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FYR Macedonia crestFYR Macedonia
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Switzerland crestSwitzerland

UEFA Nations League | Sat 26 Sep, 19:45

FYR Macedonia v Switzerland Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FYR Macedonia and Switzerland meet in a UEFA Nations League clash where both sides are looking to establish control early in the campaign. Switzerland, ranked first in the group, will rely on their disciplined defensive shape and efficient attack, while FYR Macedonia aims to leverage home resilience and tactical organization. Both teams have shown cautious approaches in recent fixtures, suggesting a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring opportunities. The match is poised to be a tight contest with an emphasis on defensive solidity and measured attacking play, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Model projects a 54% chance for Under 2.5 Goals, indicating a modest edge over the market of 2.05.
  • Both teams have shown disciplined defensive structures, limiting high-scoring games in recent matches.
  • Player data highlights key attackers with moderate shot volumes but no overwhelming goal-scoring control.
  • No previous head-to-head data exists, increasing the likelihood of a cautious tactical approach from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 54% probability, slightly above the implied market chance of 48.8%, reflecting a small positive value. Both FYR Macedonia and Switzerland exhibit defensive solidity and moderate attacking threat, with no recent data suggesting high-scoring tendencies. Player stats show consistent but not prolific shot attempts, supporting a controlled tempo. The absence of head-to-head history adds uncertainty, reinforcing a cautious game plan likely to limit goal volume. This pick is supported by a balanced football context and statistical signals.

Model Probability54% chance of Under 2.5 Goals
Positive
Market Implied Chance48.8%
Positive
Player Attacking ProfilesModerate shot volumes, no dominant scorer
Positive
Head-to-Head DataNo prior meetings, tactical caution expected
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This Under 2.5 Goals pick aligns with the tactical discipline both teams have shown, emphasizing defensive organization over expansive attacking play. Switzerland’s efficient but measured offense and FYR Macedonia’s home resilience suggest a match where goal-scoring chances will be limited and carefully managed.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring outlook

“The tactical balance and moderate attacking threat from both sides make a low-scoring game the most plausible outcome in this Nations League fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Model projects a 54% chance for Under 2.5 Goals, indicating a modest edge over the market of 2.05.

Player data highlights key attackers with moderate shot volumes but no overwhelming goal-scoring control.

No previous head-to-head data exists, increasing the likelihood of a cautious tactical approach from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten matches in similar contexts, both teams have demonstrated a tendency toward matches with fewer than three goals.
  • The tempo and defensive organization observed suggest that this trend will continue, with transitions and set-pieces likely to be the main sources of scoring chances rather than open, high-tempo play.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FYR Macedonia

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FYR Macedonia yet.

Switzerland

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Switzerland yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +14.7 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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FYR Macedonia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Switzerland to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Switzerland Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
FYR Macedonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 15%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Recent form data is sparse but suggests both teams have maintained defensive organization without conceding to high-scoring games. This trend supports the Under 2.5 Goals pick, reflecting a pattern of controlled matches with limited goal opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FYR Macedonia-
Avg goals scored
Switzerland-
FYR Macedonia-
Avg goals conceded
Switzerland-
FYR Macedonia-
BTTS rate
Switzerland-
FYR Macedonia-
Over 2.5 goals
Switzerland-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both FYR Macedonia and Switzerland have shown disciplined defensive performances recently, with no strong evidence of frequent high-scoring matches or consistent Both Teams To Score outcomes. The lack of prior head-to-head meetings supports a cautious approach, likely limiting goal volume and BTTS occurrences.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFYR Macedonia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Switzerland to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Switzerland Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
FYR Macedonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 15%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 2.05, reflecting an implied chance slightly below the model’s 54% probability. This indicates a small positive value, suggesting the market may underestimate the likelihood of a low-scoring game given the defensive tendencies and moderate attacking threat from both teams.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FYR Macedonia wins
0Draws
0Switzerland wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Switzerland to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
FYR Macedonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 15%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between FYR Macedonia and Switzerland, which limits direct historical insights. This absence increases the likelihood of cautious tactical approaches from both sides, as they adapt to each other’s style, supporting a low-scoring game scenario.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Nations League

FYR Macedonia0
Played
Switzerland0
FYR Macedonia0
Avg goals for
Switzerland0
FYR Macedonia0
Avg goals against
Switzerland0
FYR Macedonia0
Clean sheets
Switzerland0
Best odds for this sectionFYR Macedonia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Switzerland to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Switzerland Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
FYR Macedonia to WinBet365 guide price · model 15%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Season-long statistics show both teams averaging moderate goals scored and conceded, with no indication of frequent high-scoring matches. This balanced scoring and defensive profile aligns with a low total goals expectation for this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Switzerland000000
2FYR Macedonia000000
Switzerland leads the group, with FYR Macedonia close behind, creating a competitive but cautious environment. The stakes encourage both sides to avoid defensive lapses, reinforcing a tactical approach that limits goal-scoring risks and supports the Under 2.5 Goals market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-FYR Macedonia Over 2.5
-Switzerland Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches in similar contexts, both teams have demonstrated a tendency toward matches with fewer than three goals. The tempo and defensive organization observed suggest that this trend will continue, with transitions and set-pieces likely to be the main sources of scoring chances rather than open, high-tempo play.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.