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FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05
v
SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07

Bundesliga | Sat 29 Aug, 14:30

FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 07 Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FSV Mainz 05 face SC Paderborn 07 in Bundesliga on Sat 29 Aug, 14:30.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • At 2.1, BTTS No implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for BTTS No sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +6.4 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3FSV Mainz 05 wins
1Draws
0SC Paderborn 07 wins
29 Feb 2020FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 072-0
05 Oct 2019SC Paderborn 07 v FSV Mainz 051-2
31 Jan 2015FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 075-0
24 Aug 2014SC Paderborn 07 v FSV Mainz 052-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -9.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FSV Mainz 05

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FSV Mainz 05 yet.

SC Paderborn 07

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for SC Paderborn 07 yet.

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FSV Mainz 05-
Avg goals scored
SC Paderborn 07-
FSV Mainz 05-
Avg goals conceded
SC Paderborn 07-
FSV Mainz 05-
BTTS rate
SC Paderborn 07-
FSV Mainz 05-
Over 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 07-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +6.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; the clean-sheet route needs defensive and away-attacking data to support it.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 60% · edge -9.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 050
Played
SC Paderborn 070
FSV Mainz 050
Avg goals for
SC Paderborn 070
FSV Mainz 050
Avg goals against
SC Paderborn 070
FSV Mainz 050
Clean sheets
SC Paderborn 070

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9FSV Mainz 05000000
17SC Paderborn 07000000
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-FSV Mainz 05 Over 2.5
-SC Paderborn 07 Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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