensive shape and home advantage make them strong favorites to secure victory. Their unbeaten run and ability to control games contrasts with Academico Viseu’s inconsistent form and defensive lapses, suggesting a tactical edge that should translate into three points for GIL Vicente.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“GIL Vicente’s defensive consistency and tactical control at home provide a clear pathway to victory against an Academico Viseu side struggling to convert chances into points.”

Key Data Signals

GIL Vicente to Win evidence

GIL Vicente has kept clean sheets in all matches so far, showing defensive solidity.

Academico Viseu has a 50% BTTS rate but concedes more goals, indicating defensive vulnerability.

GIL Vicente averages 7 shots per game with a lower shots on target rate, focusing on controlled attacks.

Academico Viseu’s recent form yields only 2 points from multiple matches, highlighting struggles.

What To Watch In The Data

GIL Vicente to Win notes

  • Over the last six meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • GIL Vicente’s low goals conceded and Academico Viseu’s tendency for higher scoring matches suggest a tactical battle where tempo and defensive organization will dictate whether the game exceeds 2.5 goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

GIL Vicente1
Avg goals scored
Academico Viseu1
GIL Vicente0
Avg goals conceded
Academico Viseu2
GIL Vicente0%
BTTS rate
Academico Viseu50%
GIL Vicente0%
Over 2.5 goals
Academico Viseu75%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 59% · edge +0.7 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5
Check odds @ 5
The BTTS No angle is supported by GIL Vicente’s clean sheets and low goals conceded, contrasting with Academico Viseu’s mixed attacking output. The data suggests a controlled game with limited scoring, favoring a low-scoring match where GIL Vicente’s defense dominates.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGIL Vicente to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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GIL Vicente Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 1.9 for GIL Vicente to win reflect a market that undervalues their strong defensive form and home advantage. The model’s 74% win probability indicates clear value, suggesting the price is attractive for bettors seeking a solid home win with a positive expected return.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

GIL Vicente3.67
Avg corners for
Academico Viseu3
GIL Vicente7.67
Avg total corners
Academico Viseu7.25
GIL Vicente2.33
Avg yellow cards
Academico Viseu2.75
GIL Vicente9.33
Avg shots
Academico Viseu10
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
GIL Vicente averages slightly more corners and maintains a higher fouling rate, indicating territorial control and physical engagement. Academico Viseu’s higher shots and shots on target reflect attempts to break down the home defense, but their lower corner count suggests fewer sustained attacks.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

GIL Vicente

DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
30 Aug 2026A Famalicao0-0
24 Aug 2026H Casa Pia2-0
09 Aug 2026H Rio Ave1-0

Academico Viseu

LDLD
Last 50W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 2L
29 Aug 2026H FC Porto0-3
22 Aug 2026A Maritimo2-2
15 Aug 2026H Santa Clara0-1
09 Aug 2026A Benfica2-2
Market aligned with main pickGIL Vicente to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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GIL Vicente Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
GIL Vicente’s accumulation of seven points and zero goals conceded highlights strong recent form and defensive discipline. Academico Viseu’s two points and higher goals conceded indicate struggles to maintain consistency, reinforcing GIL Vicente’s advantage in momentum and .
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2GIL Vicente wins
2Draws
2Academico Viseu wins
18 Oct 2025Academico Viseu v GIL Vicente2-1
14 Jan 2021GIL Vicente v Academico Viseu3-2
29 Apr 2018Academico Viseu v GIL Vicente1-0
16 Dec 2017GIL Vicente v Academico Viseu0-0
05 Feb 2017Academico Viseu v GIL Vicente1-2
24 Aug 2016GIL Vicente v Academico Viseu0-0
Market aligned with main pickGIL Vicente to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The six previous encounters average two goals per game, showing a balanced scoring trend. While the sample is limited, it suggests neither side dominates historically, placing emphasis on current form and tactical execution to decide the outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Primeira Liga

GIL Vicente3
Played
Academico Viseu4
GIL Vicente1
Avg goals for
Academico Viseu1
GIL Vicente0
Avg goals against
Academico Viseu2
GIL Vicente3
Clean sheets
Academico Viseu0
Market aligned with main pickGIL Vicente to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
GIL Vicente Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
GIL Vicente’s season stats show a robust defense with zero goals conceded and a moderate attack, aligning with a strategy focused on control and efficiency. Academico Viseu’s higher over 2.5 goals rate (75%) contrasts with their poor defensive record, suggesting vulnerability against disciplined teams like GIL Vicente.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6GIL Vicente732103
15Academico Viseu24022-4
GIL Vicente’s position in 6th place with seven points reflects a stable start and competitive edge in the league. Academico Viseu’s 15th place and two points underline pressure to improve results, but the standings mainly provide background as tactical and form factors dominate this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%GIL Vicente Over 2.5
75%Academico Viseu Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last six meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring. GIL Vicente’s low goals conceded and Academico Viseu’s tendency for higher scoring matches suggest a tactical battle where tempo and defensive organization will dictate whether the game exceeds 2.5 goals.

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