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Sweden crestSweden
v
Romania crestRomania

UEFA Nations League | Fri 25 Sep, 19:45

Sweden v Romania Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 11:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sweden face Romania in UEFA Nations League on Fri 25 Sep, 19:45. Romania vs Sweden: Potter’s in-form visitors target another Nations League victory. Sweden’s sustained scoring form and Romania’s defensive struggles, including two suspended centre-backs, support a confident away win with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score

  • Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score is rated around 31% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score around 31% on the latest available numbers. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sweden Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

What To Watch In The Data

Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sweden

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sweden yet.

Romania

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Romania yet.

Market aligned with main pickSweden Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Sweden to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sweden-
Avg goals scored
Romania-
Sweden-
Avg goals conceded
Romania-
Sweden-
BTTS rate
Romania-
Sweden-
Over 2.5 goals
Romania-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 44% · edge +12.3 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSweden Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sweden to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Sweden Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Sweden Over 2.5
-Romania Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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