Football Stats Hub

Georgia crestGeorgia
v
Northern Ireland crestNorthern Ireland

UEFA Nations League | Fri 25 Sep, 17:00

Georgia v Northern Ireland Stats

Data last updated: Thu 24 Sep 2026, 07:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Georgia and Northern Ireland open their UEFA Nations League campaign in Tbilisi with both sides showing attacking promise but defensive vulnerabilities. Georgia arrives unbeaten in 2026, buoyed by Georges Mikautadze's prolific scoring, while Northern Ireland has struggled to keep clean sheets away, conceding in nine consecutive away internationals. Despite defensive concerns on both sides, Northern Ireland's ability to score on the road and Georgia's home scoring threat set up a competitive fixture with potential for goals at both ends. Tactical setups suggest Georgia will press their home advantage, while Northern Ireland aims to exploit defensive lapses.

BT4Y best bet

Georgia to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Georgia unbeaten in four matches in 2026 with strong home scoring form
  • Georges Mikautadze has scored nine goals in his last 10 appearances
  • Northern Ireland have conceded in nine consecutive away internationals
  • Northern Ireland have scored away against strong teams like Wales and France
  • Both teams' defensive frailties suggest a match with goals at both ends

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Georgia to win with both teams scoring based on Georgia's unbeaten run and potent attack led by Mikautadze, combined with Northern Ireland's consistent away goals and defensive frailties. Although the price is slightly short, the football context justifies the selection as a balanced reflection of attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses on both sides. The limited defensive stability on both teams increases the likelihood of goals for both sides, aligning with the combined bet. Reduced stake caution is advised due to the price sensitivity.

Georgia's recent unbeaten formUnbeaten in 4 matches in 2026
Positive
Mikautadze's scoring record9 goals in last 10 appearances
Strong positive
Northern Ireland away defensive recordNo clean sheets in 9 consecutive away games
Strong positive
Northern Ireland's away scoring abilityScored in recent away matches against Wales and France
Positive
Price sensitivityImplied chance (25%) higher than model chance (20.4%)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Georgia's unbeaten momentum and Mikautadze's goal-scoring threat provide a strong foundation for a home win, while Northern Ireland's persistent away goalscoring suggests they will find the net despite defensive issues. This combination makes Georgia to win with both teams scoring a tactically and statistically sound pick for this Nations League opener.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · attack and defense balance

“Georgia's attacking firepower, spearheaded by Mikautadze, faces a Northern Ireland defense that has struggled to keep clean sheets away from home, making a home win with goals at both ends a compelling prospect.”

Key Data Signals

Georgia to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Georgia unbeaten in four matches in 2026 with strong home scoring form

Georges Mikautadze has scored nine goals in his last 10 appearances

Northern Ireland have conceded in nine consecutive away internationals

Northern Ireland have scored away against strong teams like Wales and France

What To Watch In The Data

Georgia to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent trends over the last nine away internationals for Northern Ireland show a consistent pattern of conceding goals, while Georgia's matches in 2026 have featured multiple goals.
  • This suggests a tempo and openness conducive to over 2.5 goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGeorgia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 55% · edge -4.6 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Georgia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
The market price for Georgia to win and both teams to score is slightly short compared to the model's estimated chance, reflecting bookmaker caution around defensive uncertainties. While not a strong value bet, the price sensitivity suggests a cautious stake, with potential for improvement if defensive concerns deepen or attacking form strengthens.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Georgia Over 2.5
-Northern Ireland Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends over the last nine away internationals for Northern Ireland show a consistent pattern of conceding goals, while Georgia's matches in 2026 have featured multiple goals. This suggests a tempo and openness conducive to over 2.5 goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Georgia-
Avg goals scored
Northern Ireland-
Georgia-
Avg goals conceded
Northern Ireland-
Georgia-
BTTS rate
Northern Ireland-
Georgia-
Over 2.5 goals
Northern Ireland-
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 48% · edge +1.9 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown attacking capability coupled with defensive lapses, with Georgia conceding 15 goals in six qualifiers and Northern Ireland failing to keep a clean sheet in nine away matches. This combination supports the likelihood of both teams scoring, as each side has enough offensive threat and defensive vulnerability to allow goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Georgia

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Georgia yet.

Northern Ireland

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Northern Ireland yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 83% · edge -6.5 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
Georgia to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Georgia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Georgia's unbeaten streak in 2026, including wins and draws against competitive sides, reflects growing stability and attacking . Northern Ireland's recent away matches show a pattern of conceding but also scoring, maintaining competitiveness despite defensive frailties. This form data underpins the expectation of a contested match with goals from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Georgia wins
0Draws
0Northern Ireland wins
Market aligned with main pickGeorgia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 55% · edge -4.6 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
There is no recent head-to-head data available between Georgia and Northern Ireland, so previous meetings provide limited insight. The focus instead shifts to current form and tactical matchups to assess likely outcomes for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Nations League

Georgia0
Played
Northern Ireland0
Georgia0
Avg goals for
Northern Ireland0
Georgia0
Avg goals against
Northern Ireland0
Georgia0
Clean sheets
Northern Ireland0
Market aligned with main pickGeorgia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 55% · edge -4.6 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Georgia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Georgia's season stats reveal a potent attack led by Mikautadze but a leaky defense conceding 15 goals in six qualifiers, while Northern Ireland's defensive record away from home is similarly porous with no clean sheets in nine matches. These season-long trends reinforce the bet's premise of a home win coupled with both teams scoring.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Georgia000000
4Northern Ireland000000
In Group B2 of the UEFA Nations League, Georgia and Northern Ireland sit closely in the standings early on, with Georgia ranked third and Northern Ireland fourth. While the table is still nascent, both teams have incentives to secure points, adding competitive edge to this opener beyond defensive concerns.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.